PHI @ ATL



Phillies @ Braves Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, April 26th
Time : 26/04/26 13:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Series Game 3 Game Today
As it relates to his strikeout skill, Chris Sale projects as the 15th-best starter in the league currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Compared to league average, Chris Sale has been granted more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an extra 7.9 adjusted pitches each outing.
,Chris Sale has compiled a 13.1% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile.
,Ranking in the 97th percentile, Chris Sale has posted a 29.9% Strikeout% since the start of last season.
,Compared to the average starting pitcher, Aaron Nola has been given more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an additional 3.9 adjusted pitches each outing.
,The 3rd-deepest left field fences in MLB are found in Truist Park.
,Aaron Nola has been unlucky since the start of last season, posting a 5.80 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.16 — a 1.64 discrepancy.
,Aaron Nola has put up a .340 BABIP this year, making him one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play with better performance likely coming.
,Ranking in the 76th percentile, Aaron Nola has posted a 3.32 K/BB rate since the start of last season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Aaron Nola in the 79th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
,In his last game started, Aaron Nola was on point and accumulated 7 strikeouts.
,Aaron Nola has recorded a 25.1% K% since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Chris Sale’s overall pitching ability is in the 92nd percentile among all starters in the majors right now.
,In his last outing, Chris Sale was on point and conceded 0 ER.
,With a 3.07 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things a pitcher can most influence), Chris Sale places him the 95th percentile.
Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Series Game 3 Game Today
Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
,Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.
,Over his last 3 GS, Chris Sale has experienced a significant drop off in his fastball velocity: from 94.5 mph over the entire season to 93.5 mph lately.
,Given the 0.8 deviation between Chris Sale’s 11.29 K/9 and his 10.49 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should see negative regression going forward.
,Truist Park ranks as the #6 venue in baseball for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Aaron Nola has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up a 9.37 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.05 — a 0.32 K/9 deviation.
,Given the 1.02 difference between Chris Sale’s 2.62 ERA and his 3.64 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season and ought to see worse results the rest of the season.
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