Dodgers vs Rays match player stats | 2025 Friday, August 1st

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Dodgers vs Rays match player stats | 2025 Friday, August 1st

LAD @ TB

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Matchup Details

Los Angeles Dodgers at Tampa Bay Rays

Todays Game is on Friday, August 1st
01/08/25 19:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Dodgers vs Rays Matchup Today

Jonny DeLuca is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.

Jonny DeLuca will hold the platoon advantage over Clayton Kershaw in today’s game.

The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jonny DeLuca will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for righty home runs.

On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The #4 park in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Alexander Freeland will get to bat from his better side against Shane Baz today.

Alexander Freeland pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the league.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today’s matchup.

Shohei Ohtani has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 22.9% seasonal rate to 32% over the past two weeks.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christopher Morel, Josh Lowe, Brandon Lowe, Matt Thaiss, Jonathan Aranda).

The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Clayton Kershaw’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (63.5% this year) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Considering the 1.34 disparity between Clayton Kershaw’s 5.88 K/9 and his 7.22 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform better in future games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Mookie Betts has been unlucky this year, putting up a .299 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .049 difference.

With a 1.25 K/BB rate this year, Mookie Betts has shown good plate discipline, grading out in the 95th percentile.

Will Smith projects as the 16th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Will Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 36.4% to 49.8%.

Over the last week, Will Smith’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.8%.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Michael Conforto has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week’s worth of games.

Michael Conforto has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Conforto’s 61.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 6th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability.

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Freddie Freeman will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today’s matchup.

Freddie Freeman’s launch angle recently (20.4° in the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 15° seasonal angle.

This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.4 mph compared to last year’s 86.6 mph mark.

In the last week’s worth of games, Miguel Rojas’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.4%.

When it comes to plate discipline, Miguel Rojas’s skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 86th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Christopher Morel will have the handedness advantage over Clayton Kershaw today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Josh Lowe’s BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Lowe will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 45.3% to 52.2%.

Josh Lowe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 97.8-mph over the past week.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Taylor Walls will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Clayton Kershaw in this game.

Taylor Walls has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Andy Pages has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.9-mph average.

In the past week, Andy Pages’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.8%.

By putting up a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Andy Pages has performed in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shane Baz in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

Shane Baz has averaged 92.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Shane Baz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous outing, Shane Baz turned in a great performance and gave up 0 ER.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Shane Baz in the 77th percentile among all SPs in baseball.

Shane Baz was in good form in his last GS and notched 10 strikeouts.

Negative Match Player Stats with Dodgers vs Rays

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny DeLuca in the 21st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jonny DeLuca hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Jonny DeLuca’s launch angle from last season’s 16.1° to 7.7° this season.

Jonny DeLuca has posted a .281 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 16th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jonny DeLuca’s 3.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 12th percentile since the start of last season.

Jonny DeLuca has paced 9.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Freeland in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Alexander Freeland is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Alexander Freeland will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Junior Caminero is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (90th percentile).

Over the last 7 days, Junior Caminero’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 95.7 mph to 90.7 mph.

Junior Caminero’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 14.9% on the season to 8.3% in the past two weeks.

Junior Caminero has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 37.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 27.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sporting a 3.6 K/BB rate this year, Junior Caminero has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 22nd percentile.

Junior Caminero has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .338 rate is quite a bit higher than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Grading out in the 9th percentile, Junior Caminero has put up a .253 BABIP this year.

The 5th-deepest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In terms of his home runs, Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate this year. His 46.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 36.6.

Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .405 rate is a fair amount higher than his .375 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Clayton Kershaw to throw 83 pitches in this game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Will Smith, the Dodgers’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Clayton Kershaw will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Clayton Kershaw struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and put up 2 Ks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Clayton Kershaw in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 10th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,The 8% Barrel% of the Tampa Bay Rays makes them the #21 team in the majors this year by this stat.

Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Mookie Betts will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Over the past two weeks, Mookie Betts’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 81.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Will Smith faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Will Smith in today’s matchup.

Will Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 78.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .413 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Will Smith has had positive variance on his side given the .049 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .364.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Michael Conforto is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Michael Conforto has been pinch hit for 18% of the time.

In today’s game, Michael Conforto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.9% rate (84th percentile).

Michael Conforto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.5°, Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (2.5° in the past 14 days).

Yandy Diaz has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 23.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 18.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (99% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Clayton Kershaw will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Lowe in today’s game.

From last year to this one, Brandon Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20% to 16.1%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) provides evidence that Brandon Lowe has had positive variance on his side this year with his .272 actual batting average.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.323) implies that Brandon Lowe has had positive variance on his side this year with his .346 actual wOBA.

Shane Baz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez today.

Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 96.3-mph average last season has dropped to 93.3-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 41.5% on the season to 18.2% in the past week’s worth of games.

Teoscar Hernandez has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 9th percentile with a 4.69 K/BB rate.

In today’s matchup, Freddie Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.9% rate (90th percentile).

Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 93.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 87.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 20% to 15.3%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) may lead us to conclude that Freddie Freeman has experienced some positive variance this year with his .361 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Miguel Rojas is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Miguel Rojas has been pinch hit for 18% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Shane Baz will hold the platoon advantage over Miguel Rojas in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Christopher Morel’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.8% down to 0%.

Christopher Morel has compiled a .203 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 14th percentile, Christopher Morel sits with a .280 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Ranking in the 4th percentile, Christopher Morel has put up a .200 batting average this year.

Based on Statcast metrics, Christopher Morel is in the 23rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .297.

Christopher Morel has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 21st percentile with a 3.83 K/BB rate.

Josh Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Josh Lowe will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Josh Lowe has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Josh Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

Josh Lowe has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 16.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 8.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Lowe’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (2° in the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 10.1° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 15th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Taylor Walls is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 86.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 82.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, Taylor Walls grades out in the 6th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 6.000.

Placing in the 6th percentile, Taylor Walls sits with a .262 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 18th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Sporting a .218 batting average this year, Taylor Walls grades out in the 13th percentile.

Andy Pages is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Shane Baz will hold the platoon advantage over Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Andy Pages’s launch angle this season (16.5°) is quite a bit worse than his 20.6° figure last season.

The best projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Shane Baz has gone to his curveball 7.5% more often this season (28%) than he did last season (20.5%).

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