Pirates @ Rangers Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 3 Game Today

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Evan Carter ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,In the league, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

,According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

,Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage over Bubba Chandler in today’s game.

,Evan Carter will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Oneil Cruz projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

,Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today’s game.

,As it relates to his BABIP skill, Konnor Griffin is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Over the past 7 days, Konnor Griffin’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 18.2%.

,Konnor Griffin’s launch angle of late (16.3° over the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 6.8° seasonal figure.

,When estimating his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Joc Pederson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Out of all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Nick Gonzales is in the 76th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .270.

,Dan Merzel profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Bubba Chandler’s fastball velocity of 98.2 mph grades out in the 99th percentile this year.

,Out of all SPs, Bubba Chandler’s fastball spin rate of 2435 rpm ranks in the 79th percentile this year.

,Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Bubba Chandler compiled a 12.7% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.

,Bubba Chandler has compiled a 25% K% since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile.

,Ezequiel Duran will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Ezequiel Duran’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.9-mph now compared to just 84.5-mph then.

,Corey Seager projects as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

,Batting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today.

,In the past 7 days, Spencer Horwitz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph in recent games.

,Placing in the 80th percentile, Spencer Horwitz sits with a .345 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

,As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side against Jacob deGrom today.

,As it relates to his home runs, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 12.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.4.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage today.

,Josh Jung has been hot recently, notching a 93.3-mph average exit velocity in the past 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Marcell Ozuna’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 25%.

,Josh Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler today.

,Josh Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Josh Smith has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.2-mph.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Jake Burger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Oneil Cruz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 97.5-mph to 101.7-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Ryan O’Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom in today’s matchup.

,Danny Jansen is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#1-worst of the day).

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jacob deGrom’s slider usage has decreased by 5.6% from last year to this one (37.6% to 32%) .

,Jacob deGrom has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 2.90 mark is considerably lower than his 3.69 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Jacob deGrom has been one of the luckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play since the start of last season with a .241 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

,Danny Jansen has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 89.3-mph.

,Jacob deGrom projects as the 10th-best starting pitcher in MLB right now when estimating his strikeout talent, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 24.1% underlying K%.

,Jacob deGrom will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.

,In his previous start, Jacob deGrom was in good form and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage today.

,This season, Ryan O’Hearn has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.2 mph compared to last year’s 91.6 mph mark.

,Bryan Reynolds has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year’s 94.1-mph figure.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .232 mark is a good deal lower than his .297 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Sporting a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, Ezequiel Duran is positioned in the 82nd percentile.

,When assessing his home run skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Marcell Ozuna’s launch angle this year (24.6°) is quite a bit better than his 14.6° angle last year.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 21.1% on the season to 26.7% over the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Danny Jansen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,By putting up a 1.56 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Spencer Horwitz has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Negatives with the Texas Rangers Series Game 3 Game Today

Evan Carter is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

,In today’s game, Evan Carter is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (92nd percentile).

,Evan Carter’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.5-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84-mph in the past 7 days.

,In the last 7 days, Evan Carter’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

,Oneil Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Oneil Cruz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 15.8% on the season to 7.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Despite posting a .378 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Oneil Cruz has had positive variance on his side given the .032 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .346.

,Konnor Griffin is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The #1 park in the league for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

,Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

,Jacob deGrom will hold the platoon advantage against Konnor Griffin in today’s matchup.

,Out of every team playing today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

,Brandon Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Brandon Lowe’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 91-mph average last season has fallen to 86.2-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,51% of the time that Joc Pederson has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Joc Pederson has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 9.8% rate last year has fallen to 0% this year.

,Bubba Chandler will hold the platoon advantage against Josh Jung today.

,In today’s matchup, Josh Jung is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.8% rate (99th percentile).

,Josh Jung has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 9% rate last season has dropped to 1.8% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Jung’s true offensive skill to be a .316, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .042 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .358 wOBA.

,Nick Gonzales is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

,The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

,Jacob deGrom will have the handedness advantage against Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bubba Chandler to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (6th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bubba Chandler today.

,It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Bubba Chandler has gone to his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 55.1% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

,Ezequiel Duran is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,This year, Ezequiel Duran has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,Bubba Chandler will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Duran today.

,Ezequiel Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

,Spencer Horwitz has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Reynolds today.

,Over the past 7 days, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

,Henry Davis is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the 5th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed home runs.

,Jacob deGrom will hold the platoon advantage against Henry Davis today.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Henry Davis in today’s game.

,Brandon Nimmo has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 20.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Josh Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 18.3% to 8.9%.

,Jacob deGrom will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.

,Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Josh Smith is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

,Josh Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 14% on the season to 4% in the past two weeks.

,Josh Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 45.8% to 40%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 9th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Smith in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Hitting from the same side that Bubba Chandler throws from, Jake Burger encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Jake Burger hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,From last season to this one, Jake Burger’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94 mph to 89.1 mph.

,Jake Burger’s launch angle this year (7.1°) is considerably lower than his 17° mark last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 20th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Ryan O’Hearn’s launch angle in recent games (7.3° over the last 7 days) is considerably lower than his 11.2° seasonal figure.

,The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

,In his previous GS, Bubba Chandler was firing on all cylinders and allowed 0 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Danny Jansen is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

,Bubba Chandler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Danny Jansen today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jacob deGrom as the 18th-best SP in MLB right now.

,It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

,Jacob deGrom has averaged 84.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 23rd percentile.

,Brandon Lowe has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 35.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 29.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Konnor Griffin will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Ryan O’Hearn has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 13.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Horwitz in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Joc Pederson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

,Jake Burger’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 87.5-mph over the past week.

,Bryan Reynolds’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 16.4% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

,Danny Jansen’s launch angle this year (20.6°) is a significant dropoff from his 24.2° mark last season.

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