PIT @ COL
Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, August 1st
01/08/25 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Rockies Matchup Today
Warming Bernabel is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
The #1 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 83°.
Warming Bernabel will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today’s game.
The #10 venue in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for run-scoring.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Antonio Senzatela in today’s game.
The #10 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in baseball for left-handed batting average.
When estimating his home run ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
When assessing his home run skill, Jordan Beck ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The Colorado Rockies have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Hunter Goodman, Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tovar, Jordan Beck).
Andrew Heaney’s four-seam fastball rate has dropped by 5.1% from last year to this one (49.9% to 44.8%) .
Andrew Heaney has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.56 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.74 — a 1.18 K/9 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Andrew Heaney in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.
It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Colorado Rockies offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
The #1 park in the majors for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Antonio Senzatela in the 5th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.
It may be best to expect improved performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in baseball this year.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Jack Suwinski, Joey Bart).
Antonio Senzatela has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 4.84 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 5.68 — a 0.85 K/9 deviation.
Bryan Reynolds’s BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
In the last two weeks, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 9.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 3.7°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Thairo Estrada will have an advantage today.
Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Thairo Estrada will hold that advantage today.
Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an edge today.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Tyler Freeman will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Liover Peguero has been hot in recent games, notching a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) over the last week.
Over the last week, Liover Peguero’s maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 110.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Nick Gonzales ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Rockies
Warming Bernabel’s BABIP talent is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his home run talent, Warming Bernabel ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brenton Doyle is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
The standard deviation of Brenton Doyle’s launch angle this year (29.7°) is in the 16th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.
Brenton Doyle has put up a .241 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 1st percentile.
Grading out in the 3rd percentile, Brenton Doyle has put up a .196 batting average this year.
Posting a .301 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Brenton Doyle is ranked in the 4th percentile.
Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
In the last week’s worth of games, Spencer Horwitz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.
In the past 7 days, Spencer Horwitz’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20%.
Spencer Horwitz has hit 8.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 15th percentile for power.
Spencer Horwitz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 91-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.7-mph in the past 14 days.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance this year. His .357 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.
Posting a 5.18 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has demonstrated poor plate discipline, checking in at the 6th percentile.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.2°, Jordan Beck has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.3°) over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Beck’s true offensive ability to be a .302, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .339 wOBA.
Sporting a 4.31 K/BB rate this year, Jordan Beck has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 13th percentile.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Andrew Heaney is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate.
The #1 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Heaney in today’s matchup.
The weakest projected offense of the day in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
In his previous outing, Andrew Heaney was in good form and allowed 1 ER.
Colorado’s 89-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the majors: #23 overall.
Positioned 3rd-least steep in the game this year, Colorado Rockies bats jointly have notched a 11.6° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (a reliable standard to study power skills).
Antonio Senzatela will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.
In his previous start, Antonio Senzatela was on point and gave up 0 ER.
Antonio Senzatela has been unlucky this year, putting up a 6.68 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 5.30 — a 1.38 discrepancy.
Antonio Senzatela has posted a .343 BABIP this year, making him one of the unluckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Antonio Senzatela in the 1st percentile among all starters in baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Antonio Senzatela to throw 83 pitches in this game (5th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s game.
In the last week’s worth of games, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%.
In the past 14 days, Bryan Reynolds’s 9.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.3%.
Bryan Reynolds has compiled a .288 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.
Posting a 3.93 K/BB rate this year, Bryan Reynolds has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 20th percentile.
When it comes to his home run skill, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.
Antonio Senzatela will have the handedness advantage over Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s game.
In the past 7 days, Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 88.6 mph to 83.5 mph.
Last season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa had a launch angle of 8.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 3.7°.
Batting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Andrew McCutchen meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Andrew McCutchen’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94.8-mph seasonal average has dropped to 87.7-mph in the last 7 days.
From last year to this one, Andrew McCutchen’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.4% to 12.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Thairo Estrada has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.
Thairo Estrada’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86.3-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 80.1-mph over the last week.
Thairo Estrada’s launch angle this season (6.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.5° figure last season.
Thairo Estrada has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is a fair amount higher than his .272 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Orlando Arcia is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
This year, Orlando Arcia has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.
Orlando Arcia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 12.8% on the season to 5.6% over the past two weeks.
Based on Statcast metrics, Orlando Arcia grades out in the 6th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .209.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Orlando Arcia ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Oneil Cruz has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 21.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 12.9% in the last 14 days.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.7°, Oneil Cruz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.8°) over the last two weeks.
Oneil Cruz has notched a .215 batting average this year, placing in the 11th percentile.
Tyler Freeman has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.
Tyler Freeman’s launch angle this season (8°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.9° angle last year.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 8°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6.3°) over the last 14 days.
Power-wise, Tyler Freeman finds himself in the 4th percentile, having hit 1.9 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Freeman’s true offensive ability to be a .327, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .023 deviation between that figure and his actual .350 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 15th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 14th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Liover Peguero is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Liover Peguero will have a disadvantage today.
Liover Peguero will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Nick Gonzales encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Nick Gonzales will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Nick Gonzales has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
There has been a significant decline in Nick Gonzales’s launch angle from last year’s 12.6° to 8.6° this season.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Nick Gonzales’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 7.1°.
Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle this year (12.7°) is considerably worse than his 18.7° mark last year.
Latest Colorado Rockies Match Player Stats
- Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers Odds MLB – Saturday 12th 2026
- Rockies vs Tigers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 12th
- Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers Odds MLB – Friday 11th 2026
- Rockies vs Tigers match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
- Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees Odds MLB – Thursday 10th 2026
- Rockies vs Yankees match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, September 10th
- Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees Odds MLB – Wednesday 9th 2026
- Rockies vs Yankees match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Wednesday, September 9th
- Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees Odds MLB – Tuesday 8th 2026
- Rockies vs Yankees match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, September 8th
Latest Pittsburgh Pirates Match Player Stats
- Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs Odds MLB – Saturday 12th 2026
- Pirates vs Cubs match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 12th
- Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs Odds MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL Friday, September 11th NATIONAL LEAGUE 11th 2026
- Pirates vs Cubs match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
- Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox Odds MLB – Thursday 10th 2026
- Pirates vs White Sox match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, September 10th
- Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox Odds MLB – Wednesday 9th 2026
- Pirates vs White Sox match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Wednesday, September 9th
- Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox Odds MLB – Tuesday 8th 2026
- Pirates vs White Sox match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, September 8th