Red Sox vs Astros match player stats | 2026 World Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 1st

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BOS @ HOU

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Red Sox @ Astros Series Game 3 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Teams : Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros
2025 WorldSeries Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 1st
Time : 01/04/26 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Boston Red Sox World Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) implies that Willson Contreras has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .252 actual batting average.

Since the start of last season, Willson Contreras’s 13.5% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Isaac Paredes will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (48% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony as the 7th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Roman Anthony will have an advantage in today’s game.

Since the start of last season, Roman Anthony’s 15% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 91st percentile among his peers.

Jose Altuve’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jose Altuve will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jose Altuve will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Carlos Correa is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .326 BABIP since the start of last season, Carlos Correa finds himself in the 86th percentile.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s game.

Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Christian Walker’s 12.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

Garrett Crochet projects as the 6th-best starting pitcher in baseball currently when estimating his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average starter, Garrett Crochet has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an extra 9.0 adjusted pitches each game.

In his previous game started, Garrett Crochet performed well and posted 8 strikeouts.

Among all SPs, Garrett Crochet’s fastball velocity of 95.8 mph grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

Among all starters, Garrett Crochet’s fastball spin rate of 2457.9 rpm is in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

With a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, Trevor Story has performed in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcelo Mayer in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Marcelo Mayer will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows today.

Marcelo Mayer has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Mike Burrows in the 75th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Mike Burrows will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Mike Burrows has relied on his non-fastballs 9.3% more often this year (64.9%) than he did last season (55.6%).

Mike Burrows’s 94.8-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Mike Burrows has notched a 12.3% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Yordan Alvarez’s 13.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

Yordan Alvarez has posted a .286 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Jake Meyers’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jake Meyers will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Sporting a .354 BABIP since the start of last season, Jake Meyers is ranked in the 98th percentile.

When assessing his home run talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows today.

Since the start of last season, Wilyer Abreu’s 12.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers.

As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Roman Anthony ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cam Smith’s BABIP skill is projected in the 98th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Cam Smith will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cam Smith will hold that advantage today.

Cam Smith has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .232 rate is a fair amount lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Garrett Crochet projects as the 3rd-best pitcher in MLB right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Garrett Crochet was firing on all cylinders in his last start and conceded 0 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Brice Matthews will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet today.

Brice Matthews pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brice Matthews will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Negatives with the Houston Astros World Series Game 3 Game Today

Hitting from the same side that Michael Burrows throws from, Willson Contreras faces a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willson Contreras in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes’s 5.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 24th percentile since the start of last season.

Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Roman Anthony will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Roman Anthony has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .288 mark is a good deal higher than his .264 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the best among every team playing today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) provides evidence that Jose Altuve has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .269 actual batting average.

Today, Carlos Correa is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.6% rate (78th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

The Houston Astros have 8 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Burrows throws from, Trevor Story will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Trevor Story has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Michael Burrows throws from, Carlos Narvaez has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Carlos Narvaez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Carlos Narvaez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Marcelo Mayer is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Marcelo Mayer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Mike Burrows has been granted less leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an -15.1 fewer adjusted pitches each game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Burrows throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ceddanne Rafaela today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) suggests that Carlos Narvaez has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .245 actual batting average.

Garrett Crochet will hold the platoon advantage over Yordan Alvarez in today’s matchup.

Boston’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jake Meyers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jake Meyers’s 5.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.

Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wilyer Abreu in today’s game.

When it comes to his batting average, Wilyer Abreu has been lucky since the start of last season. His .257 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230.

Isaac Paredes’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.226) implies that Isaac Paredes has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .252 actual batting average.

Cam Smith is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Cam Smith has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Sporting a .232 batting average since the start of last season, Cam Smith has performed in the 25th percentile.

Brice Matthews is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

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