Pirates vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Friday, August 29th

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Pirates vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Friday, August 29th

PIT @ BOS

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Pirates @ Red Sox Matchup Details

Teams : Pittsburgh Pirates at Boston Red Sox
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, August 29th
Time : 29/08/25 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today

Ceddanne Rafaela’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in baseball for run-scoring.

In terms of his home runs, Ceddanne Rafaela has had some very poor luck this year. His 18.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.3.

Masataka Yoshida’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Among all stadiums, Fenway Park’s right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Masataka Yoshida is assured to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game considering none of the available options for the Pittsburgh Pirates share his handedness.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Masataka Yoshida will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Roman Anthony will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Roman Anthony is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game since none of the available options for the Pittsburgh Pirates share his handedness.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Paul Skenes as the 2nd-best SP in Major League Baseball right now.

Throwing 94.7 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Paul Skenes checks in at the 91st percentile.

In his last game started, Paul Skenes performed well and conceded 2 ER.

When estimating his strikeout skill, Paul Skenes projects as the 8th-best pitcher in the majors right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last start, Paul Skenes was firing on all cylinders and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

Trevor Story has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

This season, Alex Bregman has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year’s 90.9 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Dustin May… and even better, May has a huge platoon split.

Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Tommy Pham has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph.

Tommy Pham’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 13.5% on the season to 37.5% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.3-mph over the course of the season to 91.7-mph of late.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 46.9% on the season to 57.1% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand today.

The Pittsburgh Pirates don’t have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jarren Duran ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Liover Peguero pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Liover Peguero has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last week.

Liover Peguero’s launch angle in recent games (29° in the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 6° seasonal figure.

Nick Gonzales’s BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.

David Hamilton is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game considering none of the available options for the Pittsburgh Pirates share his handedness.

David Hamilton has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

David Hamilton has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 87.9-mph.

Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Henry Davis has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Henry Davis has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 94.3-mph in the past week.

Henry Davis has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .245 rate is a fair amount lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

In the last week’s worth of games, Henry Davis has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 22° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.4°.

Carlos Narvaez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Negatives with the Boston Red Sox Game Today

Fenway Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Paul Skenes will have the handedness advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela today.

In the past two weeks, Ceddanne Rafaela’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 3.3%.

Ceddanne Rafaela has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 84.5-mph in the last 7 days.

The league’s 2nd-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Fenway Park.

Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

Over the last 7 days, Masataka Yoshida’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

Masataka Yoshida’s launch angle this year (4.9°) is significantly worse than his 10.5° figure last season.

Roman Anthony has been lucky this year, posting a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .038 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in the game for batting average.

Among all parks, Fenway Park’s LF fences are the shallowest.

Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Paul Skenes’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this season (97.5 mph) below where it was last year (98.9 mph).

Paul Skenes has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play this year with a .262 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

Paul Skenes’s change-up utilization has jumped by 19.5% from last year to this one (5.4% to 24.9%) .

The #2 stadium in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Story today.

Trevor Story’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (1.4° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 7.1° seasonal figure.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.2) implies that Trevor Story has experienced some positive variance this year with his 23.5 actual HR/600.

Trevor Story and his 7.1° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 14th percentile, among the lowest in baseball this year.

Paul Skenes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today’s matchup.

Alex Bregman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8% seasonal rate has decreased to 2.7% over the past 14 days.

Alex Bregman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 87.7-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team playing today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s game.

In terms of plate discipline, Bryan Reynolds’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 3.68 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 21st percentile.

Dustin May will have the handedness advantage against Tommy Pham in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering May’s huge platoon split.

Tommy Pham will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

As it relates to his home run ability, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Because of Dustin May’s huge platoon split, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Jarren Duran’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 92.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.5-mph in the last 7 days.

Jarren Duran’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (-0.6° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 5.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 15th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Liover Peguero is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

Dustin May will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Liover Peguero today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering May’s huge platoon split.

Considering Dustin May’s huge platoon split, Nick Gonzales will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Gonzales today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, David Hamilton ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

David Hamilton is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

David Hamilton’s launch angle recently (6.8° in the last week) is significantly lower than his 13.3° seasonal angle.

Henry Davis’s BABIP skill is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Henry Davis is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

10% of the time that Henry Davis has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Paul Skenes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Narvaez in today’s matchup.

Carlos Narvaez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 83.5-mph over the last week.

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