World Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Braves Matchup Today

Truist Park profiles as the #5 field in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge in today’s game.

Truist Park profiles as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Victor Scott II has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91.2-mph.

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Mark Carlson) behind the plate in this game.

The #4 park in baseball for boosting base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Spencer Schwellenbach has used his cut-fastball 7% less often this season (9.8%) than he did last season (16.8%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Spencer Schwellenbach in the 85th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Recording 96.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Spencer Schwellenbach falls in the 87th percentile.

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willson Contreras, Nolan Gorman, Pedro Pages).

Among all starting pitchers, Spencer Schwellenbach’s fastball velocity of 96 mph grades out in the 90th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today.

Alex Verdugo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Willson Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s 22.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

When it comes to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado’s ability is quite good, sporting a 1.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 85th percentile.

Erick Fedde has been given more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 3.0 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.

Erick Fedde was on point in his last GS and allowed 1 ER.

Matt Olson projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Sean Murphy has been hot in recent games, posting a a 21.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Austin Riley projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nick Allen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Nick Allen’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.1-mph over the course of the season to 91.2-mph of late.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jarred Kelenic ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage over Erick Fedde in today’s game.

Jarred Kelenic hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as baseball’s 16th-best home run batter.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Braves

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Out of every team playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Victor Scott II’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 8th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.

Spencer Schwellenbach projects as the 16th-best starter in MLB right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,The 2nd-deepest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Truist Park.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Spencer Schwellenbach will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Alex Verdugo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Using Statcast metrics, Alex Verdugo grades out in the 20th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 11.600.

Since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 16th percentile at 89.4 mph.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Alex Verdugo and his 11.8% rank in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

Alex Verdugo has put up a .266 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 19th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Willson Contreras will have a tough challenge today.

Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Willson Contreras’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 91.6-mph figure last year has fallen off to 88.5-mph.

The #8 field in the game for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Nolan Arenado’s BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Schwellenbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .362 mark is a good deal higher than his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 3rd-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

The Atlanta Braves have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Erick Fedde today.

In his previous GS, Erick Fedde didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

Sean Murphy is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Sean Murphy will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Sean Murphy’s quickness has decreased this season. His 25.28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.42 ft/sec now.

Sean Murphy has notched a .286 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 19th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna has struggled with his Barrel%; his 15.5% rate last year has lowered to 10.5% this year.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.382) suggests that Marcell Ozuna has been very fortunate this year with his .438 actual wOBA.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Erick Fedde,Ozzie Albies’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.4-mph average last season has decreased to 85.4-mph.

Ozzie Albies’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days.

Grading out in the 17th percentile, Ozzie Albies has posted a .265 BABIP since the start of last season.

Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage today.

Sporting a 3.71 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Austin Riley has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Nick Allen is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage over Nick Allen in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Nick Allen’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 59.3%.

In the last 14 days, Nick Allen has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.6°, Nick Allen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (12°) in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nick Allen ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jarred Kelenic has been pulled from the game early 47% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Jarred Kelenic’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 46.5% to 25%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jarred Kelenic’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 24%.

Jarred Kelenic has exhibited weak plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile with a 3.91 K/BB rate.

Lars Nootbaar will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.4-mph figure last year has dropped to 87.2-mph.

Over the last week, Lars Nootbaar’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 88.2 mph to 78.5 mph.

Lars Nootbaar’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (4.6°) is considerably lower than his 8.3° angle last year.

Nolan Gorman is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nolan Gorman today.

This season, there has been a decline in Nolan Gorman’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.22 ft/sec last year to 23.69 ft/sec currently.

Nolan Gorman has put up a .205 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 9th percentile.

Compiling a lowly a 79.3-mph average exit velocity over the last week, Nolan Gorman has been in a slump in recent games.

Posting a 4.19 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman has demonstrated bad plate discipline, grading out in the 14th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Pedro Pages ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pedro Pages is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season, Pedro Pages has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Pedro Pages will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Michael Harris II has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 88-mph in the past week.

Michael Harris II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 16.7% on the season to 7.7% over the past 7 days.

Michael Harris II has displayed weak plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile with a 4.26 K/BB rate.

This year, Alec Burleson has been pinch hit for in 21% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Alec Burleson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

This season, Alec Burleson’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 6.6% last year to just 0% this year.

Brendan Donovan has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 88 mph.

Brendan Donovan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 17% to 11%.

In the last week, Brendan Donovan’s 52.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 58%.

Jordan Walker is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Jordan Walker will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Walker in today’s game.

Jordan Walker has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.5% rate last year has fallen to 4.2% this season.

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