
SD @ ARI


Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, June 14th
14/06/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
The #2 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s game.
Ryan Bergert’s 2436-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 85th percentile out of all SPs.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Ryan Bergert’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 16th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.
The Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense projects as the 5th-best on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in the league for batting average.
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Ketel Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Pavin Smith ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Pavin Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Pavin Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zac Gallen in the 78th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.
Zac Gallen has averaged 94.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 89th percentile.
Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Zac Gallen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zac Gallen in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in the game for righty batting average.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as Major League Baseball’s 19th-best home run batter.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
Eugenio Suarez has strong power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Ryan Bergert has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Bergert today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge today.
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Luis Arraez will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen today.
When assessing his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Tyler Wade will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Extreme flyball bats like Gabriel Moreno tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Bergert.
Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Gabriel Moreno’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert in today’s game.
Hitters such as Alek Thomas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Bergert who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Alek Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Bergert in today’s matchup.
Corbin Carroll will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs D-Backs Series Game 2
Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2%,— 98th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today.
Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
The #4 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
The league’s 10th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Chase Field.
When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryan Bergert in the 22nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Bergert to throw 77 pitches in today’s game (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (20.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today.
It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (James Hoye) behind the plate in today’s game.
Chase Field profiles as the #27 field in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all stadiums, Chase Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.
Ryan Bergert is an extreme flyball pitcher (36% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue in the majors today.
The San Diego Padres outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.
Ryan Bergert was on point in his previous outing and allowed 2 ER.
The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side (0) today against Ryan Bergert,Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Pavin Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.
The San Diego Padres (18.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy set of batters on the slate.
Zac Gallen’s 92.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.2-mph drop off from last year’s 93.8-mph mark.
With a 5.02 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Zac Gallen falls in the 16th percentile.
Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage against Xander Bogaerts today.
In today’s game, Xander Bogaerts is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (82nd percentile).
Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Chase Field grades out as the #27 stadium in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Ryan Bergert will hold the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s matchup.
Typically, bats like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ryan Bergert.
Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of San Diego (#1-best of all teams on the slate).
Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Elias Diaz is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Manny Machado meets a tough challenge today.
Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth today.
Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game.
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.
Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Ryan Bergert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.
As it relates to his home run talent, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Wade in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Tyler Wade is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Wade ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Wade in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
When estimating his home run skill, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Ryan Bergert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Moreno in today’s game.
Gabriel Moreno has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 18th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Today, Gavin Sheets is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (89th percentile).
Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Alek Thomas is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
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