Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Reds Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.

The 7th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.

Extreme groundball batters like Elly De La Cruz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The #1 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today.

James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like James Wood are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Martinez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme groundball batters like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Martinez.

Jacob Young has compiled a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Blake Dunn will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Blake Dunn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Blake Dunn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.74 ft/sec this year, Blake Dunn is remarkably fast.

Dylan Crews has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme flyball bats like Dylan Crews generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Martinez.

Dylan Crews’s 10.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Dylan Crews’s 94.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Since the start of last season, Tyler Stephenson’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 76th percentile at 93.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Nick Martinez.

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an edge in today’s game.

Luis Garcia Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Luis Garcia Jr. tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Martinez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Nathaniel Lowe’s BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today.

Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Martinez.

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Jose Trevino will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage today.

Jose Trevino has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 1.95 K/BB rate.

Jose Trevino has been hot in recent games, bashing 2 homers in the past week.

Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, MacKenzie Gore projects as the 15th-best starting pitcher in the game right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Compared to the average starter, MacKenzie Gore has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an extra 8.7 adjusted pitches each outing.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Blake Dunn, Elly De La Cruz).

Due to his large reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore will be in a good position facing 8 bats in the projected offense who bat from the other side today.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 park in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

MacKenzie Gore is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #1 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today’s game.

CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

CJ Abrams has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 7% rate last season to 12.1% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

TJ Friedl is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and TJ Friedl will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to plate discipline, TJ Friedl’s ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 78th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Trevino (the Reds’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

Nick Martinez has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 7 opposite-handed batters in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Nick Martinez will hold that advantage today.

Nick Martinez’s slider usage has jumped by 7.3% from last season to this one (5.2% to 12.5%) .

Nick Martinez is an extreme flyball pitcher (34% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #1 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.

Spencer Steer will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.

Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Spencer Steer’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (16.8°) is a considerable increase over his 11.5° angle last season.

Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.26 ft/sec this year, Spencer Steer is notably fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today’s game.

Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Jose Tena are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Martinez.

Checking in at the 89th percentile, Jose Tena has notched a .338 BABIP since the start of last season.

Matt McLain’s BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Matt McLain will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.

Matt McLain has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt McLain ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Noelvi Marte will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year’s 90.8-mph EV.

Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Reds Series Game 3

This matchup is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore,Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle this season (3.7°) is significantly lower than his 9.7° figure last year.

Elly De La Cruz’s speed has fallen off this season. His 30.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.54 ft/sec now.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for James Wood in today’s game.

James Wood’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 47.5% to 35%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 0th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jacob Young is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Young in today’s game.

Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 14th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Blake Dunn is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Dylan Crews is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Dylan Crews will have a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dylan Crews in today’s game.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dylan Crews ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 7.2° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the league.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Keibert Ruiz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (3.6°) is considerably lower than his 14.2° mark last year.

Keibert Ruiz’s 2.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 7th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Keibert Ruiz’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.48 ft/sec now.

Luis Garcia Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Luis Garcia Jr.’s launch angle this year (4.7°) is significantly lower than his 8.1° mark last season.

Luis Garcia Jr.’s footspeed has dropped off this year. His 27.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.59 ft/sec now.

Nathaniel Lowe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Nathaniel Lowe’s quickness has dropped off this year. His 26.4 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.39 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Jose Trevino is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Jose Trevino’s launch angle from last season’s 9.8° to 4.9° this season.

Jose Trevino’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 107.8 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Trevino in the 18th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 5th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Santiago Espinal’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 87.1-mph mark last year has fallen to 84.3-mph.

Santiago Espinal’s launch angle this year (10.7°) is considerably worse than his 14.9° angle last season.

Santiago Espinal’s 1.9% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 3rd percentile since the start of last season.

Santiago Espinal’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 43.3% to 37.1%.

James Hoye profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.

MacKenzie Gore will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

MacKenzie Gore’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (94.8 mph) below where it was last season (95.9 mph).

MacKenzie Gore has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 12.95 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.60 — a 2.35 K/9 discrepancy.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, MacKenzie Gore’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in the majors currently.

The Cincinnati Reds projected batting order projects as the 4th-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for CJ Abrams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, TJ Friedl encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

From last season to this one, TJ Friedl’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.8% to 12.4%.

Since the start of last season, TJ Friedl’s 2.7% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 6th percentile among his peers.

When estimating his home run ability, TJ Friedl ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Nick Martinez (34% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 7 GB hitters in Washington’s projected offense.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Spencer Steer has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 108 mph (a reliable stat to measure power), checking in at the 12th percentile.

In notching a .251 BABIP since the start of last season, Spencer Steer has performed in the 9th percentile.

Spencer Steer has been cold lately, posting a .266 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Jose Tena is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Jose Tena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jose Tena has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 8.7% rate last year has dropped to 3% this year.

Jose Tena’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.8-mph EV last season has lowered to 88-mph.

With a .260 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games, Matt McLain has been struggling at the plate.

Noelvi Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.1% to 8.3%.

Noelvi Marte has notched a .261 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 5th percentile.

In terms of plate discipline, Noelvi Marte’s skill is quite poor, posting a 6.31 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 3rd percentile.

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