Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Dodgers Series Game 4 Matchup Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.

Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best field in the game for left-handed home runs.

The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium.

Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest fences among all parks.

The #8 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.

The #4 field in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Over the past week, Francisco Lindor’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 31.3%.

The #4 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Enrique Hernandez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Enrique Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Dodger Stadium ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Enrique Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Will Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Will Smith will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in baseball.

Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball’s 10th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the league.

Michael Conforto will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Michael Conforto’s launch angle in recent games (34.3° in the past week) is considerably higher than his 13.4° seasonal angle.

When estimating his home run skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Landon Knack today.

Over the last 7 days, Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.1-mph over the course of the season to 89.8-mph in recent games.

Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.2% on the season to 36.4% in the past week’s worth of games.

Jeff McNeil has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 4.1% seasonal rate to 9.1% over the past week.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense profiles as the strongest of the day in terms of overall batting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for home runs.

Tallying 94.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, David Peterson ranks in the 88th percentile.

In his last start, David Peterson turned in a great performance and posted 9 strikeouts.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 10th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.

Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Miguel Rojas will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Miguel Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Miguel Rojas’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (7°) is significantly better than his 3.7° figure last season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andy Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Landon Knack has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 7 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

Landon Knack will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

Landon Knack’s change-up utilization has spiked by 10.7% from last season to this one (15.4% to 26.1%) .

The New York Mets projected lineup profiles as the 5th-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronny Mauricio in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Landon Knack today.

When assessing his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In comparison to his 88.7-mph average last year, Francisco Alvarez’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.5 mph.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 92.5-mph figure.

Grading out in the 75th percentile, Francisco Alvarez has put up a .313 BABIP since the start of last season.

Brett Baty has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Landon Knack today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Dodgers Series Game 4

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching of the day.

Batting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, Shohei Ohtani will be in a tough position in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side this year. His 50.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 38.0.

Shohei Ohtani has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .429 figure is a good deal higher than his .390 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Landon Knack,Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.0) may lead us to conclude that Francisco Lindor has been lucky this year with his 30.8 actual HR/600.

The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enrique Hernandez in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Enrique Hernandez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Enrique Hernandez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 12.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Enrique Hernandez is in the 24th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .225.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.299) provides evidence that Enrique Hernandez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .322 actual wOBA.

Enrique Hernandez has recorded a .286 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

Will Smith has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

Over the last 7 days, Will Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 92.2 mph to 85.5 mph.

Will Smith has been lucky this year, compiling a .409 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .050 deviation.

Will Smith has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .331 rate is considerably higher than his .289 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Juan Soto’s launch angle from last season’s 10.6° to 6.5° this year.

Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 40.4% on the season to 29.4% over the last 14 days.

This year, Juan Soto’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 20% last year to just 14.3% this year.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 5% in the past two weeks.

Brandon Nimmo has notched a .254 BABIP this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.

Over the past 7 days, Brandon Nimmo’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

Hitting from the same side that Landon Knack throws from, Pete Alonso has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pete Alonso today.

Pete Alonso has been lucky this year, notching a .391 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .365 — a .026 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 22nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Michael Conforto is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

David Peterson will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Conforto in today’s matchup.

Michael Conforto has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 92.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 87.6-mph in the last 7 days.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

16% of the time that Jeff McNeil has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Jeff McNeil pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward,Malachi Moore projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Francisco Alvarez (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a good pitch framer.

David Peterson is an extreme groundball pitcher (51% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #3 HR venue among all stadiums — in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 9th-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.

With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, David Peterson faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, David Peterson (51% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Los Angeles’s projected lineup.

David Peterson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In terms of his home runs, Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side this year. His 31.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 26.0.

Sporting a 6.71 K/BB rate this year, Teoscar Hernandez has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 4th percentile.

Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .360 rate is a fair amount higher than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

David Peterson will hold the platoon advantage over Freddie Freeman in today’s game.

Despite posting a .441 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Freddie Freeman has had positive variance on his side given the .076 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .365.

Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 95-mph seasonal average has decreased to 89.7-mph over the last two weeks.

In the past 14 days, Freddie Freeman’s 9.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.8%.

When estimating his home run ability, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Rojas is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Miguel Rojas has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, bats like Miguel Rojas who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as David Peterson.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home runs, Andy Pages has experienced some positive variance this year. His 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.4.

Andy Pages’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (12.5° over the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 16.1° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Landon Knack to throw 82 pitches today (4th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Will Smith (the Dodgers’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Landon Knack (39.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in New York’s projected batting order.

Ronny Mauricio is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

Ronny Mauricio pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ronny Mauricio in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Landon Knack will have the handedness advantage over Francisco Alvarez today.

Francisco Alvarez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Brett Baty has been pulled from the game early 17% of the time.

Brett Baty will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In terms of plate discipline, Brett Baty’s ability is quite weak, sporting a 3.49 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 25th percentile.

Los Angeles’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Brett Baty, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

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