
CIN @ PIT



Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, May 19th
19/05/25 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Pirates Matchup Today
Compared to the average hurler, Mitch Keller has been granted an above-average leash this year, recording an extra 4.8 adjusted pitches each start.
Mitch Keller’s slider percentage has increased by 8.8% from last year to this one (25.1% to 33.9%) .
Among all SPs, Mitch Keller’s fastball spin rate of 2405 rpm grades out in the 81st percentile this year.
PNC Park profiles as the #4 venue in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Nick Lodolo has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Nick Lodolo has relied on his change-up 5% more often this season (21.5%) than he did last season (16.5%).
Nick Lodolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 7.18 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.39 — a 1.21 K/9 gap.
The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among every team on the slate today.
Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Pirates
PNC Park grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.
Mitch Keller’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this year (93.2 mph) below where it was last year (94.5 mph).
Mitch Keller has put up an 8.5% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.
PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fences in the league.
Mitch Keller is an extreme flyball pitcher (31.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #26 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this matchup.
Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
In his last GS, Mitch Keller was in good form and conceded 1 ER.
Nick Lodolo struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous GS and compiled 1 Ks.
Nick Lodolo’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this season (92.7 mph) below where it was last season (94.1 mph).
Nick Lodolo was in good form in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.
Ranking in the 85th percentile, Nick Lodolo has posted a 4.11 K/BB rate this year.
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