D-Backs vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 9th

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D-Backs vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 9th

ARI @ SD

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 9th
09/07/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Padres Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

This matchup is projected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Out of all SPs, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2564 rpm grades out in the 99th percentile this year.

Given the 0.88 discrepancy between Brandon Pfaadt’s 5.42 ERA and his 4.54 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year and figures to positively regress in the future.

Jackson Merrill’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The #5 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as baseball’s 16th-best home run batter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Josh Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Randal Grichuk hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage today.

James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his strikeout talent, Dylan Cease projects as the 9th-best starting pitcher in baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dylan Cease has averaged 94.6 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 90th percentile.

Dylan Cease will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats across the board.

Dylan Cease is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Gavin Sheets will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Hitters such as Jake McCarthy with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dylan Cease who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage today.

Hitters such as Alek Thomas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dylan Cease who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Trenton Brooks will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Padres Series Game 3

The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park.

Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

Brandon Pfaadt is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue among all parks today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt’s slider usage has decreased by 6.5% from last year to this one (27.3% to 20.8%) .

Petco Park profiles as the #23 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Petco Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Dylan Cease,Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-worst stadium in the game for right-handed base hits.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez today.

Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today’s matchup.

Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Naylor today.

Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Manny Machado will be in a tough position today.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s matchup.

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage over Randal Grichuk in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randal Grichuk today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Dylan Cease will have the handedness advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run skill, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James McCann is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, James McCann will have a tough matchup today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for James McCann today.

Dylan Cease has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up an 11.19 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.03 — a 0.16 K/9 discrepancy.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Dylan Cease’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 93rd percentile among all SPs in the majors currently.

Out of all starters, Dylan Cease’s fastball velocity of 96.3 mph ranks in the 92nd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake McCarthy is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s game.

Alek Thomas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Alek Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s game.

Trenton Brooks’s BABIP ability is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trenton Brooks is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

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