Padres @ Angels Matchup Details

Positives for the San Diego Padres Game Today

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,The #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.

,In the league, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

,The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Ramon Laureano’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.2% up to 27.3%.

,In the past week, Ramon Laureano’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 104.5-mph in recent games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for LHB home runs.

,Hitting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge today.

,Gavin Sheets has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week.

,When assessing his batting average talent, Xander Bogaerts is projected as the 17th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Adam Frazier has recorded a .269 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Logan O’Hoppe has big-time HR ability (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Matt Waldron has a pitch-to-contact profile (25th percentile K%) — great news for O’Hoppe.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Logan O’Hoppe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Josh Lowe has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .211 mark is considerably lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Logan O’Hoppe has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .275 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

,When it comes to his batting average talent, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 16th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Merrill has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.6-mph average to last season’s 93.4-mph EV.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jo Adell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Miguel Andujar has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season’s 88-mph mark.

,Miguel Andujar has notched a .350 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile.

,Posting a .314 batting average since the start of last season, Miguel Andujar is ranked in the 100th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jose Soriano in the 76th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,Jose Soriano has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying 4.9 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.

,The #6 field in MLB for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.

,Jose Soriano will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

,Zach Neto will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,In the past 7 days, Xander Bogaerts’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 14.3%.

,Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.5% on the season to 35.7% in the past week.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Oswald Peraza’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 25%.

,Oswald Peraza has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 97-mph in the last 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Jo Adell has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 92.5-mph in the past week.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) provides evidence that Jo Adell has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .244 actual batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Yoan Moncada will get to bat from his good side against Matt Waldron today.

,Yoan Moncada will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Yoan Moncada’s launch angle of late (29.3° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 11.3° seasonal figure.

,Gavin Sheets has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 92.6-mph in the last week.

,Miguel Andujar has posted a .463 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.193) implies that Oswald Peraza has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .178 actual batting average.

,Zach Neto’s launch angle this year (25°) is significantly better than his 17.7° angle last season.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 25°, Zach Neto has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 28° angle in the past week’s worth of games.

,As it relates to his home runs, Manny Machado has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 23.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.2.

,Nolan Schanuel’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Nolan Schanuel will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) may lead us to conclude that Nolan Schanuel has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .259 actual batting average.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 98.3-mph.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .366 — a .092 disparity.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today’s game.

,Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle recently (18.8° in the past week) is significantly higher than his 7.5° seasonal mark.

,Manny Machado has posted a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Using Statcast metrics, Manny Machado ranks in the 81st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Mike Trout will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Mike Trout has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 15.5% rate last season to 28.9% this year.

,Mike Trout has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last year’s 90.6-mph mark.

,Mike Trout has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Matt Waldron doesn’t generate many whiffs (18th percentile K%) — great news for Trout.

,Josh Lowe’s launch angle this season (22.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 9.4° figure last season.

,Jake Cronenworth has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.55 K/BB rate.

,Gavin Sheets has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .322 figure is quite a bit lower than his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Angels Game Today

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 28%.

,Hitting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. meets a tough challenge today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this season (4.9°) is considerably worse than his 9.6° mark last season.

,Hitting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Ramon Laureano encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Ramon Laureano will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 21st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gavin Sheets today.

,Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 15% to 11.1%.

,Hitting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Xander Bogaerts meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.5-mph mark last season has dropped off to 90.4-mph.

,Josh Lowe is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

,In today’s matchup, Josh Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.8% rate (91st percentile).

,Josh Lowe’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.7-mph EV last year has fallen off to 84.5-mph.

,Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 11.5% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,When assessing his home run talent, Adam Frazier ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Adam Frazier is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Adam Frazier has been cold in recent games, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past 14 days.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Adam Frazier’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,In today’s game, Jackson Merrill is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (90th percentile).

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Merrill today.

,Jose Soriano will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Manny Machado today.

,Manny Machado has struggled with his Barrel%; his 12.9% rate last season has fallen to 7.3% this year.

,Manny Machado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 92.9-mph EV last season has fallen off to 86.4-mph.

,Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Logan O’Hoppe will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Logan O’Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Logan O’Hoppe has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 14.2% rate last season has lowered to 7.3% this season.

,Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 47.9% to 28.3%.

,Matt Waldron will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jo Adell today.

,Jo Adell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 16.2% to 3.3%.

,Jo Adell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 3.3% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

,By putting up a 4.75 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jo Adell has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 9th percentile.

,Miguel Andujar is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,Jose Soriano will have the handedness advantage against Miguel Andujar today.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Andujar today.

,Miguel Andujar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 13.2% to 3.4%.

,The San Diego Padres (19.8 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of batters of the day.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Logan O’Hoppe (the Angels’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

,Matt Waldron will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Neto in today’s game.

,Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Sporting a 3.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Zach Neto has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 20th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oswald Peraza in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Oswald Peraza is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Matt Waldron will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Oswald Peraza in today’s matchup.

,In the past 7 days, Oswald Peraza’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 6.3%.

,As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Matt Waldron in the 11th percentile among all SPs in baseball.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Matt Waldron to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.

,Matt Waldron will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Matt Waldron’s 89.5-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 8th percentile among all SPs.

,Checking in at the 1st percentile, Matt Waldron compiled a 4.8% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.

,Yoan Moncada has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Yoan Moncada’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 39.3% to 23.1%.

,Checking in at the 20th percentile, Yoan Moncada sits with a .227 batting average since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Nolan Schanuel’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.9-mph mark last season has dropped off to 86.3-mph.

,Nolan Schanuel’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 86.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.7-mph in the past two weeks.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°, Nolan Schanuel has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.4°) in the last two weeks.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,Jake Cronenworth has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s game.

,Jake Cronenworth has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.6-mph over the past 7 days.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.4) may lead us to conclude that Oswald Peraza has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 15.0 actual HR/600.

,Hitting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Mike Trout meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Mike Trout has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 30.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 25.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adam Frazier ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

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