Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Rays Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Curtis Mead is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #8 ballpark in baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.

Curtis Mead will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Curtis Mead has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Junior Caminero will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league.

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.

Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball’s 3rd-best home run batter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 8th-best venue in the game for left-handed home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the past week, Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph in recent games.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 50.3% to 55.9%.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

By putting up a .347 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Trea Turner grades out in the 87th percentile.

Trea Turner has posted a .343 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Hitters such as Danny Jansen with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Danny Jansen is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-worst of the day).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 77th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Shane Baz in today’s matchup.

Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Max Kepler has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

Max Kepler has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the game.

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today’s matchup.

Bryce Harper has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle this season (13.3°) is considerably higher than his 9.3° angle last year.

J.T. Realmuto has put up a .336 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In notching a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , J.T. Realmuto grades out in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Alec Bohm’s 69.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.6%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.310) provides evidence that Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year with his .245 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alec Bohm ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Brandon Marsh’s 91.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in the majors since the start of last season: 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 6th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.

The standard deviation of Brandon Marsh’s launch angle since the start of last season (24.9°) is in the 96th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Christopher Morel is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Christopher Morel will have an edge in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez.

Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Taylor Walls has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 3.4% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in this game.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Cristopher Sanchez in the 79th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kameron Misner, Jose Caballero, Brandon Lowe, Christopher Morel).

In his previous GS, Cristopher Sanchez turned in a great performance and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Cristopher Sanchez’s 95.1-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 85th percentile out of all starters.

The 2nd-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Shane Baz is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #10 HR venue in the league in this game.

Philadelphia’s 89.9-mph average exit velocity this year is among the best in the majors: #6 overall.

Throwing 97.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Shane Baz places him the 93rd percentile.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shane Baz in the 81st percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

In his previous start, Shane Baz turned in a great performance and accumulated 10 strikeouts.

Shane Baz’s curveball utilization has spiked by 13.1% from last year to this one (20.5% to 33.6%) .

Jose Caballero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.

Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 53.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today’s game.

Bryson Stott has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.9-mph to 88.1-mph in the past 14 days.

Kameron Misner will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Kameron Misner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 27.3% over the last 7 days.

Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Rays Series Game 2

In the past week, Curtis Mead has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).

Notching a 1.2° launch angle over the last 7 days suggests that Curtis Mead has been finding it challenging to lift the ball in recent games, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Curtis Mead has put up a .247 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Curtis Mead has posted a .069 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile.

Junior Caminero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Typically, bats like Junior Caminero who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

Junior Caminero’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (5.2°) is significantly lower than his 9.3° mark last year.

In the last two weeks, Junior Caminero’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.3%.

Posting a 3.62 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Junior Caminero has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 23rd percentile.

Out of every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .405 figure is quite a bit higher than his .366 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.7) provides evidence that Kyle Schwarber has had some very good luck this year with his 43.7 actual HR/600.

The 5th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 20.6% on the season to 10.5% in the last 7 days.

Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Trea Turner meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s game.

Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.1-mph average last year has lowered to 88.5-mph.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 9°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.1°) in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Using Statcast metrics, Danny Jansen grades out in the 2nd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .188.

Danny Jansen has recorded a .223 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile.

Grading out in the 8th percentile, Danny Jansen sits with a .324 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

Max Kepler is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper in today’s game.

Bryce Harper’s launch angle in recent games (8.3° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.6° seasonal mark.

J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Shane Baz will hold the platoon advantage over J.T. Realmuto today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.4-mph average last year has lowered to 90.9-mph.

Alec Bohm is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Alec Bohm will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm in today’s game.

Alec Bohm’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 91-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

There has been a significant decline in Alec Bohm’s launch angle from last year’s 10° to 7° this season.

Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Brandon Marsh has been pinch hit for 19% of the time.

Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Marsh today.

Brandon Marsh’s launch angle this season (6.4°) is significantly worse than his 13.7° angle last season.

Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

In the past week, Christopher Morel’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21.2% down to 0%.

Placing in the 9th percentile, Christopher Morel has notched a .207 batting average since the start of last season.

Taylor Walls’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taylor Walls is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Taylor Walls hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Taylor Walls’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (9.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 16.9° angle last year.

Using Statcast metrics, Taylor Walls ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .189.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 13th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Taylor Walls has compiled a .247 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 2nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Cristopher Sanchez as the 16th-best starting pitcher in baseball right now.

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #21 ballpark in MLB for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Cristopher Sanchez is an extreme groundball pitcher (54.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in George M. Steinbrenner Field — the #10 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this matchup.

Because groundball pitchers have a notable edge over groundball batters, Cristopher Sanchez and his 54.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in today’s outing squaring off against 2 opposing GB batters.

Cristopher Sanchez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting an 11.20 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.79 — a 2.41 K/9 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shane Baz in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Shane Baz will hold that advantage today.

Shane Baz has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.51 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.03 — a 0.48 K/9 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Caballero in the 16th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jose Caballero is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 82.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 80.3-mph in the last 7 days.

Jose Caballero’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 90.1-mph average last season has decreased to 86.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Caballero in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.7-mph average last year has fallen to 84-mph.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle recently (4.6° over the last 7 days) is significantly worse than his 15.4° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kameron Misner ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kameron Misner is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Kameron Misner will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Kameron Misner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Kameron Misner has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 5th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

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