Tigers vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, April 13th

|
Tigers vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, April 13th

DET @ MIN

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Series Game 3Tigers vs TwinsTigers vs TwinsTigers vs TwinsTigers vs TwinsTigers vs TwinsTigers vs Twins

World Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, April 13th
13/04/25 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Twins Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard today.

Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

The #8 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge today.

Extreme groundball batters like Javier Baez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.3) provides evidence that Javier Baez has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 11.0 actual HR/600.

Target Field grades out as the #9 venue in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Javier Baez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .233 mark is a good deal lower than his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Casey Mize.

Willi Castro will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

There has been a significant improvement in Willi Castro’s launch angle from last year’s 13.4° to 21° this year.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.9) may lead us to conclude that Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 11.3 actual HR/600.

The Minnesota Twins have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Wallner, Byron Buxton, Edouard Julien).

Casey Mize has used his slider 9.8% more often this season (37.1%) than he did last season (27.3%).

Casey Mize has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 7.11 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.52 — a 0.41 K/9 gap.

In his previous GS, Casey Mize was in good form and gave up 0 ER.

Casey Mize has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA since the start of last season; his 4.11 mark is considerably higher than his 3.85 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Carlos Correa is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Carlos Correa will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.0) suggests that Carlos Correa has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 19.7 actual HR/600.

By putting up a .366 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carlos Correa is positioned in the 95th percentile for hitting ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an edge today.

Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 15.3% to 20.6%.

Zach McKinstry has been lifting the ball well lately, compiling a 25.4° launch angle in the last week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Zach McKinstry has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .285 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ty France has been hot lately, compiling a a 15% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Ty France’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 41.6% to 60%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game’s 18th-best home run batter.

Byron Buxton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Extreme groundball batters like Byron Buxton tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Casey Mize.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Byron Buxton has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph EV.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today.

Ryan Jeffers has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, striking balls between -4° and 26° 60% of the time in the last two weeks.

Ryan Jeffers has hit 25.7 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile for power.

Posting a 94-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days, Ryan Jeffers has been in great form in recent games.

Over the past two weeks, Ryan Jeffers has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 21.9° angle.

Checking in at the 85th percentile, the hardest ball Ryan Jeffers has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.9 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Gleyber Torres is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Gleyber Torres has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important skill for batting average), grading out in the 93rd percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

In terms of plate discipline, Gleyber Torres’s ability is quite good, sporting a 1.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

The Barrel% of Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 12.9% this year.

Spencer Torkelson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last season’s 90.5-mph mark.

Compared to last year, Spencer Torkelson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.6% to 25.8% this season.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene has put up a .350 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Putting up a 94.8-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days, Dillon Dingler has been in great form in recent games.

Dillon Dingler has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, angling balls between 23° and 34° 22.2% of the time in the past 14 days.

Over the past 14 days, Dillon Dingler has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .460.

The Detroit Tigers have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler, Riley Greene).

Simeon Woods Richardson will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats across the board.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Simeon Woods Richardson must realize this, because he has used his secondary pitches a lot since the start of last season: 59.6% of the time, ranking in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Trevor Larnach has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .324 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .350 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kerry Carpenter has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.7-mph average to last year’s 96.3-mph figure.

Kerry Carpenter’s launch angle this year (25.5°) is considerably better than his 17.3° figure last year.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Edouard Julien has been hot lately, compiling a a 20.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) over the past two weeks.

Edouard Julien has exhibited some good exit velocity indicators lately, averaging 103-mph on his flyballs over the past two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.305) may lead us to conclude that Edouard Julien has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .282 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as the majors’s 15th-best home run hitter.

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Matt Wallner will have the upper hand today.

Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Casey Mize.

Matt Wallner will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Twins Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Sweeney in the 24th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Trey Sweeney is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Target Field has the 5th-highest fences in the majors.

Trey Sweeney hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trey Sweeney today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Sweeney in the 21st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

In the last week’s worth of games, Trey Sweeney’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield fences in the league.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colt Keith today.

