Red Sox vs Yankees match player stats | Playoffs 2025 Tuesday, September 30th

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BOS @ NYY

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Red Sox @ Yankees Matchup Details

Teams : Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Postseason Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 30th
Time : 30/09/25 18:08:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Boston Red Sox Game Postseason Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today’s matchup.

The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s launch angle lately (19.3° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 12.9° seasonal angle.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 42% on the season to 56.3% in the past week.

Anthony Volpe will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today.

Anthony Volpe has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last week.

Anthony Volpe’s launch angle recently (22.2° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 12.2° seasonal mark.

The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Max Fried.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (5.0) suggests that Nick Sogard has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 0.0 actual HR/600.

Nick Sogard has recorded a .259 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Sogard is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (52.9% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Over the last week, Masataka Yoshida’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 95-mph in recent games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yankee Stadium projects as the #7 venue in MLB for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Trevor Story is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Trevor Story will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

Trevor Story has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Alex Bregman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Cody Bellinger will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today’s game.

Amed Rosario will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Amed Rosario has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season’s 86.9-mph average.

Trent Grisham projects as the 17th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trent Grisham is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 12th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Austin Slater will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Austin Slater will hold that advantage today.

Austin Slater has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last season to 14.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet today.

Paul Goldschmidt has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Max Fried in the 83rd percentile among all starters in the majors.

Max Fried has averaged 98.4 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 99th percentile.

The Boston Red Sox (23.8% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-most strikeout-prone group of batters on the slate today.

Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 7th-best SP in Major League Baseball right now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Boston Red Sox today owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .311, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .323 this year.

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #30 venue in baseball for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his strikeout talent, Garrett Crochet projects as the 4th-best pitcher in MLB currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The New York Yankees have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Giancarlo Stanton, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Austin Wells).

Garrett Crochet has used his slider 6.2% more often this year (15.9%) than he did last year (9.7%).

Out of all SPs, Garrett Crochet’s fastball spin rate of 2460 rpm is in the 87th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Garrett Crochet as the 4th-best SP in the majors right now.

In his previous start, Garrett Crochet performed well and conceded 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last year to 16.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as Major League Baseball’s 4th-best home run hitter.

Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Giancarlo Stanton will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game.

Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Aaron Judge will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet today.

Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.1) suggests that Jarren Duran has suffered from bad luck this year with his 13.8 actual HR/600.

Jarren Duran has put up a .327 BABIP this year, placing in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today.

Austin Wells has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 100.8-mph in the past 7 days.

Austin Wells’s launch angle this year (20.5°) is significantly better than his 16.9° angle last year.

As it relates to his home run talent, Austin Wells ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 6th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Romy Gonzalez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jose Caballero will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jose Caballero has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.1-mph average to last season’s 83.5-mph figure.

Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 49.1% this season.

Nate Eaton is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Nate Eaton will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.7 ft/sec this year, Nate Eaton is remarkably fast.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have an advantage in today’s game.

Carlos Narvaez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Carlos Narvaez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.4-mph over the past 14 days.

Negatives with the New York Yankees Game Postseason Today

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #28 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yankee Stadium’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Ceddanne Rafaela’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 2.4%.

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Anthony Volpe’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 89.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Posting a .292 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Anthony Volpe finds himself in the 18th percentile for hitting ability.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the best out of all the teams playing today.

As it relates to his home run ability, Nick Sogard ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Sogard is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Nick Sogard has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.

Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #28 park in MLB for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yankee Stadium has the 6th-deepest CF fences in Major League Baseball.

Max Fried will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masataka Yoshida today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Masataka Yoshida usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried.

Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 15.5% to 8.3%.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Trevor Story’s launch angle in recent games (0.4° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably worse than his 14.7° seasonal figure.

Trevor Story and his 7.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 15th percentile, among the lowest in the majors this year.

Sporting a 5.36 K/BB rate this year, Trevor Story has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 4th percentile.

Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Alex Bregman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alex Bregman has been very fortunate this year. His .356 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

Garrett Crochet will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cody Bellinger in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.

Cody Bellinger has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 83.8-mph over the past 14 days.

Cody Bellinger’s launch angle of late (5.8° over the past 7 days) is significantly lower than his 18.3° seasonal mark.

Amed Rosario has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Amed Rosario has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 28% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.

Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 16th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Hitting from the same side that Garrett Crochet throws from, Trent Grisham will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Trent Grisham’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 96 mph to 90.2 mph.

From last year to this one, Trent Grisham’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 21% to 17.8%.

As it relates to his home runs, Trent Grisham has had some very good luck this year. His 35.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.1.

Austin Slater is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

31% of the time that Austin Slater has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Austin Slater hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Paul Goldschmidt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

When it comes to power, Paul Goldschmidt is ranked in the 15th percentile, having paced 10.5 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

This year, Rob Refsnyder has been pinch hit for in 37% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.

Rob Refsnyder will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Despite posting a .359 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rob Refsnyder has had some very good luck given the .028 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #21 venue in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Boston’s 90.2-mph average exit velocity this year is among the best in the game: #3 overall.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Garrett Crochet is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers on the slate.

Garrett Crochet will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Garrett Crochet’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.3 mph this season (95.8 mph) below where it was last season (97.1 mph).

The best projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the New York Yankees.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the same side that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been lucky this year, compiling a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .020 discrepancy.

In today’s matchup, Giancarlo Stanton is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (76th percentile).

Giancarlo Stanton’s speed has fallen off this season. His 24.46 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.44 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (38.4) suggests that Giancarlo Stanton has been lucky this year with his 51.2 actual HR/600.

Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Aaron Judge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 25.6% down to 20.6%.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Aaron Judge has been lucky this year. His .463 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .424.

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Max Fried will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jarren Duran in today’s game.

Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Austin Wells is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Garrett Crochet will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Wells in today’s game.

Austin Wells has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Over the past week, Austin Wells’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Romy Gonzalez has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.

Extreme flyball batters like Romy Gonzalez are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried.

Romy Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Romy Gonzalez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

Jose Caballero is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

This year, Jose Caballero has been pinch hit for in 13% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.

Today, Jose Caballero is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.7% rate (94th percentile).

Despite posting a .309 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Caballero has been very fortunate given the .019 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nate Eaton in the 15th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

53% of the time that Nate Eaton has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Nate Eaton hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Nate Eaton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Carlos Narvaez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.282) implies that Carlos Narvaez has had some very good luck this year with his .315 actual wOBA.

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