Red Sox vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, August 9th

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Red Sox vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, August 9th

BOS @ SD

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Red Sox @ Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Boston Red Sox at San Diego Padres
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, August 9th
Time : 09/08/25 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Boston Red Sox Game Today

When assessing his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fences in the league.

Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today’s matchup.

Wilyer Abreu’s launch angle this season (23.9°) is considerably better than his 19° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Wilyer Abreu’s 12.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 76th percentile this year.

Wilyer Abreu’s 91.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in the league this year: 81st percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Petco Park profiles as the #7 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last season’s 86.6-mph figure.

Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.04 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is remarkably athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jackson Merrill will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

The shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Petco Park.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year’s 88-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Roman Anthony will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, Roman Anthony grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .366.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year’s 89.6-mph EV.

When it comes to his home run skill, Trevor Story ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Notching 3 dingers over the past 14 days, Trevor Story has been on fire lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

This year, Trevor Story has an average exit velocity of 91.2 mph, which is one of the best in baseball at the 79th percentile.

Checking in at the 83rd percentile of THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year, Trevor Story demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields – a core ability for achieving a high batting average.

Placing in the 91st percentile, Trevor Story sits with a .335 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Alex Bregman has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.1-mph average to last year’s 90.9-mph average.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Bregman ranks in the 84th percentile with a 18° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

Ryan O’Hearn’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ryan O’Hearn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 40.8% to 47%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Ramon Laureano will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ramon Laureano has been hot recently, putting up a .381 wOBA in the past week.

In notching a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Ramon Laureano is positioned in the 75th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Manny Machado has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last season’s 93.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In terms of plate discipline, Jake Cronenworth’s skill is quite good, posting a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 81st percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year’s 28.28 ft/sec to 28.82 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The 5th-best projected offense on the slate in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the San Diego Padres.

It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Lucas Giolito will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Recording 93.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Lucas Giolito ranks in the 86th percentile.

Petco Park ranks as the #5 field in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael King in the 90th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

With a 1.18 difference between Michael King’s 2.59 ERA and his 3.77 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year and figures to see worse results in the future.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Michael King today.

There has been a significant improvement in Jarren Duran’s launch angle from last season’s 9.4° to 12.7° this year.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Game Today

Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Petco Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense.

The weather forecast projects the 4th-best pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Wilyer Abreu pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

Petco Park projects as the #23 venue in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Michael King will have the handedness advantage over Ceddanne Rafaela in today’s matchup.

Petco Park grades out as the #23 venue in the game for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today.

Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Masataka Yoshida’s launch angle from last year’s 10.5° to 2.2° this year.

Masataka Yoshida has been cold of late, limping his way to a .263 wOBA over the past 14 days.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Roman Anthony in today’s matchup.

Roman Anthony’s 4.8° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in MLB: 10th percentile.

Lucas Giolito will have the handedness advantage over Xander Bogaerts today.

Xander Bogaerts is in the 20th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (13.5% rate this year).

Michael King will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Story in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Alex Bregman will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman today.

Alex Bregman’s quickness has dropped off this year. His 26.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.03 ft/sec now.

Abraham Toro’s BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Abraham Toro is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Abraham Toro will bat from his bad side against Michael King today.

Ryan O’Hearn has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the same side that Lucas Giolito throws from, Ramon Laureano faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Ramon Laureano’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (16°) is a considerable dropoff from his 19.9° angle last year.

Lucas Giolito will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 47.2% to 41.1%.

This year, Jake Cronenworth’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 19th percentile at 90 mph.

Batting from the same side that Lucas Giolito throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.8% to 42.1%.

When assessing his home run ability, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.9-mph mark last season has decreased to 85.6-mph.

Utilizing Statcast data, Luis Arraez grades out in the 24th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .298.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) behind the plate in today’s game.

Petco Park profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

San Diego Padres batters jointly grade out 27th- in the league for power this year when judging by their 7.2% Barrel%.

The San Diego Padres (18.2 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Lucas Giolito’s 2234-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 20th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Michael King to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 76 pitches.

Michael King’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this year (91.8 mph) below where it was last year (93 mph).

Michael King’s high usage percentage of his fastball (53% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Michael King has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.35 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.79 — a 0.56 K/9 gap.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Michael King’s overall pitching talent is in the 91st percentile out of all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.

It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Boston Red Sox offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

This season, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.6 ft/sec last year to 29.09 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 25th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Lucas Giolito will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin today.

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