Mets vs Nationals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Monday, April 28th

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Mets vs Nationals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Monday, April 28th

NYM @ WSH

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Series Game 4 Matchup Details

New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Monday, April 28th
28/04/25 16:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Nationals Series Game 4 Matchup Today

The #6 park in baseball for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to worse offense.

Griffin Canning performed well in his last outing and allowed 2 ER.

Griffin Canning’s slider rate has spiked by 11.7% from last year to this one (24% to 35.7%) .

Griffin Canning has been unlucky since the start of last season, compiling a 4.92 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.70 — a 0.22 deviation.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Trevor Williams’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 20th percentile among all starters in baseball right now.

Trevor Williams’s 86.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 2-mph fall off from last year’s 88.8-mph figure.

Trevor Williams’s 2224-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 22nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Recording 94.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Trevor Williams places in the 75th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Nationals Series Game 4

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest left field fences in MLB.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Griffin Canning’s 2162-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 7th percentile among all starters.

Griffin Canning has posted a 5.05 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control) since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.

Trevor Williams has gone to his slider 5.5% more often this season (40.2%) than he did last season (34.7%).

With a 3.12 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things most within a pitcher’s control), Trevor Williams ranks in the 90th percentile.

Trevor Williams has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play this year with a .362 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Trevor Williams in the 23rd percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Considering the 0.67 deviation between Trevor Williams’s 7.89 K/9 and his 7.22 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results in the future.

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