Phillies vs Mets match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 23rd

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Phillies vs Mets match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 23rd

PHI @ NYM

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 23rd
23/04/25 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Mets Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Tallying 94.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, David Peterson places in the 75th percentile.

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest humidity on the slate today at 31%.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. David Peterson has gone to his non-fastballs 6.7% more often this season (49.2%) than he did last season (42.5%).

With a 0.77 difference between David Peterson’s 7.99 K/9 and his 8.76 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should perform better in future games.

Considering the 1.35 gap between David Peterson’s 2.96 ERA and his 4.31 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB since the start of last season and figures to see worse results in future games.

Zack Wheeler projects as the 5th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zack Wheeler has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 8.5 more adjusted pitches-per-start than league average.

Among all starters, Zack Wheeler’s fastball spin rate of 2430 rpm ranks in the 87th percentile this year.

Zack Wheeler has put up a 5.1 K/BB rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, Zack Wheeler projects as the 15th-best starter in the majors right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Mets Series Game 3

Out of all starting pitchers, David Peterson’s fastball velocity of 91.8 mph ranks in the 24th percentile since the start of last season.

David Peterson’s 2139.8-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

With a 3.63 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the things a pitcher can most influence), David Peterson checks in at the 75th percentile.

David Peterson has compiled a .364 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play with better performance likely coming.

Zack Wheeler’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (56.6% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Zack Wheeler has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up an 11.78 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.15 — a 1.63 K/9 gap.

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