Brewers vs Cardinals match player stats | 2026 Monday, May 4th

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MIL @ STL

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Brewers @ Cardinals Matchup Details

Teams : Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

Date : Todays Game is on Monday, May 4th
Time : 04/05/26 19:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

,The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy today.

,David Hamilton has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 88.8-mph.

,David Hamilton’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 7.7% on the season to 30% over the past week.

,Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Luis Rengifo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 14.9% on the season to 23.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,As it relates to his batting average, Luis Rengifo has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .231 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .272.

,Pedro Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Pedro Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 20% on the season to 31.6% in the past 14 days.

,Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.2) suggests that Masyn Winn has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 9.2 actual HR/600.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Over the last week, Sal Frelick’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.8% up to 18.2%.

,Over the last 14 days, Sal Frelick’s 29.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Jordan Walker will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Jake Bauers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand today.

,Extreme groundball batters like Victor Scott II tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Chad Patrick.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage today.

,Sal Frelick has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.6-mph.

,Blake Perkins has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .199 BA is a fair amount lower than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Brice Turang is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Leahy in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 6.4°, Garrett Mitchell has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 34° angle in the last week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Chad Patrick in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Nolan Gorman will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Nolan Gorman’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 41.1% on the season to 50% over the past two weeks.

,Given that flyball batters have a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Chad Patrick and his 39.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard spot in today’s outing matching up with 2 opposing GB bats.

,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Chad Patrick in today’s game.

,Chad Patrick’s change-up rate has fallen by 5.4% from last year to this one (6.4% to 1%) .

,The Milwaukee Brewers projected offense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

,Pedro Pages, the Cardinals’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,William Contreras has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year’s 92.9-mph average.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Jake Bauers has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 7 days.

,When it comes to his BABIP skill, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,JJ Wetherholt will hold the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today’s matchup.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Pedro Pages, Jordan Walker, Nolan Gorman).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Nathan Church will have an edge in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball batters like Nathan Church tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chad Patrick.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Kyle Leahy will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Nathan Church will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Brice Turang has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season’s 94-mph EV.

,Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,JJ Wetherholt will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .240 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Rengifo has suffered from bad luck given the .044 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .284.

,In the past 7 days, Victor Scott II’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph recently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 14th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,David Hamilton is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

,This year, David Hamilton has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the worst field in the league for left-handed home runs.

,The 2nd-deepest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Busch Stadium.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 21st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Luis Rengifo will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Kyle Leahy in today’s game.

,Today, Luis Rengifo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.3% rate (76th percentile).

,The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of all the teams in action today.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Rengifo in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pedro Pages ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The #1 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,Chad Patrick will hold the platoon advantage against Pedro Pages in today’s matchup.

,Pedro Pages has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team on the slate today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,Dingers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league stadiums.

,Hitting from the same side that Chad Patrick throws from, Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 5th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Sal Frelick is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Chad Patrick throws from, Jordan Walker faces a tough challenge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker’s true offensive talent to be a .331, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .074 deviation between that figure and his actual .405 wOBA.

,Jordan Walker has posted a .273 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In terms of plate discipline, Jordan Walker’s skill is quite bad, sporting a 4.15 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 16th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,There has been a significant decline in Jake Bauers’s launch angle from last season’s 16.6° to 10.1° this year.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Victor Scott II ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Victor Scott II has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sal Frelick in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 16th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Blake Perkins is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will bat from his bad side (0) today against Kyle Leahy,Blake Perkins has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

,Kyle Leahy will have the handedness advantage against William Contreras today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for William Contreras in today’s matchup.

,William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 43.9% to 35.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 19th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

,Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Brice Turang’s launch angle in recent games (5.3° over the past two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 8.6° seasonal angle.

,Brice Turang has been lucky this year, posting a .396 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .067 discrepancy.

,In today’s matchup, Garrett Mitchell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (87th percentile).

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Garrett Mitchell today.

,Garrett Mitchell has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 84.1-mph over the last two weeks.

,Ranking in the 22nd percentile for power, Garrett Mitchell has averaged 2.6 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

,Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Typically, bats like Nolan Gorman who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chad Patrick.

,Milwaukee’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Nolan Gorman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Pedro Pages’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.1-mph EV last year has fallen to 84.9-mph.

,Alec Burleson’s launch angle lately (-1.1° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 7.8° seasonal figure.

,As it relates to his batting average, Alec Burleson has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .288 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 7th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,The St. Louis Cardinals projected offense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 4th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs.

,Chad Patrick is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #30 HR venue in MLB in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kyle Leahy in the 18th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

,Kyle Leahy has been given a below-average leash this year, throwing 7.6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

,With 8 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Kyle Leahy will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,William Contreras has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .268 BA is considerably higher than his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Jake Bauers has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .241 figure is inflated compared to his .227 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst stadium in the game for strikeouts.

,Nathan Church is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (0.0) suggests that Nathan Church has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 22.4 actual HR/600.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kyle Leahy in the 25th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

,In notching a .262 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nathan Church has performed in the 25th percentile for offensive ability.

,Nathan Church has exhibited bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile with a 6.16 K/BB rate.

,There has been a decrease in Nolan Gorman’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.5 mph last year to 87.5 mph now,Nolan Gorman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 87.4-mph over the last week.

,Victor Scott II’s launch angle this season (2.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.8° mark last season.

,Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 41.1% to 35.9%.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.6-mph EV last year has lowered to 84.4-mph.

,In the past 14 days, Jake Bauers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 96.4 mph to 93.5 mph.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 13°, William Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.2°) in the past 14 days.

,William Contreras has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 12.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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