LAD @ SEA



Dodgers @ Mariners Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, September 27th
Time : 27/09/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.
Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow today.
Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
Shohei Ohtani will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today.
The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Shohei Ohtani has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 23.5% seasonal rate to 32.3% over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as baseball’s 12th-best home run hitter.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Eugenio Suarez has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.5% seasonal rate to 40% in the last week.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge today.
Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Last season, Enrique Hernandez had an average launch angle of 7.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 18.4°.
Enrique Hernandez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .195 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Conforto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage today.
Michael Conforto has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Michael Conforto has been very consistent with his recently, compiling a 34.9° launch angle standard deviation over the past two weeks.
J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today’s game.
J.P. Crawford has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.288) may lead us to conclude that J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck this year with his .265 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
The Seattle Mariners projected offense grades out as the 4th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.
The 3rd-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in T-Mobile Park.
With 6 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Tyler Glasnow faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
Tyler Glasnow will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Tyler Glasnow has averaged 94.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 87th percentile.
As it relates to his strikeout talent, Tyler Glasnow projects as the 11th-best SP in the game currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Seattle Mariners have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Luke Raley, Eugenio Suarez).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the best field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
Teoscar Hernandez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the past week, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.
Miguel Rojas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.2-mph average to last year’s 85-mph mark.
In terms of plate discipline, Miguel Rojas’s ability is quite strong, posting a 1.85 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 75th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today.
Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Andy Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Andy Pages has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball’s 5th-best home run hitter.
Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Cal Raleigh has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 19.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Los Angeles’s 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Cal Raleigh, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
When estimating his strikeout ability, Logan Gilbert projects as the 14th-best starter in Major League Baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher today) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.
Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.
Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Game Today
Dominic Canzone is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Dominic Canzone has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 park in the game for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
T-Mobile Park profiles as the #30 stadium in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani today.
Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 45.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 38.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate this year. His .417 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .394.
Batting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have a tough challenge today.
Eugenio Suarez has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 45.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 31.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in the game for righty batting average.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Eugenio Suarez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .355 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.
Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.7-mph mark last season has dropped off to 90.3-mph.
In the last 7 days, Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 90.3 mph to 87.5 mph.
Enrique Hernandez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Enrique Hernandez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 17th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
This year, Michael Conforto has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 14th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
In the last 7 days, J.P. Crawford’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Tyler Glasnow’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 93rd percentile among all SPs in baseball currently.
It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Seattle Mariners offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in the league this year.
It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Dan Merzel) in charge of the strike zone today.
The #1 field in the majors for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
Tyler Glasnow’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.3 mph this year (95.1 mph) below where it was last season (96.4 mph).
Tyler Glasnow has relied on his sinker 11.7% more often this year (20.4%) than he did last year (8.7%).
Hitting from the same side that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Randy Arozarena will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.6°, Randy Arozarena has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-10.3°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Teoscar Hernandez encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run talent, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Miguel Rojas is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 18th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Luke Raley is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Luke Raley has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 29% of the time.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 3rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Ben Rortvedt is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Ben Rortvedt has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.
Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Andy Pages today.
Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will bat from his weak side against Tyler Glasnow in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (39.3) implies that Cal Raleigh has had positive variance on his side this year with his 52.0 actual HR/600.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has had positive variance on his side this year. His .395 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .360.
Logan Gilbert’s 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.8-mph decrease from last year’s 96.6-mph mark.
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Logan Gilbert has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls 5.4% less often this season (62.3%) than he did last year (67.7%).
Out of all SPs, Logan Gilbert’s fastball spin rate of 2116 rpm is in the 3rd percentile this year.
With a 1.46 gap between Logan Gilbert’s 12.00 K/9 and his 10.54 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to perform worse in future games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Gilbert as the 16th-best starting pitcher in MLB currently.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Los Angeles Dodgers today owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .319, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .332 this year.
Tyler Glasnow will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 94.2 mph to 89.7 mph.
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