Red Sox @ Yankees Matchup Details

Positives for the Boston Red Sox Game Today

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest fences among all parks.

Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Volpe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 16.6% on the season to 42.9% in the past week.

By putting up a .303 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Anthony Volpe finds himself in the 78th percentile.

This season, Anthony Volpe has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.8 mph compared to last year’s 90.6 mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage today.

Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Ben Rice will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage in today’s game.

The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Bats such as Masataka Yoshida with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Gil who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Roman Anthony’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Roman Anthony can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Roman Anthony ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bats such as Roman Anthony with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Gil who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Trevor Story has recorded a .334 BABIP this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Lucas Giolito in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ryan McMahon has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.3-mph over the past 7 days.

When estimating his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

This season, Alex Bregman has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.6 mph compared to last year’s 90.9 mph mark.

With a .398 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Alex Bregman finds himself in the 98th percentile.

Placing in the 95th percentile, Alex Bregman has put up a .300 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito today.

Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

When it comes to his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Lucas Giolito today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the past week, Trent Grisham’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 102.2-mph in recent games.

Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage today.

The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Hitters such as Nathaniel Lowe with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Gil who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Nathaniel Lowe’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (21.3° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 12.3° seasonal mark.

Nathaniel Lowe has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .216 BA is a good deal lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The New York Yankees projected offense projects as the strongest of the day in terms of overall batting ability.

Lucas Giolito will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Lucas Giolito’s 2235-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 19th percentile out of all starters.

Lucas Giolito has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.63 figure is quite a bit lower than his 4.38 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Lucas Giolito has averaged 93.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

The New York Yankees have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jazz Chisholm Jr., Aaron Judge, Ryan McMahon).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today’s game.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Aaron Judge’s launch angle in recent games (23.2° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 18.5° seasonal figure.

Aaron Judge has posted a .467 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Luis Gil will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Luis Gil’s 95.5-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.2-mph drop off from last year’s 96.7-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Luis Gil in the 87th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Carlos Narvaez, Romy Gonzalez, Trevor Story).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jarren Duran ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand today.

Jarren Duran has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jarren Duran has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 96.5-mph over the last 7 days.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Romy Gonzalez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball hitters like Romy Gonzalez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Gil.

Romy Gonzalez has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.5% rate last year to 15.4% this year.

In the last week, Romy Gonzalez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 104.6-mph recently.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Romy Gonzalez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carlos Narvaez’s 91.4-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the majors this year: 82nd percentile.

Negatives with the New York Yankees Game Today

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #28 venue in the majors for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yankee Stadium’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense.

This game is forecasted to have the best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Lucas Giolito will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Volpe in today’s game.

Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #27 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #27 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Placing in the 19th percentile, Ben Rice sits with a .267 BABIP this year.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #28 field in MLB for overall left-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

13% of the time that Masataka Yoshida has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Yankee Stadium has the 6th-deepest CF fences among all major league parks.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masataka Yoshida in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida’s launch angle this year (4.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 10.5° figure last year.

In today’s matchup, Roman Anthony is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (77th percentile).

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Roman Anthony in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Roman Anthony’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 96.8 mph to 91.8 mph.

Luis Gil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Story today.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Trevor Story has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 14 days.

Ryan McMahon has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Ryan McMahon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Ryan McMahon’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.

Batting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Alex Bregman meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Typically, hitters like Alex Bregman who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Luis Gil.

Over the last week, Cody Bellinger’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.7%.

As it relates to his home runs, Cody Bellinger has been very fortunate this year. His 29.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.4.

Trent Grisham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

There has been a significant decline in Trent Grisham’s launch angle from last year’s 19.3° to 16.1° this year.

Trent Grisham’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 17.3% on the season to 9.7% in the past two weeks.

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

In today’s game, Nathaniel Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.4% rate (98th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathaniel Lowe today.

It may be smart to expect worse results for the New York Yankees offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the worst stadium in the game for BABIP.

Lucas Giolito has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 7 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

Sporting a .236 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jazz Chisholm Jr. is ranked in the 23rd percentile.

Lucas Giolito will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (86th percentile).

Aaron Judge has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 25.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 16.7% in the last week.

Luis Gil has averaged 81 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Luis Gil is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #8 HR venue in MLB in today’s game.

Because flyball batters have a substantial advantage over groundball pitchers, Luis Gil and his 38.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in this matchup being matched up with 4 opposing GB bats.

Luis Gil conceded a monstrous 5 earned runs in his last start.

Luis Gil has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 10.05 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.68 — a 0.37 K/9 difference.

Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran today.

Jarren Duran’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (5.4°) is significantly lower than his 8.4° mark last season.

Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Luis Gil will have the handedness advantage over Romy Gonzalez today.

Romy Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Carlos Narvaez will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Narvaez in today’s game.

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