Dodgers @ Astros Matchup Details

Positives for the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 4th-best ballpark in MLB for right-handed home runs.

,Cam Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Cam Smith has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 7.1% rate last year to 15.3% this season.

,In the past 14 days, Cam Smith’s 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Christian Walker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

,The shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Minute Maid Park.

,Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Alex Freeland will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Steven Okert in this game.

,Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

,Alex Freeland has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 14 days.

,Alex Freeland’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 15.4% on the season to 27.8% in the last 14 days.

,Alex Freeland has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 18.7° angle is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (88th percentile).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hyeseong Kim in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Hyeseong Kim will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Okert in today’s matchup.

,Compared to last year, Hyeseong Kim has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 51.3% to 59.5% this season.

,By putting up a .393 BABIP since the start of last season, Hyeseong Kim finds himself in the 97th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Posting a .279 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Andy Pages is positioned in the 85th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yoshinobu Yamamoto as the 6th-best starting pitcher in baseball right now.

,Compared to the average hurler, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been granted an above-average leash this year, tallying an extra 4.5 adjusted pitches each start.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Houston Astros today owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .328, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .339 this year.

,It may be best to expect negative regression for the Houston Astros offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in the majors this year.

,Minute Maid Park projects as the #26 ballpark in MLB for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Teoscar Hernandez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

,Teoscar Hernandez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 92.1-mph in the past week.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Teoscar Hernandez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 33° figure in the last week’s worth of games.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in MLB.

,Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.

,Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all parks.

,Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Okert in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Carlos Correa’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carlos Correa is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Compared to last year, Carlos Correa has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.2% to 55.8% this season.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Carlos Correa is in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .286.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Jose Altuve is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,By putting up a 1.82 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jose Altuve has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 77th percentile.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) suggests that Cam Smith has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .231 actual batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Freddie Freeman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Steven Okert throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge today.

,Freddie Freeman has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Brice Matthews pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Brice Matthews will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,Over the last 7 days, Brice Matthews’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph of late.

,Batting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Dustin Harris will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Dustin Harris will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Dustin Harris has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, notching a 25.9° angle on such balls in the past two weeks.

,Brice Matthews and his 20.8° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the game.

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Will Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,Over the last 7 days, Will Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 22.2%.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Will Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph of late.

,Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

,Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (47.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season’s 89.9-mph mark.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Sporting a 46.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brice Matthews finds himself in the 100th percentile for power.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Altuve ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Over the past week, Christian Walker’s maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 109.8-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Max Muncy as the majors’s 18th-best home run hitter.

,Batting from the opposite that Steven Okert throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge in today’s game.

,Max Muncy’s launch angle lately (20.3° over the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 12.3° seasonal mark.

,When estimating his home run ability, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,There has been a significant improvement in Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle from last year’s 9.8° to 13.1° this year.

,Posting a .374 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Max Muncy is ranked in the 94th percentile for hitting ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Yainer Diaz has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .257 rate is considerably lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Max Muncy’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 39.1% to 54.8%.

,Ranking in the 88th percentile, Andy Pages sports a .278 batting average since the start of last season.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Steven Okert throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge in today’s game.

,When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

,The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s change-up usage has increased by 5.4% from last season to this one (25.4% to 30.8%) .

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Carlos Correa ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Carlos Correa has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 93.2-mph over the last 7 days.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Kyle Tucker’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8% up to 18.2%.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 15.1% on the season to 27.3% over the past week.

,Grading out in the 80th percentile, Andy Pages sits with a .456 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

,Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Isaac Paredes’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 43.2% on the season to 56.3% over the past 7 days.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Game Today

Cam Smith is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,The league’s 3rd-tallest fences can be found at Minute Maid Park.

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the handedness advantage against Cam Smith in today’s game.

,Cam Smith has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the handedness advantage over Christian Walker in today’s matchup.

,Christian Walker’s launch angle this year (12.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.9° mark last year.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Christian Walker’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Walker’s true offensive talent to be a .331, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .057 difference between that mark and his actual .388 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Freeland in the 18th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Alex Freeland is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Alex Freeland has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 27% of the time.

,Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hyeseong Kim is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Hyeseong Kim has been pulled from the game early 34% of the time.

,Hyeseong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Andy Pages is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the same side that Steven Okert throws from, Andy Pages will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Extreme groundball bats like Andy Pages tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Steven Okert.

,Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Will Smith (the Dodgers’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 2230-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 25th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,Houston has been the #8 team in the majors when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle band that tends to best-produce base hits (44.3% rate this year).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 3rd-worst field in the league for righty batting average.

,Steven Okert will hold the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.

,Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 100.7-mph EV last year has fallen to 97.1-mph.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) implies that Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .278 actual batting average.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Correa today.

,Carlos Correa has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Over the last 7 days, Carlos Correa’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

,Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 40.3% to 35.1%.

,Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Jose Altuve will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Jose Altuve has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Jose Altuve has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 79.9-mph over the past week.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s game.

,Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 81.9-mph over the past week.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.9°, Freddie Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.7°) over the past 14 days.

,Brice Matthews is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Brice Matthews encounters a tough challenge today.

,Brice Matthews’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 12.5% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dustin Harris in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Dustin Harris is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Dustin Harris pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Yordan Alvarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 18.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 10.3% over the last two weeks.

,Yordan Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 25.7% on the season to 17.9% over the last 14 days.

,Yordan Alvarez has been lucky this year, compiling a .470 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .414 — a .056 difference.

,Steven Okert will hold the platoon advantage over Will Smith in today’s matchup.

,Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Typically, bats like Will Smith who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Steven Okert.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Paredes’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 87.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84-mph in the past week.

,Isaac Paredes has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 24.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 19.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Yainer Diaz is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Yoshinobu Yamamoto will have the handedness advantage over Yainer Diaz in today’s matchup.

,Yainer Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Freddie Freeman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.7% down to 3.2%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Max Muncy is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Typically, batters like Max Muncy who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Steven Okert.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dustin Harris ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Typically, batters like Kyle Tucker who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Steven Okert.

,Kyle Tucker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Alex Freeland pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,When assessing his home run skill, Hyeseong Kim ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

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