Mets vs Cardinals match player stats | 2026 World Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 1st

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Mets @ Cardinals Series Game 3 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Teams : New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals
2025 WorldSeries Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 1st
Time : 01/04/26 13:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the New York Mets World Series Game 3 Game Today

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

With a .269 batting average since the start of last season, Jorge Polanco is positioned in the 75th percentile.

When it comes to his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Francisco Alvarez’s 12.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

Francisco Alvarez has notched a .321 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Matthew Liberatore in today’s matchup.

Checking in at the 80th percentile, Francisco Lindor has put up a .273 batting average since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) may lead us to conclude that Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .223 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Luis Robert Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 3rd-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.

Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bo Bichette will hold the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.

Bo Bichette has compiled a .308 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jordan Walker’s 12% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Pedro Pages is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an advantage in today’s game.

JJ Wetherholt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Juan Soto’s 17.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Nathan Church will have the upper hand today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Marcus Semien will have an advantage in today’s game.

In terms of his batting average, Marcus Semien has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .227 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Victor Scott II has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .221 rate is quite a bit lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today’s game.

Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Freddy Peralta in the 94th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

Recording 95.3 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season on average, Freddy Peralta places him the 93rd percentile.

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Walker, Pedro Pages, Nolan Gorman).

In his last start, Freddy Peralta was firing on all cylinders and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Freddy Peralta’s 2440.1-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 85th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Bo Bichette ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Freddy Peralta in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

The St. Louis Cardinals projected batting order profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

Freddy Peralta has compiled a 12.9% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Pedro Pages, the Cardinals’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Matthew Liberatore will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In his last game started, Matthew Liberatore turned in a great performance and allowed 1 ER.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Matthew Liberatore must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 59.9% of the time, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Given the 0.49 deviation between Matthew Liberatore’s 7.12 K/9 and his 7.61 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should see positive regression going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals World Series Game 3 Game Today

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Matthew Liberatore in this game.

In today’s matchup, Jorge Polanco is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).

The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among all the teams today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Polanco today.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Francisco Alvarez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.231) may lead us to conclude that Francisco Alvarez has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .259 actual batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Masyn Winn has a tough challenge today.

Masyn Winn’s 4.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.

Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyrone Taylor in today’s matchup.

Tyrone Taylor’s 3.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

Luis Robert Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Bo Bichette has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today’s matchup.

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.

Jordan Walker is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Freddy Peralta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker in today’s matchup.

Jordan Walker has recorded a .216 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pedro Pages ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Freddy Peralta will hold the platoon advantage over Pedro Pages today.

Pedro Pages has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.201) implies that Pedro Pages has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .231 actual batting average.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Pedro Pages has notched a .230 batting average since the start of last season.

When assessing his home run skill, Victor Scott II ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

In today’s game, Victor Scott II is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.5% rate (83rd percentile).

Victor Scott II’s 4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 13th percentile since the start of last season.

When estimating his home run talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matthew Liberatore will hold the platoon advantage against Juan Soto in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Soto today.

Nathan Church is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Marcus Semien is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

In today’s game, Marcus Semien is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (95th percentile).

Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In notching a .256 BABIP since the start of last season, Marcus Semien is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Nolan Gorman’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Ranking in the 7th percentile, Nolan Gorman sports a .210 batting average since the start of last season.

Ranking in the 20th percentile, Luis Robert Jr. sits with a .228 batting average since the start of last season.

In notching a .220 batting average since the start of last season, Victor Scott II grades out in the 15th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) suggests that Alec Burleson has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .293 actual batting average.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Nic Lentz) behind the plate in this game.

Freddy Peralta will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Freddy Peralta has gone to his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 53.4% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

With a 0.36 disparity between Freddy Peralta’s 10.45 K/9 and his 10.09 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Victor Scott II ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Given the 0.94 deviation between Freddy Peralta’s 2.82 ERA and his 3.76 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season and should perform worse going forward.

The New York Mets projected lineup profiles as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

With 8 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Matthew Liberatore faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Matthew Liberatore’s 2113.7-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 3rd percentile among all SPs.

In his previous start, Matthew Liberatore wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Checking in at the 90th percentile, Freddy Peralta has recorded a 5.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

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