SEA @ CWS





Mariners @ White Sox Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, May 8th
Time : 08/05/26 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Seattle Mariners Game Today
Andrew Benintendi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Hancock has a large platoon split.
,Andrew Benintendi pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Andrew Benintendi will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
,Andrew Benintendi’s launch angle of late (22.4° over the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 19° seasonal figure.
,When it comes to his home runs, Andrew Benintendi has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 22.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 30.5.
,When assessing his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties.
,Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB.
,In the past week’s worth of games, Julio Rodriguez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 13.3%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB’s 5th-best home run hitter.
,Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.
,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his good side against Sean Burke in today’s game.
,Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Julio Rodriguez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 97.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
,As it relates to his home run skill, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
,Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock in today’s game… and moreover, Hancock has a large platoon split.
,Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Recording 17 outs per game per started this year on average, Sean Burke places in the 77th percentile.
,The #10 venue in baseball for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Sean Burke will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Sean Burke’s four-seamer usage has decreased by 6.3% from last season to this one (43.1% to 36.8%) .
,When estimating his home run skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke in today’s game.
,Luke Raley has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10.7% rate last season to 20.4% this year.
,Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand today.
,Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Cole Young has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 10.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 16.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Sporting a 1.89 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Cole Young has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 75th percentile.
,Compared to the average pitcher, Emerson Hancock has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an additional 3.5 adjusted pitches each start.
,The Chicago White Sox have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jarred Kelenic, Munetaka Murakami, Colson Montgomery).
,In his last outing, Emerson Hancock performed well and notched 9 strikeouts.
,Out of all starting pitchers, Emerson Hancock’s fastball spin rate of 2472 rpm ranks in the 87th percentile this year.
,Tristan Peters will have the handedness advantage over Emerson Hancock in today’s matchup… and even better, Hancock has a large platoon split.
,Tristan Peters pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
,The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team in action today.
,Tristan Peters will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
,Samuel Antonacci is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
,Samuel Antonacci will have the handedness advantage against Emerson Hancock in today’s game… and even more favorably, Hancock has a large platoon split.
,Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today… and moreover, Hancock has a large platoon split.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
,Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.
,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 20.6% to 23.6%.
,Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Josh Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.
,Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
,In the last two weeks, Randy Arozarena’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.
,Chase Meidroth is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
,Chase Meidroth has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
,Chase Meidroth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,As it relates to plate discipline, Leo Rivas’s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.7 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 86th percentile.
,The Seattle Mariners have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mitch Garver, Cal Raleigh, Luke Raley).
,Among all starters, Sean Burke’s fastball spin rate of 2545 rpm ranks in the 96th percentile this year.
,Leo Rivas’s launch angle of late (27.2° in the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 21.1° seasonal mark.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Leo Rivas’s true offensive skill to be a .289, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .066 deviation between that mark and his actual .223 wOBA.
,Miguel Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
,This season, Miguel Vargas has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.6 mph compared to last year’s 91.8 mph mark.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Samuel Antonacci will hold that advantage today.
,Samuel Antonacci has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days.
,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Munetaka Murakami ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
,Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today… and moreover, Hancock has a large platoon split.
,Munetaka Murakami pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the game’s 2nd-best home run hitter.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
,In the past week, Tristan Peters’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.9%.
,Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,In his previous GS, Emerson Hancock performed well and conceded 0 ER.
,Over the last 7 days, Jarred Kelenic has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power).
,Posting a 94.5-mph average exit velocity in the past week, Jarred Kelenic has been in great form lately.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh’s true offensive ability to be a .346, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .076 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .270 wOBA.
,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.
,Luke Raley has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season’s 89.3-mph EV.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
,Cole Young has posted a .284 batting average this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
,Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
,J.P. Crawford has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Munetaka Murakami will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,This season, J.P. Crawford has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.6 mph compared to last year’s 89.7 mph mark.
,Miguel Vargas is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#1-worst on the slate today).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Ranking in the 81st percentile, Randy Arozarena sports a .319 BABIP since the start of last season.
Negatives with the Chicago White Sox Game Today
Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
,This year, Andrew Benintendi has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
,In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.
,Andrew Benintendi has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 80.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
,Sean Burke will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez today.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.
,Over the past week, Julio Rodriguez’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40%.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cal Raleigh in today’s game.
,Cal Raleigh has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 13.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.
,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, going from 23.6% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 39% to 25.8%.
,Colson Montgomery’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 96.7-mph average last season has dropped to 93.4-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Colson Montgomery’s true offensive skill to be a .316, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .036 gap between that mark and his actual .352 wOBA.
,It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Seattle Mariners offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
,Edgar Quero, the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums.
,With 6 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Sean Burke will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
,Sean Burke has been lucky this year, putting up a 2.72 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.73 — a 2.01 discrepancy.
,Luke Raley is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,34% of the time that Luke Raley has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luke Raley in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luke Raley’s true offensive skill to be a .322, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .350 wOBA.
,Cole Young is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cole Young in today’s matchup.
,Cole Young has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
,Over the past week, Cole Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 92.2 mph to 83.8 mph.
,Projected catcher Mitch Garver profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The #2 park in the game for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
,Because of his large platoon split, Emerson Hancock will have a tough challenge facing 7 bats in the projected batting order who bat from the other side today.
,Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Emerson Hancock in today’s matchup.
,Emerson Hancock’s change-up rate has fallen by 14.3% from last season to this one (20.2% to 5.9%) .
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Peters in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
,Tristan Peters is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
,This year, Tristan Peters has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 32% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
,Tristan Peters’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.3-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
,This year, Samuel Antonacci has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
,Jarred Kelenic’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
,Since the start of last season, Jarred Kelenic has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 43% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
,Jarred Kelenic’s speed has dropped off this year. His 26.07 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.32 ft/sec now.
,Emerson Hancock will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Hancock’s large platoon split.
,Miguel Vargas has put up a .255 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 9th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 13th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s matchup.
,Josh Naylor has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week.
,Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.4-mph in the past 7 days.
,Batting from the same side that Sean Burke throws from, Randy Arozarena has a tough challenge today.
,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Arozarena today.
,Randy Arozarena has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks.
,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this season (6.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 13.4° figure last season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
,Considering Emerson Hancock’s large platoon split, Chase Meidroth will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.
,Chase Meidroth has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 86-mph over the past two weeks.
,Chase Meidroth’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 10.8% on the season to 0% in the last week.
,Leo Rivas’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Leo Rivas is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
,The switch-hitting Leo Rivas will bat from his weak side (0) today against Sean Burke,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Leo Rivas today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Rivas in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 12th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
,Over the past two weeks, Munetaka Murakami’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 22.4% down to 15.4%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Munetaka Murakami’s true offensive ability to be a .352, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .038 deviation between that mark and his actual .390 wOBA.
,In the last 7 days, Chase Meidroth has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power).
,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) provides evidence that Andrew Benintendi has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .239 actual batting average.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Peters in the 21st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 23rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
,Josh Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 14.8% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
,Over the last week, Jarred Kelenic’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
,Sporting a .248 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jarred Kelenic is ranked in the 18th percentile for offensive ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.P. Crawford today.
,J.P. Crawford’s launch angle of late (7.8° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 12.9° seasonal mark.
,J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 19% to 12.8%.
,J.P. Crawford has posted a .179 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile.
,In notching a .270 BABIP since the start of last season, Andrew Benintendi is positioned in the 20th percentile.
,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (9.5) may lead us to conclude that J.P. Crawford has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 12.3 actual HR/600.
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