Twins @ Mets Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Minnesota Twins Series Game 3 Game Today

The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Given Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Carson Benge will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

,Carson Benge will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,In the league, Citi Field’s CF fences are the shallowest.

,Because of Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, MJ Melendez will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today’s game… and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split.

,Brett Baty has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Extreme groundball batters like Brett Baty are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Ryan Jeffers has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last season to 13.6% this season.

,Matt Wallner projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Matt Wallner will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Matt Wallner has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,When assessing his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bo Bichette is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The New York Mets have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,Lance Barksdale projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

,Royce Lewis pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Royce Lewis has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), ranking in the 78th percentile.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Royce Lewis ranks in the 78th percentile with a 17° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in baseball.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as MLB’s 10th-best home run batter.

,Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

,Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Byron Buxton’s launch angle this season (25.9°) is significantly higher than his 17.5° figure last season.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Luis Robert Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,When assessing his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.4-mph average to last year’s 96.9-mph EV.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Kody Clemens is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Kody Clemens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Scott in today’s game.

,Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Mark Vientos has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 89.6-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will get to bat from his good side against Christian Scott in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Christian Scott.

,Brooks Lee’s launch angle of late (33.3° over the past week) is a significant increase over his 16.8° seasonal mark.

,Compared to last season, Brooks Lee has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.6% to 20% this season.

,Kody Clemens has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 21.7% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Carson Benge has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 4.4% seasonal rate to 10% in the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Luke Keaschall hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Luke Keaschall has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year’s 87.8-mph figure.

,Luke Keaschall’s launch angle this year (16°) is quite a bit higher than his 10.2° mark last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Citi Field grades out as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Christian Scott will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Joe Ryan in the 93rd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

,Joe Ryan has averaged 94 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Luke Keaschall ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the New York Mets Series Game 3 Game Today

Carson Benge is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst field in the game for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

,Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

,Carson Benge’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 15.6% on the season to 10% in the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Typically, bats like MJ Melendez who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Joe Ryan.

,Brett Baty is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

,The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

,Brett Baty’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 13.3% on the season to 0% over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 2nd-worst field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.

,Joe Ryan will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Ryan’s large platoon split.

,Typically, bats like Marcus Semien who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Joe Ryan.

,Christian Scott will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers today.

,Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

,Matt Wallner is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Given Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Bo Bichette will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

,Bo Bichette has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 8.5% rate last year has dropped off to 2.9% this year.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Joe Ryan’s overall pitching talent is in the 91st percentile out of all SPs in the majors right now.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 3rd-worst park in MLB for batting average.

,Considering that flyball batters struggle against flyball pitchers, Joe Ryan (42.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Royce Lewis is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Christian Scott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Byron Buxton in today’s game.

,Byron Buxton’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 80.6-mph in the past 7 days.

,Citi Field grades out as the #28 park in the game for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Because of Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Luis Robert Jr. will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,Luis Robert Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10.2% rate last year has fallen off to 1.9% this season.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.3°, Luis Robert Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.4°) over the past two weeks.

,Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Joe Ryan will have the handedness advantage over Francisco Alvarez in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Ryan’s large platoon split.

,Marcus Semien’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.4-mph EV last season has lowered to 86.2-mph.

,Matt Wallner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,In the past two weeks, Matt Wallner’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 92.9 mph to 81.2 mph.

,Francisco Alvarez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 18.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

,Kody Clemens will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Over the last 14 days, Kody Clemens’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 34.8%.

,Kody Clemens has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 29.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 24.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,39% of the time that Trevor Larnach has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Trevor Larnach will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Over the last week, Trevor Larnach’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.

,Mark Vientos is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

,Joe Ryan will have the handedness advantage against Mark Vientos in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ryan’s large platoon split.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Bell today.

,Josh Bell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 23.7% on the season to 20% in the last week.

,Brooks Lee is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brooks Lee in today’s game.

,From last season to this one, Brooks Lee’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.5 mph to 88.2 mph.

,Kody Clemens’s BABIP skill is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Luke Keaschall has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Christian Scott throws from, Luke Keaschall will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 9th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Scott to throw 82 pitches in this matchup (2nd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Brett Baty has shown weak plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile with a 3.91 K/BB rate.

,Joe Ryan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Joe Ryan’s 92-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1-mph drop off from last season’s 93-mph mark.

,Bo Bichette’s launch angle this year (5.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 8.7° mark last season.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luke Keaschall in today’s matchup.

,Mark Vientos has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.2% rate last year has fallen off to 4.7% this year.

,Christian Scott will hold the platoon advantage against Royce Lewis in today’s matchup.

,Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

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