Yankees @ Brewers Matchup Details

Positives for the New York Yankees Game Today

As it relates to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,The #4 venue in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 6th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

,Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for RHB home runs.

,The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

,The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Max Fried.

,Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,William Contreras’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as the game’s 18th-best home run batter.

,Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 7th-best SP in the league currently.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Max Fried is projected to throw 98 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-most of all pitchers on the slate today.

,The Milwaukee Brewers projected lineup projects as the 4th-worst of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability.

,Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Max Fried is an extreme groundball pitcher (49.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in American Family Field — the #2 HR venue among all major league parks — in today’s game.

,American Family Field grades out as the #2 park in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Because groundball hitters struggle against groundball pitchers, Max Fried (49.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 6 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

,Max Fried has utilized his four-seam fastball 6.3% less often this season (18%) than he did last year (24.3%).

,Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Joey Ortiz will have an advantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today’s game.

,Brice Turang’s BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, William Contreras will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jose Caballero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Brandon Lockridge will have an advantage in today’s game.

,The New York Yankees projected lineup projects as the 2nd-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

,Luis Rengifo will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,In the last 7 days, Luis Rengifo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.1-mph of late.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Paul Goldschmidt has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 8% rate last season to 18.8% this season.

,Paul Goldschmidt’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 45.6% to 53.1%.

,When estimating his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Jacob Misiorowski projects as the 2nd-best starting pitcher in the game currently when estimating his strikeout talent, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The New York Yankees have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jazz Chisholm Jr., Aaron Judge, Ryan McMahon).

,In his last outing, Jacob Misiorowski performed well and compiled 11 strikeouts.

,Jake Bauers will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,In the past 7 days, Jose Caballero’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.

,Grading out in the 81st percentile, Jose Caballero sports a .319 BABIP since the start of last season.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Gary Sanchez will have the upper hand today.

,Gary Sanchez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today’s matchup.

,Ryan McMahon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 19.3% on the season to 30.8% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Joey Ortiz hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Joey Ortiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Austin Wells has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 95.2-mph.

,Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Brandon Lockridge’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Lockridge will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (38%,— 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jazz Chisholm Jr. in today’s matchup.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 85.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 19.4% to 11.5%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Luis Rengifo is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,10% of the time that Luis Rengifo has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Luis Rengifo has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Typically, batters like Luis Rengifo who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Max Fried.

,Gary Sanchez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,This year, Gary Sanchez has been pinch hit for in 23% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

,Gary Sanchez has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 13.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 14 days.

,Gary Sanchez’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 85.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Gary Sanchez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 11.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Hitting from the same side that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Aaron Judge will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.

,Typically, batters like William Contreras who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Max Fried.

,Based on Statcast metrics, William Contreras is in the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.600.

,Trent Grisham will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 18.1°, Trent Grisham has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (14.3°) over the past 14 days.

,Trent Grisham has put up a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Trent Grisham has put up a .240 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 3rd percentile.

,Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cody Bellinger’s true offensive ability to be a .333, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .046 disparity between that figure and his actual .379 wOBA.

,American Family Field projects as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.

,Max Fried will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Max Fried’s fastball spin rate of 2117 rpm is in the 14th percentile this year.

,Joey Ortiz’s BABIP ability is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,This year, Joey Ortiz has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.

,Typically, hitters like Joey Ortiz who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Max Fried.

,Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 12.1% to 9.1%.

,William Contreras’s launch angle of late (6.4° in the last week’s worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 12.1° seasonal angle.

,Paul Goldschmidt has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Jacob Misiorowski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today’s matchup.

,Paul Goldschmidt has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Austin Wells is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

,Austin Wells is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).

,Austin Wells will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Batting from the same side that Max Fried throws from, Brice Turang will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

,Brice Turang’s launch angle recently (2.5° in the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 8.3° seasonal mark.

,Brice Turang has been lucky this year, posting a .412 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .081 discrepancy.

,Ryan McMahon is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan McMahon today.

,From last season to this one, Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 48.6% to 33.3%.

,Posting a .219 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ryan McMahon finds himself in the 13th percentile.

,Jose Caballero is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Jacob Misiorowski will have the handedness advantage over Jose Caballero in today’s matchup.

,Jose Caballero will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.1-mph EV last season has dropped off to 83.5-mph.

,There has been a significant decline in Jose Caballero’s launch angle from last season’s 17.2° to 9.1° this year.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Brandon Lockridge ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Lockridge is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

,This year, Brandon Lockridge has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.

,Brandon Lockridge has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will be challenged by the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball batters like Brandon Lockridge usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jacob Misiorowski in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

,The New York Yankees have been the 10th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season,Jacob Misiorowski will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.

,Jacob Misiorowski performed well in his last outing and allowed 1 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Ryan McMahon sports a .292 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,Checking in at the 24th percentile, Ryan McMahon sports a .360 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

,Batting from the same side that Max Fried throws from, Jake Bauers will have a tough challenge today.

,Jake Bauers has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph dropping to 86.8-mph over the last week.

,Jake Bauers’s launch angle this year (9.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.6° angle last season.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.1°, Jake Bauers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) over the past two weeks.

,Gary Sanchez has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 31.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 25.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The New York Yankees have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in this game.

,Jacob Misiorowski’s four-seam fastball utilization has spiked by 7% from last year to this one (54.4% to 61.4%) .

,Jacob Misiorowski has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 13.97 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.79 — a 2.19 K/9 disparity.

,In terms of his batting average, Jake Bauers has been lucky since the start of last season. His .244 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .227.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Austin Wells’s launch angle this year (15.4°) is considerably worse than his 20.5° mark last season.

,There has been a significant decline in Paul Goldschmidt’s launch angle from last year’s 16.5° to 10.7° this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 17th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Over the past two weeks, Brandon Lockridge’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 84.6 mph to 76.3 mph.

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