Padres vs Giants match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Thursday, June 5th

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Padres vs Giants match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Thursday, June 5th

SD @ SF

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Series Game 4 Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Thursday, June 5th
05/06/25 15:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Giants Series Game 4 Matchup Today

When it comes to his batting average ability, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 18th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Among all major league stadiums, Oracle Park’s RF dimensions are the shallowest.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 45.7% to 52.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jackson Merrill has compiled a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #3 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an edge in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Xander Bogaerts has had some very poor luck this year. His .290 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322.

In terms of plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts’s skill is quite good, sporting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 80th percentile.

Oracle Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the league’s 11th-best home run batter.

Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Matt Chapman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.5-mph to 97.8-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Manny Machado will have an edge in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Manny Machado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph recently.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.3-mph.

Jake Cronenworth has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .241 rate is quite a bit lower than his .273 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a 1.75 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jake Cronenworth has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 86th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today’s game.

With a .344 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Fernando Tatis Jr. has performed in the 80th percentile for offensive skills.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Wilmer Flores will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Over the past two weeks, Wilmer Flores’s 54.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

Power-wise, Wilmer Flores finds himself in the 83rd percentile, having paced 29.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Willy Adames’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (26.6°) is significantly better than his 22.2° mark last season.

Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Willy Adames has suffered from bad luck given the .056 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Robbie Ray’s 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.1-mph drop off from last year’s 94-mph mark.

With a 1.73 discrepancy between Robbie Ray’s 2.43 ERA and his 4.16 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and should perform worse in the future.

Robbie Ray has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play this year with a .253 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Robbie Ray projects as the 12th-best starter in the majors currently when it comes to his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Robbie Ray has averaged 93.7 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.9-mph over the course of the season to 87.9-mph lately.

Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 17.5% on the season to 31.6% in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

It may be best to expect improved performance for the San Francisco Giants offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Dylan Cease will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Dylan Cease has averaged 92.7 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Dylan Cease projects as the 13th-best SP in the league currently when it comes to his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given that groundball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over groundball bats, Dylan Cease and his 36.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable spot in today’s game being matched up with 3 opposing GB bats.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season’s 87.8-mph figure.

Gavin Sheets has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 95.8-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Heliot Ramos has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Heliot Ramos’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Dylan Cease today.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Patrick Bailey has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.9% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past two weeks.

Brandon Lockridge will hold the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Brandon Lockridge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.81 ft/sec this year, Brandon Lockridge is quite athletic.

Brandon Lockridge’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Tyler Fitzgerald will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Tyler Fitzgerald has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 88.2-mph.

Tyler Fitzgerald’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 16.7% on the season to 27.3% in the last week.

By putting up a .338 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Tyler Fitzgerald finds himself in the 82nd percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Giants Series Game 4

The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Oracle Park has the tallest fence height (on average) among all parks.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.

Robbie Ray will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Merrill today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today’s game.

Oracle Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.

Jackson Merrill’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.5-mph in the past 14 days.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Over the last 14 days, Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 90.1 mph to 86.8 mph.

Jung Hoo Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 50% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

Jung Hoo Lee’s launch angle lately (8.7° over the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 12° seasonal mark.

Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #1 field in the game for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 91.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 89.5-mph in the past 7 days.

Dominic Smith has been pinch hit for 30% of the time when starting against a northpaw since the start of last season.

Checking in at the 22nd percentile for power, Dominic Smith has averaged 11.3 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Smith in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Dylan Cease will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Matt Chapman tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Manny Machado’s true offensive skill to be a .347, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .027 deviation between that figure and his actual .374 wOBA.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Jake Cronenworth will be in a tough position today.

Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Over the last 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.8% to 37.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Wilmer Flores faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Wilmer Flores tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Willy Adames has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage over Willy Adames today.

Extreme groundball bats like Willy Adames generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Robbie Ray’s overall pitching skill is in the 78th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors currently.

Patrick Bailey, the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the worst field in the game for walks.

The San Diego Padres (19.3 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the worst stadium in the majors for strikeouts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

10% of the time that Luis Arraez has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Batting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Luis Arraez will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez in today’s matchup.

Dylan Cease projects as the 20th-best starting pitcher in baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The San Francisco Giants projected offense profiles as the 5th-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

Gavin Sheets’s BABIP talent is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Robbie Ray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Sheets today.

Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Heliot Ramos meets a tough challenge today.

Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 95.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 78.8-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 22nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.

When estimating his home run ability, Brandon Lockridge ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lockridge is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Brandon Lockridge has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 43% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.

Brandon Lockridge will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Tyler Fitzgerald is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Fitzgerald today.

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