Pirates vs Reds match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Saturday, August 1st

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PIT @ CIN

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Pirates @ Reds Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, August 1st
Time : 01/08/26 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 3 Game Today

Tallying 93.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Andrew Abbott ranks in the 84th percentile.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers.

,Andrew Abbott has relied on his slider 5.9% more often this year (19.8%) than he did last year (13.9%).

,Andrew Abbott has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 7.23 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.79 — a 0.56 K/9 gap.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Braxton Ashcraft in the 89th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

,Out of all SPs, Braxton Ashcraft’s fastball velocity of 96.6 mph is in the 90th percentile this year.

,Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Braxton Ashcraft compiled a 12.8% Swinging Strike rate this year.

,Checking in at the 89th percentile, Braxton Ashcraft has put up a 27.6% strikeout rate this year.

Negatives with the Cincinnati Reds Series Game 3 Game Today

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 90%.

,Andrew Abbott’s 91.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 11th percentile among all starters.

,Andrew Abbott has recorded an 18.6% Strikeout% this year, placing in the 23rd percentile.

,Given the 0.24 discrepancy between Braxton Ashcraft’s 9.93 K/9 and his 9.69 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and should see negative regression in the future.

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