Twins @ Guardians Matchup Details

Positives for the Minnesota Twins Game Today

Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Progressive Field projects as the #6 park in baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field fences in the majors.

,Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to better offense.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

,Austin Martin is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Austin Martin will have an edge today.

,Austin Martin’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 48.8% to 57.1%.

,Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today.

,Brooks Lee has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.6% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Parker Messick’s overall pitching talent is in the 88th percentile among all starters in the game right now.

,Parker Messick has tallied 17.7 outs per game per started this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.

,Parker Messick will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

,Luke Keaschall’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luke Keaschall will hold the platoon advantage over Parker Messick in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 9.8°, Austin Martin has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 14.6° figure in the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Royce Lewis will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Royce Lewis’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.7% up to 25%.

,Byron Buxton projects as the 8th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

,Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage over Parker Messick today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Josh Bell has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last 7 days.

,Josh Bell has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph.

,Byron Buxton projects as the 12th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,David Fry is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,David Fry will have the handedness advantage against Connor Prielipp in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Luke Keaschall’s launch angle this year (16.9°) is quite a bit better than his 10.2° figure last year.

,Angel Martinez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Connor Prielipp.

,Austin Martin’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Victor Caratini is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Victor Caratini has been unlucky this year, compiling a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .047 gap.

,Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Progressive Field ranks as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Parker Messick in the 84th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

,The #9 park in the league for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

,Placing in the 88th percentile, Parker Messick has posted a 29.1% strikeout rate this year.

,The Cleveland Guardians have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bo Naylor, Petey Halpin, David Fry, Daniel Schneemann).

,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Connor Prielipp must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary pitches a lot since the start of last season: 63.4% of the time, placing in the 83rd percentile.

,Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Rhys Hoskins will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Prielipp today.

,Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Chase DeLauter will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run ability, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Daniel Schneemann will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,Daniel Schneemann’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16.5% to 21.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 79th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Chase DeLauter has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 93.7-mph in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 13.3°, Daniel Schneemann has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 18.7° figure in the last week.

,The Cleveland Guardians projected batting order ranks as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

,It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Cleveland Guardians offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

,In his previous outing, Connor Prielipp turned in a great performance and gave up 2 ER.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games today at 59°.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Parker Messick in today’s game.

,Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,With a .246 BABIP since the start of last season, Josh Bell has performed in the 4th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Progressive Field projects as the #27 park in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Among all major league parks, the 4th-tallest average fence height are at Progressive Field.

,Austin Martin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,When estimating his home run talent, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brayan Rocchio is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Brooks Lee is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Progressive Field ranks as the #5 field in the majors for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The Minnesota Twins have 8 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Parker Messick in this game.

,Out of all starters, Parker Messick’s fastball spin rate of 2141 rpm ranks in the 8th percentile this year.

,Luke Keaschall is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Luke Keaschall hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luke Keaschall in today’s matchup.

,Luke Keaschall’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 88.3-mph in the last two weeks.

,In his previous GS, Parker Messick was firing on all cylinders and gave up 0 ER.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan Jeffers in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Ryan Jeffers’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 36.5%.

,In terms of his batting average, Ryan Jeffers has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .269 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Royce Lewis is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Byron Buxton today.

,Sporting a 3.81 K/BB rate this year, Byron Buxton has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will bat from his weak side against Parker Messick in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, David Fry’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 34.6%.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.231) may lead us to conclude that David Fry has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .286 actual wOBA.

,Jose Ramirez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 85.8-mph in the last two weeks.

,Over the past 7 days, Angel Martinez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

,In terms of his batting average, Angel Martinez has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .233 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .213.

,Angel Martinez has recorded a .259 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Placing in the 18th percentile, Angel Martinez has notched a .287 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Brayan Rocchio’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88-mph mark last year has dropped to 85-mph.

,In the past 14 days, Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 88.6 mph to 83.4 mph.

,David Fry’s BABIP skill is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Checking in at the 22nd percentile, David Fry sits with a .189 batting average since the start of last season.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Martin in today’s matchup.

,Austin Martin has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) over the last two weeks.

,Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Austin Martin has had some very good luck given the .073 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Victor Caratini will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Parker Messick in this game.

,In today’s game, Victor Caratini is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (87th percentile).

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Victor Caratini today.

,Victor Caratini’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Ryan Jeffers has been lucky this year, putting up a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .337 — a .034 difference.

,Among all parks, Progressive Field’s CF fences are the 7th-deepest.

,Hitting from the same side that Connor Prielipp throws from, Chase DeLauter encounters a tough challenge today.

,Chase DeLauter has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Chase DeLauter’s true offensive ability to be a .327, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .074 difference between that mark and his actual .401 wOBA.

,Connor Prielipp will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Angel Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 90.9 mph to 88.1 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.210) may lead us to conclude that Rhys Hoskins has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .228 actual batting average.

,Progressive Field ranks as the #27 field in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Daniel Schneemann is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Ranking in the 24th percentile, Rhys Hoskins has put up a .228 batting average since the start of last season.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Royce Lewis in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Connor Prielipp throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have a disadvantage today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Daniel Schneemann’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brooks Lee in today’s game.

,Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 41.5% to 33.3%.

,Jose Ramirez has recorded a .267 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile.

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