Dodgers vs Braves match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 2nd

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Dodgers vs Braves match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 2nd

LAD @ ATL

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Matchup Details

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves

Todays Game is on Friday, May 2nd
02/05/25 19:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Dodgers vs Braves Matchup Today

When estimating his strikeout talent, Yoshinobu Yamamoto projects as the 14th-best pitcher in baseball right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tallying 98.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Yoshinobu Yamamoto places in the 96th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s change-up usage has jumped by 5.1% from last season to this one (24.1% to 29.2%) .

Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 83rd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

The #8 park in the majors for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Truist Park projects as the #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for overall left-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, Truist Park’s centerfield fences are the 3rd-shallowest.

Truist Park ranks as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage against Grant Holmes in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Truist Park projects as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #4 field in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Will Smith ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Will Smith has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 19% in the last two weeks.

As it relates to his home run skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge today.

In terms of his home runs, Michael Conforto has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His 22.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 26.2.

Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Conforto has experienced some negative variance given the .049 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sean Murphy will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Sean Murphy has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 9.6% rate last year to 18.9% this season.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Eli White will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Eli White has been hot in recent games, notching a a 19% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past 14 days.

Eli White has shown some good exit velocity stats recently, averaging 95.7-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eli White in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 16th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent.

Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Teoscar Hernandez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.2% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the last week.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the league.

Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the majors.

Austin Riley is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as the game’s 16th-best home run hitter.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage today.

Recording 99.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Grant Holmes places in the 98th percentile.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,Grant Holmes is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #24 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

Considering that flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Grant Holmes (34.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 4 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected lineup.

Grant Holmes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Grant Holmes has notched a 12% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andy Pages ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andy Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Andy Pages has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.8% seasonal rate to 15% over the last week.

Nick Allen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nick Allen will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage over Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Dodgers vs Braves

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

This game is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 2226-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers.

With a 1.17 disparity between Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 11.38 K/9 and his 10.22 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see worse results in future games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yoshinobu Yamamoto as the 3rd-best SP in the league currently.

Truist Park has the 2nd-deepest LF fences in MLB.

In his last game started, Yoshinobu Yamamoto was rolling and conceded 1 ER.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani today.

The #8 field in the game for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

In the last 14 days, Shohei Ohtani’s 10.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

Max Muncy’s BABIP ability is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Max Muncy is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Typically, hitters like Max Muncy who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Grant Holmes.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Muncy today.

Hitting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Mookie Betts encounters a tough challenge today.

Extreme flyball bats like Mookie Betts are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Grant Holmes.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mookie Betts today.

Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.3-mph EV last year has dropped to 88.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 8th-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.

Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Will Smith will be at a disadvantage today.

Typically, hitters like Will Smith who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Grant Holmes.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Smith in today’s game.

Michael Conforto is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Michael Conforto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (79th percentile).

Michael Conforto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Michael Conforto’s BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson’s launch angle this year (9.8°) is considerably worse than his 15.9° angle last year.

Matt Olson’s launch angle of late (-0.5° over the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 9.8° seasonal mark.

Sean Murphy is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Murphy in today’s game.

Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Sean Murphy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 21.6% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Eli White is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will hold the platoon advantage over Eli White today.

Putting up a -0.1° launch angle in the last two weeks’ worth of games suggests that Eli White has been finding it challenging to lift the ball recently, which is a key component of hitting for power.

Grant Holmes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.338) provides evidence that Teoscar Hernandez has been very fortunate this year with his .397 actual wOBA.

In today’s game, Freddie Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.2% rate (90th percentile).

Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, posting a .435 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .362 — a .073 discrepancy.

Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Marcell Ozuna will not have the upper hand today.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph dropping to 90-mph over the last week.

Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 98.2-mph average last season has dropped to 96.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Yoshinobu Yamamoto,Ozzie Albies’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.4-mph mark last season has fallen to 85.6-mph.

Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 15.7% on the season to 0% over the last two weeks.

Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Austin Riley will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Austin Riley has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 20.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.

With a 3.62 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Austin Riley has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order projects as the best on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

Grant Holmes has been one of the luckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play this year with a .183 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

Grant Holmes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages today.

Typically, hitters like Andy Pages who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Grant Holmes.

Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

When it comes to his home run skill, Nick Allen ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Allen is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Allen today.

Typically, hitters like Nick Allen who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 8th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Michael Harris II’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 93.4-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90.6-mph.

Michael Harris II’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.6-mph seasonal average has decreased to 84.8-mph over the last 14 days.

Michael Harris II has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile with a 4.17 K/BB rate.

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