Pirates vs Reds match player stats | 2026 Series Game 4 Sunday, August 2nd

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PIT @ CIN

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Pirates @ Reds Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Teams : Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
Series Game 4
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, August 2nd
Time : 02/08/26 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 4 Game Today

Mitch Keller performed well in his last start and gave up 0 ER.

,Mitch Keller has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 4.83 figure is a fair amount higher than his 4.37 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Chase Burns projects as the 17th-best starter in Major League Baseball currently when assessing his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Recording 92.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Chase Burns ranks in the 83rd percentile.

,In his previous GS, Chase Burns was rolling and notched 7 strikeouts.

,Among all SPs, Chase Burns’s fastball velocity of 97.1 mph ranks in the 93rd percentile this year.

,Out of all starters, Chase Burns’s fastball spin rate of 2622 rpm grades out in the 97th percentile this year.

,With a 0.79 disparity between Mitch Keller’s 6.89 K/9 and his 7.68 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see positive regression in the future.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Burns in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

,Chase Burns was firing on all cylinders in his last GS and conceded 0 ER.

Negatives with the Cincinnati Reds Series Game 4 Game Today

The #1 park in baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

,Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.

,This game is projected to have the 4th-most humidity of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

,Mitch Keller has used his slider 7.7% less often this season (25.3%) than he did last season (33%).

,Mitch Keller’s 92.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 22nd percentile among all starters.

,Chase Burns’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (56.6% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,Placing in the 18th percentile, Mitch Keller notched an 8.8% Swinging Strike rate this year.

,Mitch Keller has compiled an 18.7% Strikeout% this year, checking in at the 25th percentile.

,The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

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