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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 14th
14/09/24 19:20:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Dodgers vs Braves Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Truist Park grades out as the #6 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Orlando Arcia has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.4% seasonal rate to 12.9% in the last two weeks.
In the last two weeks, Orlando Arcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph recently.
Max Muncy projects as the 17th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.
Max Muncy has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 96.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Max Muncy’s launch angle this season (27.5°) is significantly better than his 21.8° angle last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Will Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split.
Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Will Smith’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (21.9°) is considerably better than his 12.4° angle last year.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB.
Sean Murphy will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average.
The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order projects as the best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games, John Libka profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the game for base hits.
The Atlanta Braves have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jack Flaherty today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Tommy Edman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Chris Sale… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Considering Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Teoscar Hernandez will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
The #4 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.
Gio Urshela’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Gio Urshela will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Gio Urshela has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last season’s 87.4-mph average.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Whit Merrifield has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .217 mark is deflated compared to his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Whit Merrifield has shown good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.32 K/BB rate.
When assessing his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 6th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Chris Sale has averaged 98.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 98th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Ramon Laureano will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Ramon Laureano has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Ramon Laureano’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (25.8° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 19° seasonal mark.
Chris Taylor’s BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Chris Taylor will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.
Marcell Ozuna projects as the 20th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.
When assessing his home run talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Miguel Rojas will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
When it comes to plate discipline, Miguel Rojas’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.62 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gio Urshela’s true offensive skill to be a .294, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .265 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Chris Sale projects as the 8th-best SP in the league currently as it relates to his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Los Angeles Dodgers have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Chris Taylor, Teoscar Hernandez, Max Muncy).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best batter in the league.
Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
Mookie Betts will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and even more favorably, Sale has a large platoon split.
Miguel Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 45.8% on the season to 57.6% over the past 14 days.
Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
In the last week, Jorge Soler’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 25%.
Michael Harris II’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Harris II is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge today.
As it relates to his strikeout ability, Jack Flaherty projects as the 13th-best starter in the majors right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Tallying 97 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Jack Flaherty places in the 95th percentile.
Placing in the 89th percentile, Jack Flaherty posted a 13.5% Swinging Strike percentage this year.
Sean Murphy has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last season’s 94.5-mph EV.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Whit Merrifield’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
There has been a significant improvement in Orlando Arcia’s launch angle from last year’s 5.5° to 8.9° this season.
Chris Taylor has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .251 rate is deflated compared to his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Marcell Ozuna has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.6-mph average to last year’s 96.5-mph figure.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.
Freddie Freeman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph.
Freddie Freeman has compiled a .376 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 96th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Shohei Ohtani has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 20.6% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the past 14 days.
Whit Merrifield has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .284 mark is deflated compared to his .315 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Harris II can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
When estimating his home run skill, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Over the past two weeks, Teoscar Hernandez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 26.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°.
Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty in today’s game.
Over the last week, Tommy Edman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.1% up to 9.5%.
Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 12.6% to 21.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Negative Match Player Stats with Dodgers vs Braves Series Game 2
Orlando Arcia’s BABIP talent is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Orlando Arcia is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate today.
Jack Flaherty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia in today’s game.
Today, Orlando Arcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.5% rate (84th percentile).
Max Muncy is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Chris Sale will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Muncy today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Sale’s large platoon split.
Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
As it relates to his home runs, Max Muncy has experienced some positive variance this year. His 35.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.7.
Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Will Smith in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Sean Murphy will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
Based on Statcast data, Sean Murphy ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .209.
Ranking in the 17th percentile, Sean Murphy sports a .227 BABIP this year.
Max Muncy’s BABIP skill is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Chris Sale projects as the 9th-best starting pitcher in MLB currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 3rd-deepest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Chris Sale will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In his previous outing, Chris Sale was in good form and conceded 0 ER.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jack Flaherty in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.
Jack Flaherty will have the handedness advantage over 7 opposing hitters in today’s game.
In his last outing, Jack Flaherty turned in a great performance and gave up 0 ER.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tommy Edman in today’s matchup.
In the last 7 days, Tommy Edman’s 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 36.9%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.270) may lead us to conclude that Tommy Edman has been very fortunate this year with his .347 actual wOBA.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Teoscar Hernandez in today’s game.
In the past two weeks, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 95.9 mph to 90.8 mph.
Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 47.7% to 42.5%.
Chris Sale will hold the platoon advantage over Shohei Ohtani in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Sale’s large platoon split.
Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Gio Urshela is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Gio Urshela will have a tough challenge today.
Gio Urshela’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, going from 45.6% on the season to 26.7% in the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Whit Merrifield is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Jack Flaherty will have the handedness advantage over Whit Merrifield in today’s matchup.
Chris Sale will hold the platoon advantage against Freddie Freeman in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Sale’s large platoon split.
Freddie Freeman has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s matchup.
Over the past 7 days, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.
Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.
12% of the time that Ramon Laureano has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Ramon Laureano has a tough challenge today.
Chris Taylor is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chris Taylor in today’s game.
There has been a significant decline in Chris Taylor’s launch angle from last season’s 21.2° to 18.1° this season.
Jack Flaherty will have the handedness advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Marcell Ozuna is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (90th percentile).
Marcell Ozuna has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 15.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna’s true offensive talent to be a .347, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .048 gap between that figure and his actual .395 wOBA.
Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 93.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 91.2-mph.
In the last 7 days, Matt Olson’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 94.3 mph to 90.9 mph.
Matt Olson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (9° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 13.8° seasonal figure.
Matt Olson has compiled a .275 BABIP this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.
When estimating his home run talent, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Miguel Rojas is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Rojas in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Jack Flaherty will have the handedness advantage against Jorge Soler today.
Today, Jorge Soler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (90th percentile).
Jorge Soler has put up a .226 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
With a .230 batting average this year, Jorge Soler is positioned in the 22nd percentile.
Given his large platoon split, Chris Sale will have a tough matchup being matched up with 6 hitters in the projected offense who hit from the other side in this outing.
Chris Sale has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up an 11.50 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.49 — a 0.01 K/9 disparity.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mookie Betts in today’s matchup.
Mookie Betts’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 92.4-mph EV last season has dropped to 90.3-mph.
Mookie Betts’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (14.4°) is considerably lower than his 18.6° figure last season.
Over the last 7 days, Mookie Betts’s 31.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.9%.
Over the past 7 days, Mookie Betts’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 7°, Michael Harris II has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.4°) in the past two weeks.
Posting a .287 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael Harris II is ranked in the 20th percentile.
Michael Harris II has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 9th percentile with a 4.72 K/BB rate.
Jack Flaherty has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.95 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.83 — a 0.11 K/9 discrepancy.
Miguel Rojas’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 87.3-mph average last season has decreased to 84.8-mph.
Whit Merrifield’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (11.8°) is significantly lower than his 15.1° figure last season.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.256) implies that Orlando Arcia has experienced some positive variance this year with his .274 actual wOBA.
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