Padres vs Yankees match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 7th

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Padres vs Yankees match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 7th

SD @ NYY

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at New York Yankees
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, May 7th
07/05/25 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Yankees Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today.

Anthony Volpe has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last year’s 87.6-mph average.

Anthony Volpe has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 92-mph mark.

Anthony Volpe’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 45.3% on the season to 57.1% in the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) provides evidence that Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .241 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today’s matchup.

Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Ben Rice will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #6 stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 42% to 51%.

Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Martin Maldonado ranks in the 82nd percentile with a 17.5° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Cody Bellinger’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

Over the past 7 days, Manny Machado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 114.3-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Trent Grisham has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last season’s 94.1-mph figure.

Compared to his seasonal average of 19.4°, Trent Grisham has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.6° angle in the last week.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the upper hand today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has compiled a .383 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Utilizing Statcast data, Luis Arraez grades out in the 99th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .316.

When assessing his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

By putting up a 0.93 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Luis Arraez has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 6th-best starter in the majors currently.

Max Fried is expected to throw 98 pitches today, which is the 2nd-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

The 5th-worst projected offense on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the San Diego Padres.

Max Fried has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 7 opposite-handed hitters in this game.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Max Fried in the 76th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

Considering that groundball pitchers have a substantial edge over groundball bats, Max Fried and his 52% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in this matchup being matched up with 3 opposing GB bats.

Dylan Cease projects as the 17th-best SP in baseball right now when assessing his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a notable advantage over flyball bats, Dylan Cease and his 36.9% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today’s matchup going up against 3 opposing FB bats.

Dylan Cease was in good form in his previous game started and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Dylan Cease’s four-seam fastball utilization has dropped by 7.3% from last year to this one (43.5% to 36.2%) .

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Dylan Cease’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league right now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the New York Yankees in today’s game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .331, which is a good deal worse than their actual wOBA of .350 this year.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the New York Yankees offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the game this year.

Dylan Cease is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #4 HR venue in the league in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors.

Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 99.1-mph over the course of the season to 103.1-mph in recent games.

Aaron Judge’s launch angle recently (27.6° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 15.4° seasonal mark.

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand today.

Austin Wells will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Austin Wells’s launch angle this season (21.7°) is considerably better than his 16.9° mark last year.

In the past week’s worth of games, Austin Wells has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 18.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) provides evidence that Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .224 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Oscar Gonzalez will have the upper hand today.

Oscar Gonzalez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 99.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Oscar Gonzalez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Dylan Cease.

Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the past two weeks, Oswaldo Cabrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.5-mph over the course of the season to 87.6-mph in recent games.

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Jorbit Vivas will have the upper hand today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jorbit Vivas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Brandon Lockridge’s BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lockridge will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today’s matchup.

Brandon Lockridge has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Brandon Lockridge is quite quick, ranking in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.74 ft/sec this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Yankees Series Game 3

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.

Dylan Cease will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony Volpe in today’s matchup.

Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Anthony Volpe’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #26 venue in the game for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Placing in the 10th percentile, Ben Rice sits with a .210 batting average since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ben Rice’s true offensive skill to be a .343, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .389 wOBA.

The 6th-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Yankee Stadium.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph dropping to 86.1-mph over the last two weeks.

In terms of his batting average, Xander Bogaerts has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .262 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .245.

Xander Bogaerts has averaged 12.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 13.3% on the season to 3.8% over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Martin Maldonado ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Martin Maldonado is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Martin Maldonado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile).

Martin Maldonado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Martin Maldonado’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Extreme flyball bats like Cody Bellinger are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) may lead us to conclude that Cody Bellinger has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .254 actual batting average.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Trent Grisham has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 35.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 26.3.

Using Statcast metrics, Trent Grisham grades out in the 13th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .215.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

In today’s matchup, Fernando Tatis Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (91st percentile).

Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 18.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this year (5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.7° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Batting from the same side that Max Fried throws from, Luis Arraez will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s game.

Ramon De Jesus profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.

The #4 park in the game for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Max Fried has used his secondary offerings 9.6% less often this year (41.3%) than he did last year (50.9%).

The San Diego Padres (20.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 10th-worst park in MLB for strikeouts.

Max Fried is an extreme groundball pitcher (52% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #4 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in this game.

The New York Yankees have 7 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.

Dylan Cease will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Dylan Cease’s fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (95.9 mph) below where it was last year (96.9 mph).

Dylan Cease has tallied 14.4 outs per outing this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Aaron Judge will have a tough matchup today.

In today’s game, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (89th percentile).

Extreme flyball hitters like Aaron Judge tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

There has been a significant decline in Aaron Judge’s launch angle from last season’s 18.7° to 15.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Austin Wells is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Austin Wells has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Austin Wells usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Austin Wells’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 90.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Oscar Gonzalez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Oscar Gonzalez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Oscar Gonzalez who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Max Fried.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oscar Gonzalez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oswaldo Cabrera in the 19th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Oswaldo Cabrera is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Oswaldo Cabrera has been pinch hit for 13% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Oswaldo Cabrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorbit Vivas in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jorbit Vivas is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorbit Vivas in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Brandon Lockridge is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Brandon Lockridge tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Lockridge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

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