Astros @ Angels Matchup Details

Positives for the Houston Astros Game Today

In the league, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 83%.

Denzer Guzman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Denzer Guzman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 25%.

Denzer Guzman has shown some good exit velocity statistics in recent games, averaging 103-mph on his flyballs over the past week.

In the past two weeks, Denzer Guzman’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Zach Cole is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Zach Cole will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today’s game.

Zach Cole may have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Angels only has 1 same-handed RP.

In the last week’s worth of games, Zach Cole has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 15.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.3°.

Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

Nolan Schanuel will hold the platoon advantage against Jason Alexander in today’s game.

Nolan Schanuel will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Nolan Schanuel’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Moore in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Christian Moore will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Christian Moore has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Christian Moore has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 96-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Mike Trout as Major League Baseball’s 16th-best home run hitter.

Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Mike Trout has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jason Alexander doesn’t generate many whiffs (15th percentile K%) — great news for Trout.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Trout in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Mike Trout has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 30% over the last two weeks.

Jo Adell projects as the 15th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jo Adell is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Jo Adell has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jason Alexander struggles to strike batters out (24th percentile K%) — great news for Adell.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jo Adell will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The Barrel% of Jo Adell has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.8% last year to 18.1% this season.

When it comes to his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Christian Walker has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.6-mph average.

Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 39.8% on the season to 63.6% in the last week.

Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has experienced some negative variance given the .026 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Compared to their .352 overall projected rate, the .318 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Houston Astros projected lineup in this game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit missing some of their usual firepower.

The #9 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Kyle Hendricks will hold that advantage today.

In his last start, Kyle Hendricks performed well and allowed 2 ER.

The #10 field in the game for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Isaac Paredes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last season’s 85-mph mark.

Compared to his seasonal average of 24.1°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 40.5° figure over the past week.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 100th percentile with a 24.1° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jose Altuve has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph to 87.9-mph in the past two weeks.

There has been a significant improvement in Jose Altuve’s launch angle from last year’s 14° to 17.7° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Carlos Correa is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, Carlos Correa grades out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .282.

Carlos Correa has notched a .324 BABIP this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Mauricio Dubon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 12.1% to 18.3%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.263) implies that Mauricio Dubon has been unlucky this year with his .246 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Yoan Moncada is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Yoan Moncada will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Jason Alexander today.

Yoan Moncada will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The Los Angeles Angels have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Over the last week, Jesus Sanchez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 22.2%.

The Los Angeles Angels (28.4% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams today.

Jason Alexander will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 7 opposing batters in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jason Alexander in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Los Angeles Angels offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

When assessing his home run ability, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Logan O’Hoppe has big-time power (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jason Alexander has a pitch-to-contact profile (20th percentile K%) — great news for O’Hoppe.

Logan O’Hoppe will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Logan O’Hoppe has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year’s 94.6-mph mark.

Last season, Logan O’Hoppe had an average launch angle of 16° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Despite posting a .297 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yainer Diaz has had bad variance on his side given the .031 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Bryce Teodosio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Bryce Teodosio’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 11.1%.

Bryce Teodosio has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 3.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 9.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Angels Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzer Guzman in the 11th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Denzer Guzman is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Jason Alexander throws from, Denzer Guzman will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Zach Cole is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zach Cole in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 6th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Nolan Schanuel’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 87.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 84.5-mph in the past week.

Nolan Schanuel has averaged 11.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of power, Nolan Schanuel is ranked in the 17th percentile, having paced 10.7 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Christian Moore is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jason Alexander will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Moore in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Christian Moore’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Christian Moore has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 24.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 8.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.271) suggests that Christian Moore has been lucky this year with his .298 actual wOBA.

Batting from the same side that Jason Alexander throws from, Mike Trout will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Mike Trout has posted a .232 batting average this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Jason Alexander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jo Adell in today’s game.

Jo Adell has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 18.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week.

Jo Adell has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 14th percentile with a 4.31 K/BB rate.

Sporting a .256 BABIP this year, Jo Adell finds himself in the 9th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Christian Walker will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Christian Walker today.

In the past week, Christian Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.7% down to 0%.

Christian Walker has recorded a .230 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Walker’s BABIP talent is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Hendricks is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least on the slate today.

It may be smart to expect better results for the Houston Astros offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Projected catcher Logan O’Hoppe grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kyle Hendricks in the 3rd percentile among all SPs in the league.

Given his reverse platoon split, Kyle Hendricks will have a disadvantage matching up with 6 batters in the projected offense who share the same handedness in this outing.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Kyle Hendricks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Los Angeles (#3-best on the slate).

Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jose Altuve will have a tough matchup today.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Jose Altuve has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .329 mark is inflated compared to his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Correa today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Carlos Correa today.

Carlos Correa’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 91.5-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Over the past two weeks, Carlos Correa’s 3.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage against Mauricio Dubon in today’s game.

Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

This year, Yoan Moncada has been pinch hit for in 19% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Over the past two weeks, Yoan Moncada’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.9% down to 7.7%.

Yoan Moncada’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.3-mph over the last two weeks.

Yoan Moncada’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 21.4% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yoan Moncada’s true offensive skill to be a .329, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .015 deviation between that mark and his actual .344 wOBA.

Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 17% of the time.

Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jason Alexander in the 15th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jason Alexander in today’s game.

Jason Alexander’s 90.2-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 13th percentile among all SPs.

Jason Alexander has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.56 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.80 — a 0.75 K/9 discrepancy.

In his previous game started, Jason Alexander was in good form and gave up 2 ER.

Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Jason Alexander will hold the platoon advantage against Logan O’Hoppe today.

Logan O’Hoppe has notched a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.

Logan O’Hoppe has displayed poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 3rd percentile with a 5.9 K/BB rate.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Yainer Diaz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Yainer Diaz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 85.9-mph in the last two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bryce Teodosio ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryce Teodosio is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

This year, Bryce Teodosio has been pinch hit for in 31% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Jason Alexander will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Teodosio in today’s game.

Bryce Teodosio’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 84.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 79.2-mph over the last two weeks.

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