Rays vs Brewers match player stats | 2026 World Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 1st

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TB @ MIL

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Rays @ Brewers Series Game 3 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Teams : Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers
2025 WorldSeries Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 1st
Time : 01/04/26 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Tampa Bay Rays World Series Game 3 Game Today

When assessing his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Checking in at the 98th percentile, Yandy Diaz sits with a .305 batting average since the start of last season.

Jake Fraley is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today.

Sal Frelick’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today’s game.

Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Sal Frelick will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Sporting a .290 batting average since the start of last season, Sal Frelick finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Drew Rasmussen’s overall pitching talent is in the 94th percentile among all starters in baseball currently.

The 5th-weakest projected offense on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.

CB Bucknor grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.

Drew Rasmussen is an extreme groundball pitcher (47% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in American Family Field — the #8 HR venue among all parks — today.

Jacob Misiorowski’s four-seamer usage has jumped by 10.5% from last season to this one (54.4% to 64.9%) .

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Junior Caminero’s 13.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Chandler Simpson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.313) provides evidence that Chandler Simpson has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .298 actual batting average.

Posting a .300 batting average since the start of last season, Chandler Simpson has performed in the 96th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Since the start of last season, Jake Bauers’s 13.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 87th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and William Contreras will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today’s matchup.

Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Carson Williams’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carson Williams hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jake Bauers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand today.

Jonathan Aranda’s 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

With a 1.22 difference between Drew Rasmussen’s 2.73 ERA and his 3.95 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season and should negatively regress in future games.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run ability, Carson Williams ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Lockridge will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Garrett Mitchell will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Christian Yelich will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Drew Rasmussen’s 95.2-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 81st percentile among all starters.

Among all starting pitchers, Drew Rasmussen’s fastball spin rate of 2482 rpm ranks in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

Drew Rasmussen has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up a 7.49 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.03 — a 0.54 K/9 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 10th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.

Sporting a .319 batting average since the start of last season, Jonathan Aranda has performed in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

When estimating his strikeout ability, Jacob Misiorowski projects as the 20th-best starter in the majors currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last GS, Jacob Misiorowski turned in a great performance and notched 11 strikeouts.

Luis Rengifo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Luis Rengifo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) suggests that Luis Rengifo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .237 actual batting average.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brice Turang ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Negatives with the Milwaukee Brewers World Series Game 3 Game Today

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate.

Batting from the same side that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Yandy Diaz will be in a tough position today.

In today’s matchup, Yandy Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 43.8% rate (100th percentile).

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today.

Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Fraley today.

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Sal Frelick has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .285 BA is a good deal higher than his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sal Frelick’s 3.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Rasmussen to throw 79 pitches today (least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

With 7 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Drew Rasmussen will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Drew Rasmussen in today’s matchup.

Drew Rasmussen’s high utilization rate of his fastball (57.8% since the start of last season) is likely weakening his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jacob Misiorowski in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Jacob Misiorowski will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 14th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

David Hamilton is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

David Hamilton has put up a .224 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile.

Jacob Misiorowski has been given less leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 9.7 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.

Jacob Misiorowski has shown bad control since the start of last season, posting a 12th percentile BB% of 11.7%.

Jacob Misiorowski will hold the platoon advantage over Junior Caminero today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Junior Caminero in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) provides evidence that Junior Caminero has been lucky since the start of last season with his .265 actual batting average.

As it relates to his home run ability, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Chandler Simpson today.

Jake Bauers’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Bauers pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Drew Rasmussen will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today’s game.

Carson Williams is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

Jacob Misiorowski will have the handedness advantage over Carson Williams today.

Carson Williams will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Jonathan Aranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Jonathan Aranda will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Since the start of last season, Chandler Simpson’s 0% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lockridge ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lockridge is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Drew Rasmussen will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Lockridge in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Brandon Lockridge is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.8% rate (91st percentile).

Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.207) suggests that Brandon Lockridge has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .241 actual batting average.

Drew Rasmussen wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out in his previous game started and notched 2 Ks.

In terms of his batting average, Jonathan Aranda has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .319 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .290.

Cedric Mullins will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Considering the 2.38 discrepancy between Jacob Misiorowski’s 12.42 K/9 and his 10.04 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should see negative regression in the future.

When assessing his home run talent, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen,Luis Rengifo’s 4.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.

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