Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs D-Backs Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today

When estimating his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #2 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today’s matchup.

With a .362 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Iglesias is ranked in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Mark Vientos will have an edge in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino today.

Joc Pederson is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Harrison Bader will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 89.4-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 27.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.4°.

The #2 park in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last year’s 87.1-mph average.

Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.1° angle over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Starling Marte will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Starling Marte has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the game’s 16th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today’s game.

With a .338 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Pete Alonso grades out in the 78th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph in recent games.

In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s 19.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.2%.

Mark Vientos has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.

Luis Severino has averaged 94.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 87th percentile.

Francisco Alvarez, the Mets’s expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Out of all starters, Luis Severino’s fastball velocity of 95.5 mph is in the 89th percentile this year.

Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jake McCarthy is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery.

Francisco Lindor has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.4% seasonal rate to 22% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

J.D. Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today’s game.

J.D. Martinez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jose Iglesias has recorded a .459 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

Over the last 7 days, Harrison Bader’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

Adrian Del Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adrian Del Castillo stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Adrian Del Castillo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle this year (15.9°) is considerably higher than his 10.7° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 90-mph.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for BABIP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

In the last week, Adrian Del Castillo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph recently.

Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 77th percentile with a 2.01 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Starling Marte has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.344) may lead us to conclude that Starling Marte has been unlucky this year with his .317 actual wOBA.

Jake McCarthy’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Posting a .324 batting average this year, Jose Iglesias is ranked in the 98th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs D-Backs Series Game 2

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

In the majors, Chase Field’s CF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest.

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 27%.

Luis Severino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez today.

Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jose Iglesias’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 82.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 80.6-mph in the past two weeks.

In today’s matchup, Mark Vientos is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (93rd percentile).

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mark Vientos today.

Mark Vientos’s launch angle lately (6.8° in the past week) is significantly worse than his 11.3° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos’s true offensive ability to be a .317, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .056 disparity between that mark and his actual .373 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the worst ballpark in the game for left-handed home runs.

Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .400 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joc Pederson has been lucky given the .047 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .353.

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Harrison Bader’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (8.8°) is considerably lower than his 12.3° figure last year.

Chase Field profiles as the #29 ballpark in the majors for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will bat from his worse side against Luis Severino in today’s game.

Starling Marte has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Starling Marte has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Starling Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Starling Marte’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.3%.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pete Alonso today.

In the past 7 days, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.

Over the past 7 days, Josh Bell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

Josh Bell has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 85.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.1°, Josh Bell has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0°) over the last two weeks.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 40.3% to 33.9%.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, going from 33.9% on the season to 27.3% in the past 14 days.

Using Statcast data, Corbin Carroll grades out in the 25th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .230.

Pete Alonso’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 77.1-mph over the last 7 days.

Hitting from the same side that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 10th-worst ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 7 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Severino in today’s matchup.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Severino has utilized his secondary offerings 11.9% less often this year (39.2%) than he did last season (51.1%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jake McCarthy’s launch angle lately (3.8° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 11.3° seasonal mark.

Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has been lucky given the .047 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, J.D. Martinez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (83rd percentile).

J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 96.9-mph mark last year has lowered to 94.7-mph.

Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 88.5-mph over the last 14 days.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, falling from 42% on the season to 20% in the last week.

Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

When estimating his home run skill, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

Over the past week, Adrian Del Castillo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 18.5% down to 11.1%.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Francisco Alvarez today.

There has been a significant decline in Francisco Alvarez’s launch angle from last season’s 12.3° to 6.2° this year.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 16.5% to 9.6%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .314, which is a good deal worse than their actual wOBA of .331 this year.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the league this year.

When assessing his home run skill, Starling Marte ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

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