
TOR @ NYY



Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, April 27th
27/04/25 17:35:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Yankees Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today.
Anthony Volpe has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 4% rate last year to 12.5% this year.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) may lead us to conclude that Anthony Volpe has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .238 actual batting average.
Yankee Stadium grades out as the #4 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ben Rice is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Yankee Stadium projects as the #4 venue in the game for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.
Ben Rice will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Ben Rice has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.6% rate last season to 22.8% this year.
Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, compiling a .242 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .086 disparity.
Checking in at the 75th percentile, Anthony Santander has posted a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
George Springer has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.1-mph average to last year’s 93.2-mph mark.
George Springer’s launch angle lately (22.7° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 17.5° seasonal angle.
Andres Gimenez’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today.
Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt.
Chris Bassitt has been given an above-average leash this year, tallying 4.4 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starter.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-most strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the New York Yankees with a 25.1% underlying K%.
In his last outing, Chris Bassitt performed well and posted 7 strikeouts.
Paul Goldschmidt’s BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Over the past 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph lately.
Paul Goldschmidt’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (20.3°) is significantly higher than his 15.5° mark last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.1-mph average.
This season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.4 mph compared to last year’s 95 mph mark.
When estimating his BABIP ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bo Bichette is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Bo Bichette has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Compared to last year, Bo Bichette has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45% to 54.6% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today… and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Aaron Judge has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 110.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 97.8-mph.
Aaron Judge’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 47.9% on the season to 58.8% over the last two weeks.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Clarke Schmidt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Clarke Schmidt’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (90.9% compared to 79.1% last season) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Clarke Schmidt’s 2672-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 100th percentile among all SPs.
Grading out in the 75th percentile, Clarke Schmidt posted a 12.2% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.
Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Yankees Series Game 3
Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.
The #4 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Chris Bassitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony Volpe today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.
Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 4th-best among every team on the slate today.
The 6th-deepest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Yankee Stadium.
Ben Rice’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 45.6% on the season to 20% in the past week’s worth of games.
Ben Rice has been lucky this year, compiling a .416 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .071 difference.
With a .237 BABIP since the start of last season, Ben Rice finds himself in the 18th percentile.
The #4 venue in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Clarke Schmidt,Typically, batters like Anthony Santander who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Clarke Schmidt.
Anthony Santander will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Clarke Schmidt throws from, George Springer will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer in today’s matchup.
In notching a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, George Springer finds himself in the 23rd percentile.
Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
In the last week’s worth of games, Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 92.8 mph to 86.7 mph.
Based on Statcast metrics, Andres Gimenez grades out in the 10th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 7.600.
Andres Gimenez has compiled a .277 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 10th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Chris Bassitt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Chris Bassitt’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.9 mph this season (90.7 mph) below where it was last year (92.6 mph).
Chris Bassitt’s 2155.7-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 25th percentile among all SPs.
Considering the 0.67 gap between Chris Bassitt’s 9.10 K/9 and his 8.43 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should see negative regression the rest of the season.
Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Goldschmidt today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.
Paul Goldschmidt’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 42.3% on the season to 28.6% in the past 7 days.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Paul Goldschmidt has experienced some positive variance this year. His .380 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.
Clarke Schmidt will have the handedness advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 8.9% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
Hitting from the same side that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Bo Bichette will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Bo Bichette’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal average has dropped to 84.3-mph in the last 7 days.
Bo Bichette’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (2.8° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 8.8° seasonal figure.
Over the past 14 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s 20.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 28.3%.
Chris Bassitt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.
Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.
Typically, bats like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chris Bassitt.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 17.3% underlying K%.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Clarke Schmidt (33.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 FB hitters in Toronto’s projected lineup.
In his previous game started, Clarke Schmidt didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.
Considering the 0.85 discrepancy between Clarke Schmidt’s 9.66 K/9 and his 8.81 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see worse results in future games.
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