Colt Keith’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.8-mph average last year has dropped off to 80.1-mph.

Colt Keith’s launch angle this season (6.5°) is considerably worse than his 11.2° mark last year.

Over the past 7 days, Colt Keith has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 21st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Javier Baez is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Javier Baez meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Javier Baez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 90.6-mph mark last season has dropped to 83.3-mph.

In the last week’s worth of games, Willi Castro has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).

Grading out in the 19th percentile for power, Willi Castro has paced 11.2 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Casey Mize is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jansen Visconti) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

Considering that flyball batters hold a significant edge over groundball pitchers, Casey Mize and his 45.4% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position in today’s outing matching up with 0 opposing GB batters.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Casey Mize today.

Casey Mize will “start” for Detroit Tigers in today’s game but will fill the role of an opener and may not pitch more than a couple frames.

The Minnesota Twins have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,The #5 venue in the league for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Carlos Correa will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

From last season to this one, Carlos Correa’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.3 mph to 89.4 mph.

Carlos Correa’s launch angle this season (5.7°) is significantly worse than his 9° angle last year.

Compiling a -6.7° launch angle over the past week suggests that Carlos Correa has been finding it challenging to lift the ball of late, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Zach McKinstry is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zach McKinstry in today’s game.

Zach McKinstry’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.7-mph figure last season has fallen to 89.7-mph.

Sporting a .285 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Zach McKinstry is positioned in the 19th percentile.

Ty France is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Ty France faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Ty France’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.3-mph figure last year has dropped to 90.7-mph.

This season, there has been a decline in Ty France’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.14 ft/sec last year to 24.35 ft/sec currently.

Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage over Byron Buxton today.

Byron Buxton’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 43.4% to 25%.

Byron Buxton has exhibited weak plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile with a 5.51 K/BB rate.

Byron Buxton’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 91.7-mph EV last year has dropped off to 87.4-mph.

Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

Casey Mize will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 26.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.03 ft/sec now.

Ryan Jeffers has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 25.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 21.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Simeon Woods Richard will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres in today’s game.

Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Gleyber Torres’s speed has decreased this year. His 26.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.29 ft/sec now.

Gleyber Torres has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .261 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (10.9) implies that Gleyber Torres has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 14.2 actual HR/600.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Spencer Torkelson has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Spencer Torkelson who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Simeon Woods Richard.

Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Spencer Torkelson has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .316 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .270.

Riley Greene hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Riley Greene in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Riley Greene’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

Riley Greene has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 80.9-mph in the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 6.4°, Riley Greene has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) in the last 14 days.

Dillon Dingler is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Dillon Dingler will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dillon Dingler in today’s matchup.

Dillon Dingler’s speed has dropped off this season. His 27.51 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.86 ft/sec now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Ryan Jeffers (the Twins’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Simeon Woods Richardson’s 2188.7-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 19th percentile among all starters.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Detroit Tigers today carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .314, which is quite a bit lower than their actual wOBA of .332 this year.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward,Simeon Woods Richardson will “start” for Minnesota Twins in today’s matchup but will be treated as more of an opener and may not stay in the game more than a couple framess.

Generating 14.3 outs per start since the start of last season on average, Simeon Woods Richardson places in the 11th percentile.

Trevor Larnach has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last year has lowered to 0% this year.

Trevor Larnach’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 92-mph figure last season has lowered to 87.1-mph.

Trevor Larnach’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 19.4% to 5.4%.

This year, Kerry Carpenter has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kerry Carpenter in today’s game.

Kerry Carpenter has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 18.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.

In the past week’s worth of games, Kerry Carpenter’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 33.3%.

Edouard Julien is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

This year, Edouard Julien has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 33% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

By putting up a .331 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Edouard Julien is ranked in the 9th percentile.

Grading out in the 16th percentile, Edouard Julien has put up a .281 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Sporting a .209 batting average since the start of last season, Edouard Julien is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.348) provides evidence that Matt Wallner has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .378 actual wOBA.

Latest Minnesota Twins Match Player Stats

Latest Detroit Tigers Match Player Stats