
CIN @ ATL



Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, May 5th
05/05/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Braves Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts AJ Smith-Shawver in the 77th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
The Cincinnati Reds have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Callihan).
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 7th-best for hitting on the slate today.
AJ Smith-Shawver will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.
When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Brady Singer in the 75th percentile among all SPs in the league.
Brady Singer was in good form in his previous start and put up 8 strikeouts.
Brady Singer’s 2368.9-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 75th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Braves
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects AJ Smith-Shawver to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 74 pitches.
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
AJ Smith-Shawver’s 2130-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 14th percentile among all starters.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brady Singer today.
Brady Singer’s slider percentage has decreased by 10.5% from last year to this one (45.5% to 35%) .
Brady Singer’s 91.5-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 19th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
With a 0.81 discrepancy between Brady Singer’s 9.72 K/9 and his 8.91 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results going forward.
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