Dodgers @ Rockies Matchup Details

Positives for the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.

,Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.

,Andy Pages has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph mark.

,The Colorado Rockies have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Will Smith (the Dodgers’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a weak pitch framer.

,The #1 park in the league for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Considering that groundball hitters hold a substantial edge over flyball pitchers, Tyler Glasnow and his 44.2% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome spot in today’s outing going up against 2 opposing GB batters.

,The underlying talent of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense today (.331 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .366 wOBA this year.

,It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,Tomoyuki Sugano will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.

,When estimating his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The #5 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,The #1 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in baseball for LHB batting average.

,The switch-hitting Alex Freeland will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Tomoyuki Sugano.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Tyler Freeman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today.

,Brenton Doyle’s launch angle recently (38.5° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 9.1° seasonal angle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hyeseong Kim in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Hyeseong Kim will have the handedness advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Hyeseong Kim stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,T.J. Rumfield is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, T.J. Rumfield will have the upper hand today.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and T.J. Rumfield will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When assessing his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mickey Moniak is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Coors Field grades out as the #5 venue in the game for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Max Muncy is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today’s matchup.

,Batters such as Ezequiel Tovar with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Glasnow who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

,Ezequiel Tovar will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,In the past week, Ezequiel Tovar’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph recently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage today.

,In the past two weeks, Kyle Karros has averaged an impressive 99.9-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

,Kyle Tucker projects as the 16th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage in today’s game.

,When assessing his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand today.

,Over the past 7 days, Hunter Goodman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 33.3%.

,Over the last week, Hyeseong Kim’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 40% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

,Freddie Freeman’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Freddie Freeman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

,Freddie Freeman will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Troy Johnston will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage today.

,Posting a .338 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Troy Johnston is positioned in the 84th percentile for hitting ability.

,Will Smith projects as the 13th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Will Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,When assessing his home run talent, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Teoscar Hernandez has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.

,When it comes to his strikeout skill, Tyler Glasnow projects as the 10th-best SP in the league currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Tyler Glasnow has averaged 95.2 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile.

,The Colorado Rockies have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Hunter Goodman, Brenton Doyle, Edouard Julien).

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Andy Pages has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 91.9-mph mark.

,Max Muncy has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Will Smith has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 96.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Batters such as Mickey Moniak with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tyler Glasnow who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Troy Johnston’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.2%.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Tyler Freeman’s skill is quite good, posting a 1.72 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 82nd percentile.

,With a 5.42 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the things most within a pitcher’s control), Tomoyuki Sugano falls in the 4th percentile.

,Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Over the past 7 days, Brenton Doyle’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.7% up to 14.3%.

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Game Today

Andy Pages is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather report for this game forecasts the lowest temperature on the schedule today at 37°.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 13.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hurlers.

,Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage over Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andy Pages in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tyler Glasnow in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

,The 2nd-worst projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

,Tyler Glasnow is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #7 HR venue among all parks — in this matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Tomoyuki Sugano’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 14th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Tomoyuki Sugano is projected to throw 83 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of the day.

,Batting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Hunter Goodman faces a tough challenge today.

,Hunter Goodman has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .355 figure is a fair amount higher than his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Hunter Goodman’s skill is quite bad, sporting a 5.24 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 5th percentile.

,Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage over Teoscar Hernandez in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Teoscar Hernandez in today’s game.

,Posting a 4.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 7th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Freeland in the 18th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Alex Freeland is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,This year, Alex Freeland has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 27% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Hitting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Tyler Freeman will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Extreme groundball batters like Tyler Freeman tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Glasnow.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Freeman has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage today.

,Brenton Doyle has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.8% rate last season has fallen off to 3.7% this season.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.3) may lead us to conclude that Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 28.6 actual HR/600.

,Hyeseong Kim is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

,This year, Hyeseong Kim has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 37% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Hyeseong Kim in today’s game.

,This year, T.J. Rumfield has been pulled from the game early in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Over the past 7 days, T.J. Rumfield’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 89.4 mph to 87.4 mph.

,T.J. Rumfield is not very quick, placing in the 11th percentile in Sprint Speed at 24.91 ft/sec this year.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Mickey Moniak has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 28% of the time.

,Mickey Moniak’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.7-mph EV last year has dropped to 87.3-mph.

,Mickey Moniak has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile with a 5.86 K/BB rate.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Muncy today.

,Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Tyler Glasnow will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s matchup.

,Ezequiel Tovar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 16.9% to 13%.

,Kyle Karros is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

,Tyler Glasnow will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Karros today.

,Kyle Karros has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the past 7 days.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Tucker today.

,Kyle Tucker has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11.5% rate last season has lowered to 2.2% this year.

,Kyle Tucker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.4-mph EV last year has fallen off to 86.7-mph.

,This year, Edouard Julien has been pulled from the game early in 34% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,There has been a significant decline in Edouard Julien’s launch angle from last season’s 6° to 1.9° this season.

,Hunter Goodman has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .274 rate is a good deal higher than his .217 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When assessing his home run ability, Hyeseong Kim ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,In the past week, Freddie Freeman’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) suggests that Freddie Freeman has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .292 actual batting average.

,With a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Ezequiel Tovar has performed in the 12th percentile.

,As it relates to his home runs, Freddie Freeman has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 22.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.5.

,Troy Johnston is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Troy Johnston has been pinch hit for 22% of the time.

,Over the past 7 days, Troy Johnston’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

,Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Will Smith meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Will Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.

,As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Tomoyuki Sugano in the 15th percentile among all starters in the league.

,The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Grading out in the 12th percentile, Tomoyuki Sugano put up an 8.2% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

,Tyler Glasnow will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Freeland today.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,There has been a significant decline in Max Muncy’s launch angle from last year’s 19.8° to 14.5° this year.

,When assessing his home run skill, Kyle Karros ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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