
PIT @ KC



Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 9th
09/07/25 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Royals Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kris Bubic in the 90th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
Tallying 92.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Kris Bubic places him the 82nd percentile.
In his previous start, Kris Bubic was in good form and accumulated 8 strikeouts.
Kris Bubic’s 2423-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 81st percentile out of all starters.
Kris Bubic has compiled a 14.1% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.
Bailey Falter’s change-up rate has spiked by 7.2% from last season to this one (0.6% to 7.8%) .
Bailey Falter has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 5.44 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.61 — a 1.17 K/9 disparity.
Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Royals Series Game 3
Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #23 venue in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 87°.
Out of all starting pitchers, Kris Bubic’s fastball velocity of 91.7 mph is in the 23rd percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bailey Falter in the 9th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.
Compared to the average starter, Bailey Falter has been granted a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an -9.1 fewer adjusted pitches each start.
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