Phillies vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, May 26th

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PHI @ SD

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Phillies @ Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, May 26th
Time : 26/05/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 2 Game Today

Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.

,Freddy Fermin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddy Fermin’s true offensive skill to be a .279, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .068 difference between that figure and his actual .211 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Among all parks, Petco Park’s centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

,Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Bryson Stott has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,J.T. Realmuto has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph average.

,Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck given the .063 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

,In notching a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto grades out in the 77th percentile.

,Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.

,Kyle Schwarber has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez struggles to strike batters out (12th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.

,It may be smart to expect improved performance for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Nola today.

,San Diego Padres bats as a group grade out 8th- in the majors for power this year when judging by their 93-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Fernando Tatis Jr. has had some very poor luck given the .082 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez in today’s matchup.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Bryson Stott’s 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.5%.

,Over the past two weeks, Freddy Fermin’s 17.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.2%.

,The #10 ballpark in MLB for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Randy Vasquez will hold that advantage today.

,Alec Bohm’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Alec Bohm hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Alec Bohm has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 3.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent.

,Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Trea Turner’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.9% up to 14.3%.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.

,Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Randy Vasquez in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Andujar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Miguel Andujar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Miguel Andujar will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Checking in at the 88th percentile, Miguel Andujar sits with a .340 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Nick Castellanos has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 91-mph over the last 7 days.

,Alec Bohm has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 94.4-mph in the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Despite posting a .272 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has been unlucky given the .037 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

,Manny Machado has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.

,Ty France’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.1% up to 25%.

,This season, Ty France has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.8 mph compared to last year’s 90.8 mph mark.

,When it comes to his BABIP skill, Justin Crawford is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Ranking in the 95th percentile, Miguel Andujar has notched a .336 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Brandon Marsh has recorded a .278 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,With a .459 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Brandon Marsh finds himself in the 79th percentile.

,Trea Turner has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 92.9-mph over the last 7 days.

,Ty France has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .260 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .290 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge today.

,Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Gavin Sheets has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 92-mph in the past 14 days.

,Bryce Harper has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph EV.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Alec Bohm ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,This season, Jackson Merrill has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.4 mph compared to last year’s 93.4 mph mark.

,Ty France’s launch angle lately (29° in the last week’s worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 8.7° seasonal angle.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Bryson Stott has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20° angle in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 46.8% on the season to 64% in the last 14 days.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best batter in the majors.

,San Diego’s 2nd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Kyle Schwarber has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 25.7% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 18th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

,The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,Petco Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

,This contest is predicted to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,Bryson Stott is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,The #3 field in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s game.

,J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

,Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.6% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

,Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Kyle Schwarber’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.1%.

,Nestor Ceja profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.

,The #3 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

,With 6 bats who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Aaron Nola should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

,Aaron Nola has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 6.04 rate is considerably higher than his 4.56 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Aaron Nola will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.8% down to 0%.

,Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Jackson Merrill’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

,Posting a .261 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jackson Merrill is positioned in the 16th percentile.

,With a .314 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Jackson Merrill is positioned in the 20th percentile.

,Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

,Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 46.6% to 38.2%.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Marsh today.

,Brandon Marsh has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Freddy Fermin faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Randy Vasquez in the 11th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

,Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage over Alec Bohm in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Trea Turner will have a disadvantage today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

,Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Bryce Harper has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 13.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage over Miguel Andujar today.

,Miguel Andujar’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.2-mph over the past week.

,Miguel Andujar’s launch angle lately (2° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly lower than his 7.7° seasonal figure.

,Aaron Nola will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Castellanos in today’s game.

,Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 49.8% to 44.6%.

,Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Batting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Adolis Garcia will not have the upper hand today.

,Ty France is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Ty France will have a tough challenge today.

,Justin Crawford is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Crawford in today’s matchup.

,San Diego’s #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Justin Crawford, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 40% on the season to 28.6% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Brandon Marsh’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.5-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 86.5-mph over the last 14 days.

,In the past week, Brandon Marsh’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Nick Castellanos’s ability is quite bad, sporting a 4.53 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 11th percentile.

,Gavin Sheets’s BABIP talent is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

,The Philadelphia Phillies projected offense grades out as the 3rd-best of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.

,It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Philadelphia Phillies offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,Randy Vasquez has had some very good luck with his ERA this year; his 2.96 rate is a good deal lower than his 3.79 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Bohm in today’s matchup.

,Alec Bohm has averaged 8.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle from last season’s 9.6° to 0.7° this year.

,Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Adolis Garcia has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Over the last week, Bryson Stott’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

,Using Statcast data, Bryson Stott ranks in the 21st percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.300.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Justin Crawford has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 81.1-mph over the last week.

,Manny Machado’s launch angle this season (10.4°) is considerably lower than his 14.4° angle last season.

,Manny Machado has compiled a .270 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 20th percentile.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.3°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Trea Turner has put up a .272 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,In the last week, Gavin Sheets’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 0%.

,Despite posting a .359 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gavin Sheets has been lucky given the .045 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

,Today, J.T. Realmuto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (84th percentile).

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