World Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Mets Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Luisangel Acuna will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Luisangel Acuna has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 85.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 81-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game’s 5th-best home run hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Nick Castellanos has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 94.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jesse Winker will have an advantage today.

Jesse Winker has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jesse Winker will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 18th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent.

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trea Turner ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

With a .347 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Trea Turner has performed in the 85th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league.

Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today.

Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today.

Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball’s 10th-best home run batter.

Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Luis Torrens has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 96.6-mph.

Luis Torrens has been hot lately, posting a a 22.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today’s game.

Max Kepler’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 46.8% on the season to 66.7% in the last 7 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.339) provides evidence that Max Kepler has had bad variance on his side this year with his .283 actual wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in MLB.

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

J.T. Realmuto has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle recently (15.8° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 11.6° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Aaron Nola in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

Aaron Nola has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, recording 6.6 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.

The #1 field in the league for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Aaron Nola in the 80th percentile among all SPs in the league.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Alec Bohm hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s shallowest CF fences today.

Despite posting a .204 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has had bad variance on his side given the .119 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Over the last 7 days, Tyrone Taylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph lately.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.315) implies that Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .294 actual wOBA.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tylor Megill has utilized his secondary pitches 10.3% less often this season (33.4%) than he did last season (43.7%).

As a team, Philadelphia Phillies hitters have shined in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 3rd-best in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tylor Megill in the 77th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Brett Baty has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last year to 11.4% this season.

Extreme groundball bats like Johan Rojas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tylor Megill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 82.4-mph to 84.6-mph over the past week.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Mets

Luisangel Acuna is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 2nd-worst field in baseball for righty base hits.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to less offense.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 8th-highest level on the slate today at 53°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over Luisangel Acuna in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 13th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Citi Field ranks as the #29 field in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citi Field grades out as the #28 park in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .440 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate given the .079 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .361.

Hitting from the same side that Tylor Megill throws from, Nick Castellanos has a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 21.1% on the season to 7.1% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Jesse Winker has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.

Jesse Winker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 98.6-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 95.8-mph over the last week.

Jesse Winker’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (12.7° over the last week) is significantly worse than his 15.8° seasonal figure.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Aaron Nola in today’s matchup.

Francisco Lindor has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 13.6% rate last season has fallen to 5.1% this season.

Francisco Lindor’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.2-mph average last season has fallen to 92-mph.

Batting from the same side that Tylor Megill throws from, Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner today.

Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.1-mph figure last year has dropped off to 88.2-mph.

Extreme flyball batters like Juan Soto tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Aaron Nola.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12°, Juan Soto’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly lately (8.2° in the past 14 days).

Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 14.7% to 7.1%.

Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 13.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.

In the last week, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 95.9 mph to 81.4 mph.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.6°, Brandon Nimmo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-8.4°) in the last 14 days.

Aaron Nola will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .499 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Alonso has experienced some positive variance given the .130 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .369.

Luis Torrens is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Luis Torrens will be at a disadvantage today.

Notching a 4.9° launch angle over the past two weeks suggests that Luis Torrens has been finding it challenging to lift the ball in recent games, which is a key component of hitting for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Max Kepler has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

Tylor Megill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the New York Mets.

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the New York Mets offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher today) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Considering that flyball hitters struggle against flyball pitchers, Aaron Nola (43% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected lineup.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Nola today.

Aaron Nola’s curveball percentage has dropped by 5.6% from last year to this one (32.9% to 27.3%) .

Aaron Nola’s 92.3-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 24th percentile among all SPs.

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

Tylor Megill will have the handedness advantage over Alec Bohm today.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Tyrone Taylor is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

10% of the time that Tyrone Taylor has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have a tough challenge today.

Tylor Megill will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Tylor Megill turned in a great performance in his previous game started and gave up 1 ER.

Tylor Megill has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 10.26 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.13 — a 1.13 K/9 disparity.

Generating 15.1 outs per GS since the start of last season on average, Tylor Megill falls in the 24th percentile.

Brett Baty is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Brett Baty has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Typically, batters like Brett Baty who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Aaron Nola.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

When starting against a northpaw since the start of last season, Johan Rojas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 24% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 86.9-mph figure last season has dropped to 82.6-mph.

When estimating his home run ability, Bryson Stott ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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