Red Sox vs White Sox match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, April 13th

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Red Sox vs White Sox match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, April 13th

BOS @ CWS

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World Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, April 13th
13/04/25 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs White Sox Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #3 venue in baseball for overall left-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme flyball batters like Wilyer Abreu tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shane Smith.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average.

Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #5 stadium in the majors for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #3 field in the league for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Ceddanne Rafaela has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 14.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.3.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB.

Chase Meidroth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s game.

Chase Meidroth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Chase Meidroth’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brian Walsh profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

Shane Smith will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 ballpark in baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In MLB, Guaranteed Rate Field’s left field fences are the 4th-shallowest.

Boston Red Sox hitters collectively place 4th- in baseball for power since the start of last season when using their 9.2% Barrel%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 14th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Brooks Baldwin will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.6) suggests that Matt Thaiss has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 5.5 actual HR/600.

Sporting a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Matt Thaiss has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Matt Thaiss has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.1 mph) put him among the league’s best: in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Shane Smith in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Trevor Story has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story grades out in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Bats such as Alex Bregman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shane Smith who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Michael A. Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have an advantage in today’s game.

Michael A. Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Luis Robert Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Chicago White Sox offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

Projected catcher Carlos Narvaez grades out as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 8 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Garrett Crochet meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, Garrett Crochet projects as the 6th-best SP in baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Luis Robert Jr., Matt Thaiss).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Andrew Vaughn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Triston Casas is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Triston Casas will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith in today’s game.

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jacob Amaya will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jacob Amaya has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jacob Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jacob Amaya has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .171 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .199.

Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Miguel Vargas will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Lenyn Sosa has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs White Sox Series Game 3

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game expects the 5th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Wilyer Abreu in today’s game.

In the last week, Wilyer Abreu’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 94.9 mph to 88.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 21st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Shane Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela today.

When estimating his home run skill, Chase Meidroth ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chase Meidroth is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

Typically, batters like Chase Meidroth who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Garrett Crochet.

The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.

Recording 75.3 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season on average, Shane Smith falls in the 1st percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Matt Thaiss (the White Sox’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

The #1 field in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Shane Smith (44.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Boston’s projected batting order.

Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #7 HR venue in MLB — in this matchup.

Despite technically being the “starter” today, Shane Smith may not stay on the mound for more than a couple framess since he will function as more of an opener.

Kristian Campbell is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Shane Smith will have the handedness advantage against Kristian Campbell today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kristian Campbell in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brooks Baldwin ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brooks Baldwin is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Brooks Baldwin’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 94.5-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 91.7-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Thaiss in the 7th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Matt Thaiss has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

12% of the time that Matt Thaiss has started against a southpaw since the start of last season, he has been pulled from the game early.

Garrett Crochet will have the handedness advantage over Matt Thaiss in today’s game.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.342) suggests that Rafael Devers has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .360 actual wOBA.

Shane Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Story in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Trevor Story’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 92.4 mph to 88.2 mph.

Batting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Alex Bregman meets a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.7) suggests that Alex Bregman has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 23.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 13th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Since the start of last season, Michael A. Taylor has been pinch hit for in 17% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.

Grading out in the 2nd percentile, Michael A. Taylor has put up a .246 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Checking in at the 3rd percentile, Michael A. Taylor has put up a .297 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

Luis Robert Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 90-mph figure last season has dropped off to 85.7-mph.

Luis Robert Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 87.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 80.2-mph over the past 7 days.

Luis Robert Jr. has posted a .289 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 22nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Garrett Crochet projects as the 12th-best starter in the league right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order grades out as the 3rd-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

Garrett Crochet will “start” for Boston Red Sox in today’s matchup but will serve in the role of an opener and may not stay on the mound for more than a couple innings.

Generating 14.5 outs per outing since the start of last season on average, Garrett Crochet checks in at the 15th percentile.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

Garrett Crochet’s 95-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 2.1-mph fall off from last season’s 97.1-mph figure.

From last season to this one, Andrew Vaughn’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 41.3% to 35.3%.

With a 3.55 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Andrew Vaughn has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 24th percentile.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Triston Casas in today’s game.

Triston Casas’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 90.2-mph EV last year has lowered to 87.1-mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.287) provides evidence that Triston Casas has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .321 actual wOBA.

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 82.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Jarren Duran’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (3.8°) is considerably worse than his 8.4° figure last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jacob Amaya ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jacob Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Jacob Amaya has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season.

Miguel Vargas’s BABIP skill is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Vargas has been pulled from the game early 22% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter since the start of last season.

Miguel Vargas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 11.8% to 6.3%.

Checking in at the 16th percentile, Miguel Vargas has posted a .231 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lenyn Sosa in the 25th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Lenyn Sosa has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

Lenyn Sosa has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 83.6-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 5th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have a disadvantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Carlos Narvaez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

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