Red Sox vs Phillies match player stats | 2025 Monday, July 21st

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Red Sox vs Phillies match player stats | 2025 Monday, July 21st

BOS @ PHI

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Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies

Todays Game is on Monday, July 21st
21/07/25 18:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Phillies Matchup Today

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces.

Among every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Walker Buehler’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (59.8% compared to 54.7% last year) ought to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Walker Buehler has been unlucky this year, putting up a 6.12 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.85 — a 1.27 deviation.

Walker Buehler has recorded a 1.9 K/BB rate this year, placing in the 13th percentile.

As it relates to his strikeout ability, Zack Wheeler projects as the 5th-best pitcher in the majors right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zack Wheeler has been granted an above-average leash this year, recording 8.8 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.

In his previous game started, Zack Wheeler turned in a great performance and notched 8 strikeouts.

Zack Wheeler projects as the 3rd-best starter in Major League Baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zack Wheeler was firing on all cylinders in his last game started and allowed 1 ER.

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Phillies

Recording 14.6 outs per outing this year on average, Walker Buehler checks in at the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for walks.

Citizens Bank Park has the 7th-shallowest left field fences in the majors.

Walker Buehler’s 93.5-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.6-mph decline from last year’s 95.1-mph figure.

With a 6.07 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Walker Buehler checks in at the 1st percentile.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Zack Wheeler has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 59.6% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Given the 0.15 deviation between Zack Wheeler’s 11.36 K/9 and his 11.21 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform worse the rest of the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today.

Zack Wheeler has notched a .242 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Zack Wheeler’s 95.5-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 86th percentile among all SPs.

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