Reds vs Brewers match player stats | 2025 Friday, September 26th

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CIN @ MIL

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Reds @ Brewers Matchup Details

Teams : Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, September 26th
Time : 26/09/25 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Game Today

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Quinn Priester.

Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

American Family Field has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today.

Sal Frelick will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jackson Chourio will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage today.

Caleb Durbin has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 4.1% seasonal rate to 9.5% in the past 7 days.

Over the past 14 days, Caleb Durbin’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph lately.

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14.9% seasonal rate to 35.3% over the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12.3°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 31° angle over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Gavin Lux is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today’s matchup.

Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

American Family Field ranks as the #2 venue in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zack Littell was firing on all cylinders in his previous GS and put up 7 strikeouts.

Zack Littell has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 6.28 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.06 — a 0.78 K/9 difference.

The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in American Family Field.

Zack Littell has gone to his slider 6.7% less often this season (33.2%) than he did last year (39.9%).

Zack Littell’s 91.5-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 25th percentile out of all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 7th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today’s game.

The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Jake Bauers will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Bauers has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days.

Quinn Priester has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.25 rate is a fair amount lower than his 4.14 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

The Cincinnati Reds have done a good job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 16.2° mark is among the highest in the league this year (#2 overall).

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson, Elly De La Cruz).

Quinn Priester will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.

Brice Turang’s BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brice Turang can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.4°, TJ Friedl has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.5° mark over the past two weeks.

TJ Friedl has shown strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.45 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his home run ability, Will Benson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Will Benson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.6-mph average to last year’s 93.4-mph EV.

Will Benson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 39.5% to 46.7%.

Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Steer tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

Spencer Steer has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past week.

Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.5-mph.

Noelvi Marte’s launch angle lately (20.4° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 13.2° seasonal angle.

Negatives with the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average.

This contest is projected to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Typically, hitters like Elly De La Cruz who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Quinn Priester.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Elly De La Cruz has been very fortunate this year. His .335 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.

The #9 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.1°, Elly De La Cruz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Sal Frelick’s launch angle of late (-2.6° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 11.9° seasonal figure.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Sal Frelick has been lucky this year with his .291 actual batting average.

Zack Littell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio today.

Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.6-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.8-mph over the last two weeks.

Jackson Chourio’s launch angle in recent games (-2.6° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is a significant dropoff from his 10.4° seasonal angle.

Jackson Chourio grades out in the 19th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (13.7% rate this year).

American Family Field grades out as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his home run talent, Caleb Durbin ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Caleb Durbin has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

Quinn Priester will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Gavin Lux has been pulled from the game early 26% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Gavin Lux will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Gavin Lux’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 79.5-mph over the last week.

When it comes to his home run ability, Gavin Lux ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Littell in the 25th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zack Littell is projected to throw 82 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20.7% underlying K%.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zack Littell in today’s game.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Milwaukee Brewers offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 6th-worst venue in MLB for batting average.

Zack Littell was on point in his last start and conceded 1 ER.

Zack Littell has notched a 4.17 K/BB rate this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle this season (1.6°) is significantly worse than his 5.1° figure last season.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle in recent games (-4.1° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 1.6° seasonal angle.

Christian Yelich has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 27.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 17.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Jake Bauers has been pinch hit for in 32% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Jake Bauers pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 21st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Quinn Priester in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Cincinnati Reds offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Quinn Priester (52.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in the opposing club’s projected batting order.

Quinn Priester has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 7.56 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.39 — a 0.17 K/9 gap.

Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brice Turang has been lucky given the .029 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

TJ Friedl’s BABIP talent is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for TJ Friedl today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 19th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

TJ Friedl has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 83.4-mph over the last week.

Will Benson is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

This year, Will Benson has been pinch hit for in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Will Benson today.

Will Benson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph dropping to 86.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Quinn Priester will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Spencer Steer has experienced some positive variance this year. His .318 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .300.

Quinn Priester will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noelvi Marte in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Noelvi Marte in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Noelvi Marte has had positive variance on his side this year. His .332 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

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