
ARI @ CWS


Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 24th
24/06/25 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs White Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.
Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 79%.
Kyle Teel will have the handedness advantage against Ryne Nelson today.
Kyle Teel will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Ketel Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.6% up to 22.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Pavin Smith is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.
Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.
Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Rojas’s true offensive skill to be a .289, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .065 deviation between that mark and his actual .224 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #4 field in baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Randal Grichuk pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Randal Grichuk’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.1%.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Posting a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Randal Grichuk has performed in the 84th percentile for offensive skills.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (20.7° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 13.5° seasonal figure.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 15.1% to 18.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 20.7% this season.
Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 20.7% on the season to 23.7% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Extreme flyball batters like Jose Herrera usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sean Burke.
Over the last 7 days, Jose Herrera’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.3%.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Ryan Noda has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.
Ryan Noda will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson today.
Ryan Noda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
Ryan Noda will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Noda in the 80th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.
Alek Thomas has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball batters like Alek Thomas generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sean Burke.
Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Lenyn Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Lenyn Sosa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year’s 88.9-mph figure.
The Chicago White Sox projected lineup profiles as the 2nd-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) behind the plate in today’s game.
In his last start, Ryne Nelson was rolling and allowed 2 ER.
Among all starters, Ryne Nelson’s fastball velocity of 94.7 mph ranks in the 78th percentile this year.
The 7.7% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox makes them the #23 team in the league this year by this standard.
The Chicago White Sox have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Austin Slater, Ryan Noda, Luis Robert Jr., Kyle Teel).
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs White Sox Series Game 2
Kyle Teel is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Sean Burke today.
Out of every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 96.8-mph EV last season has fallen to 94.4-mph.
Despite posting a .423 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ketel Marte has had some very good luck given the .046 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .377.
This year, Pavin Smith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 33% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pavin Smith today.
Pavin Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
Over the past week, Pavin Smith’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.5%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.317) provides evidence that Pavin Smith has been lucky this year with his .361 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Rojas in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Josh Rojas is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
This season, Josh Rojas’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 5.7% last year to just 0% this year.
Josh Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.2-mph average last year has fallen to 84.9-mph.
Over the last two weeks, Josh Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 84.9 mph to 82.6 mph.
Utilizing Statcast data, Josh Rojas is in the 25th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .225.
Andrew Benintendi has posted a .257 BABIP this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.
Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
When starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season, Randal Grichuk has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 14% of the time.
Sean Burke will hold the platoon advantage against Randal Grichuk today.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randal Grichuk today.
In the past week’s worth of games, Randal Grichuk’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 92.4 mph to 89.9 mph.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Sean Burke throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s game.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.
Ryne Nelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Robert Jr. in today’s game.
Posting a .253 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luis Robert Jr. finds himself in the 6th percentile.
Luis Robert Jr. has put up a .187 batting average this year, placing in the 3rd percentile.
By putting up a .306 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Luis Robert Jr. is positioned in the 8th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Geraldo Perdomo’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.6-mph in the last week.
Despite posting a .331 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Geraldo Perdomo has had some very good luck given the .028 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Herrera in the 1st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Jose Herrera is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.
Jose Herrera has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Herrera today.
Jose Herrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 83.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 78.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Ryne Nelson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas in today’s game.
Extreme flyball batters like Miguel Vargas tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryne Nelson.
Miguel Vargas has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.
Miguel Vargas’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (16.6°) is quite a bit lower than his 20.1° angle last season.
With a .268 BABIP this year, Miguel Vargas has performed in the 23rd percentile.
Ryan Noda’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan Noda has been cold of late, posting a 82.9-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks.
Posting a .171 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ryan Noda has performed in the 8th percentile.
Alek Thomas is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.
When starting against a northpaw this year, Alek Thomas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.
Alek Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
In the last week, Alek Thomas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.
Alek Thomas has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 79.9-mph over the past week.
Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage against Lenyn Sosa in today’s matchup.
Lenyn Sosa has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .275 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Lenyn Sosa has compiled a .285 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
With a 9.09 K/BB rate this year, Lenyn Sosa has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 1st percentile.
Using Statcast data, Lenyn Sosa grades out in the 20th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 11.600.
Lenyn Sosa has hit 9.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 21st percentile for power.
Recording 14.8 outs per game per started this year on average, Ryne Nelson ranks in the 24th percentile.
It may be best to expect improved performance for the Chicago White Sox offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Herrera (the D-Backs’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.
The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
Among all major league parks, Guaranteed Rate Field’s left field fences are the 4th-shallowest.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-worst field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Ryne Nelson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Ryne Nelson didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous outing and posted 2 Ks.
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