
PHI @ SD



Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, July 12th
12/07/25 19:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Padres Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yu Darvish in the 86th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.
The weather report projects the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Yu Darvish’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (65.2% since the start of last season) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Yu Darvish has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up an 8.76 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.44 — a 0.68 K/9 deviation.
When it comes to his strikeout ability, Zack Wheeler projects as the 4th-best starting pitcher in the game currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Compared to the average starting pitcher, Zack Wheeler has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an additional 8.5 adjusted pitches each outing.
In his previous GS, Zack Wheeler was rolling and compiled 8 strikeouts.
Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Padres Series Game 2
Zack Wheeler’s high usage rate of his fastball (59.1% this year) is likely harming his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Given the 0.25 disparity between Zack Wheeler’s 11.48 K/9 and his 11.23 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see worse results going forward.
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