Reds vs Brewers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 27th

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CIN @ MIL

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Reds @ Brewers Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Series : Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, September 27th
Time : 27/09/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Cincinnati Reds Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Elly De La Cruz has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last week.

Elly De La Cruz has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 98.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Among all major league parks, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Joey Ortiz will have an edge today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Joey Ortiz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive talent to be a .297, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .032 disparity between that mark and his actual .265 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Jackson Chourio will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Caleb Durbin will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.

The Milwaukee Brewers have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in this game.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Andrew Abbott (41.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Milwaukee’s projected lineup.

Throwing 94.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Andrew Abbott ranks in the 90th percentile.

American Family Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Andrew Abbott’s four-seamer percentage has fallen by 6.5% from last season to this one (53.5% to 47%) .

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jacob Misiorowski will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Hays today.

Tyler Stephenson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage today.

Tyler Stephenson has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 9.1% rate last season to 15.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Gavin Lux is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Jacob Misiorowski will have the handedness advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 7.5% to 12.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke’Bryan Hayes’s true offensive talent to be a .291, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .023 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .268 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Miguel Andujar is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Andrew Vaughn’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Andrew Vaughn will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Brice Turang is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Brice Turang is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds only has 1 same-handed RP.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

TJ Friedl’s launch angle in recent games (21° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly higher than his 14.2° seasonal mark.

TJ Friedl has exhibited good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 91st percentile with a 1.43 K/BB rate.

The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Abbott.

Blake Perkins hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Jacob Misiorowski will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Steer in today’s matchup.

Matt McLain’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Misiorowski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt McLain today.

Matt McLain hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Jacob Misiorowski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noelvi Marte today.

The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Andrew Abbott.

Isaac Collins will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Negatives with the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 8th-worst field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jacob Misiorowski.

Elly De La Cruz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.

American Family Field projects as the #22 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his home run ability, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Ortiz is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Joey Ortiz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.7-mph dropping to 77.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 90.8-mph EV last year has lowered to 86-mph.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 92.6 mph to 86.8 mph.

Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 13.6% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Chourio’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 3.99 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Caleb Durbin is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.9°, Caleb Durbin has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.7°) in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Caleb Durbin’s true offensive talent to be a .302, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .020 gap between that figure and his actual .322 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Andrew Abbott in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Doug Eddings) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

American Family Field grades out as the #25 venue in Major League Baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Andrew Abbott was in good form in his previous game started and gave up 1 ER.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 19.7% underlying K%.

Austin Hays will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Austin Hays’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 3.6%.

Austin Hays has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 76.3-mph in the past 14 days.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

In today’s matchup, Tyler Stephenson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (78th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gavin Lux today.

Gavin Lux has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .267 rate is inflated compared to his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

American Family Field grades out as the #23 field in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 15th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Today, Ke’Bryan Hayes is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.6% rate (99th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes today.

William Contreras has averaged 13.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miguel Andujar will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Andujar’s true offensive talent to be a .307, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .047 disparity between that figure and his actual .354 wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Christian Yelich will not have the upper hand today.

Christian Yelich has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

There has been a significant decline in Christian Yelich’s launch angle from last year’s 5.1° to 1.5° this season.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle lately (-4.6° over the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 1.5° seasonal mark.

Andrew Vaughn’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 93.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 88.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Brice Turang meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Brice Turang’s 10.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

Brice Turang has been lucky this year, putting up a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .029 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today’s matchup.

TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his home run talent, Blake Perkins ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Blake Perkins is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Blake Perkins’s launch angle this season (5.2°) is considerably worse than his 11.7° figure last season.

Blake Perkins’s speed has dropped off this year. His 29.6 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.05 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 24th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Spencer Steer is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#1-best on the slate today).

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Matt McLain is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt McLain in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, Matt McLain ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .220.

Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.298) provides evidence that Noelvi Marte has been very fortunate this year with his .331 actual wOBA.

As it relates to plate discipline, Noelvi Marte’s talent is quite bad, posting a 5.3 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 4th percentile.

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Isaac Collins’s 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Collins’s true offensive ability to be a .309, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .033 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .342 wOBA.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Isaac Collins ranks in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 11.700.

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