Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Rockies Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Coors Field profiles as the #1 venue in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Nick Fortes will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .235 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .270 — a .035 deviation.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Toglia, Ezequiel Tovar, Ryan McMahon, Jake Cave, Sam Hilliard, Jordan Beck).

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Rob Drake) calling pitches in today’s game.

Projected catcher Nick Fortes projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Max Meyer’s 2391-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 80th percentile among all SPs.

Max Meyer has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.80 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.65 — a 0.85 K/9 deviation.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Cristian Pache will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s game.

Cristian Pache’s speed has improved this season. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.38 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jordan Beck will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The Colorado Rockies projected batting order grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

Ezequiel Tovar’s BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Coors Field profiles as the #1 venue in MLB for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge in today’s game.

Vidal Brujan has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 85.1-mph average.

Vidal Brujan’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 39.8% on the season to 66.7% over the past 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Burger is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

David Hensley will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Freeland today.

David Hensley has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .218 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .253 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #1 field in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Cristian Pache’s 91-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the league since the start of last season: 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Connor Norby is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brendan Rodgers will hold that advantage today.

Drew Romo will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jonah Bride will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s game.

Jordan Beck’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (25.8° in the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 18.7° seasonal angle.

Derek Hill’s BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Derek Hill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

The worst projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Miami Marlins.

Kyle Freeland will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Kyle Freeland was rolling in his previous game started and conceded 2 ER.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Michael Toglia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Connor Norby will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s game.

The Miami Marlins have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (David Hensley, Derek Hill, Connor Norby, Cristian Pache).

Kyle Freeland’s fastball velocity has jumped 2.9 mph this year (91.1 mph) over where it was last year (88.2 mph).

Among all SPs, Kyle Freeland’s fastball spin rate of 2370 rpm grades out in the 75th percentile this year.

Derek Hill will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Freeland in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Rockies Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Nick Fortes is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team in action today.

Nick Fortes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Nick Fortes’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.1-mph EV last year has lowered to 84.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Meyer to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (7th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

The Colorado Rockies have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Charlie Blackmon has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

There has been a decrease in Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity this season, from 86.4 mph last year to 84.1 mph now, Over the last 7 days, Charlie Blackmon’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cristian Pache in the 17th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Cristian Pache is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Cristian Pache will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Cristian Pache has recorded a .198 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, Cristian Pache ranks in the 24th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 9.000.

Jordan Beck is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Max Meyer will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Beck in today’s matchup.

Jordan Beck has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jordan Beck’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 85.9-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 78.4-mph over the last two weeks.

The Colorado Rockies have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 93.2 mph to 86.6 mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.278) may lead us to conclude that Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance this year with his .319 actual wOBA.

Ezequiel Tovar has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 0th percentile with a 9.74 K/BB rate.

Ryan McMahon’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 95.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 89.2-mph in the last two weeks.

In the last 14 days, Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10.1°.

Ranking in the 24th percentile, Ryan McMahon has notched a .230 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 24th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Charlie Blackmon has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .307 mark is a fair amount higher than his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home run talent, Otto Lopez ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Otto Lopez ranks in just the 3rd percentile with a 4.6° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.

Otto Lopez has posted a .259 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 6th percentile.

When estimating his home run skill, Vidal Brujan ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vidal Brujan is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will bat from his worse side (0) today against Kyle Freeland, Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vidal Brujan in today’s matchup.

Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jake Burger’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13% down to 6.7%.

Jake Burger has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph dropping to 88.2-mph over the past 7 days.

Over the past week, Jake Burger’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hensley in the 14th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

David Hensley is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

David Hensley will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Cristian Pache ranks in the 16th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (11.5% rate since the start of last season).

Batting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Brendan Rodgers faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Brendan Rodgers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.

In the last week, Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 89.9 mph to 81.7 mph.

Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 19.7% to 10.8%.

David Hensley is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Colorado (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).

Connor Norby will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Connor Norby has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84-mph dropping to 81.1-mph over the last 14 days.

In the past two weeks, Connor Norby’s 18.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 30.6%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.294) may lead us to conclude that Brendan Rodgers has had some very good luck this year with his .313 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Romo in the 10th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Drew Romo is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Drew Romo has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power).

Compiling a lowly an 80.1-mph average exit velocity in the last week’s worth of games, Drew Romo has been in a slump recently.

When estimating his home run talent, Jonah Bride ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonah Bride in today’s game.

Over the past week, Jonah Bride’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 91.2 mph to 82.6 mph.

Jonah Bride’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 16.7% on the season to 6.7% over the last 7 days.

Derek Hill will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Derek Hill’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 89.2-mph over the last 14 days.

Derek Hill has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 13.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 8.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Derek Hill’s 85.9-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 18th percentile.

In the past week, Jonah Bride has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power).

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Miami Marlins offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

The Miami Marlins have 9 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Freeland in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Toglia’s true offensive ability to be a .299, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .037 disparity between that mark and his actual .336 wOBA.

Posting a .204 batting average this year, Michael Toglia is ranked in the 8th percentile.

Over the last 14 days, Connor Norby’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (20.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 24.3°.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°, Vidal Brujan has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.7°) in the last 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nick Fortes ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.6°, Nick Fortes has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) in the past two weeks.

From last year to this one, Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.6% to 14.1%.

Jake Burger has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 33.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 31.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jake Burger’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.71 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.

Checking in at the 9th percentile, Kyle Freeland notched an 8.3% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Ranking in the 24th percentile, Derek Hill has posted a .257 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Derek Hill ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Toglia’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Vidal Brujan ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez has compiled a .140 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 6th percentile.

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